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Self Driving Car Insurance

lemonade.com

231–240 of 359 posts

Re: Self Driving Car Insurance

#231

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> quite skeptical of Tesla's reliability claims I'm sceptical of Robotaxi/Cybercab. I'm less sceptical that FSD, supervised, is safer than fully-manual control.

Where I live isn't particularly challenging to drive (rural Washington), but I'm constantly disengaging FSD for doing silly and dangerous things. Most notably my driveway meets the road at a blind y intersection, and my Model 3 just blasts out into the road even though you cannot see cross traffic. FSD stresses me out. It's like I'm monitoring a teenager with their learners permit. I can probably count the number tri…

Do you have HW3 or HW4?

Re: Self Driving Car Insurance

#232
So, here's a thought...

If FSD is going to be a subscription and you will never own our fancy autopilot feature. Why should the user pay for insurance?

The user is paying for a service that they do not control and which workings are completely opaque. How can responsibility ever lie with the user in such a situation?

Re: Self Driving Car Insurance

#233
post #21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you bought and owned it, you could sell it to another auto manufacturer for some pretty serious amounts of money. In reality, you acquired a license to use it. Your liability should only go as far as you have agreed to identify the licenser.

You can actually do that. Except that they could just buy one themselves. Companies exist that buy cars just to tear them down and publish reports on what they find.

[deleted]

Re: Self Driving Car Insurance

#234

If it autonomous or self-driving then why is the person in the car paying for the insurance? Surely if it's Tesla making the decisions, they need the insurance?

Risk gets passed along until someone accepts it, usually an insurance company or the operator. If the risk was accepted and paid for by Tesla, then the cost would simply be passed down to consumers. All consumers, including those that want to accept the risk themselves. In particular, if you have a fleet of cars it can be cheaper to accept the risk and only pay for mandatory insurance, because not all of your cars are going to crash at the same time, and even if they did, not all in the worst way possible. This is how insurance works, by amortizing lots of risk to make it highly improbable to make a loss in the long run.

Re: Self Driving Car Insurance

#236

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> if autonomous vehicles become common and are a lot safer than manual driven vehicles, insurance rates for human driven cars could wind up exploding as the risk pool becomes much smaller and statistically riskier. The assumption there is that the remaining human drivers would be the higher risk ones, but why would that be the case? One of the primary movers of high risk driving is that someone goes to the bar, has t…

Drunk driving isn't the primary mover of high risk driving. Rather you have: 1. People who can't afford self driving cars (now the insurance industry has a good proxy for income that they couldn't tap into before) 2. Enthusiasts who like driving their cars (cruisers, racers, Helcat revving, people who like doing donuts, etc...) 3. Older people who don't trust technology. None of those are good risk pools to be in. Al…

> Drunk driving isn't the primary mover of high risk driving.

It kind of is. They're responsible for something like 30% of traffic fatalities despite being a far smaller percentage of drivers.

> People who can't afford self driving cars (now the insurance industry has a good proxy for income that they couldn't tap into before)

https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30172108/

But also, wouldn't they already have this by using the vehicle model and year?

> Enthusiasts who like driving their cars (cruisers, racers, Helcat revving, people who like doing donuts, etc...)

Again something that seems like it would already be accounted for by vehicle model.

> Older people who don't trust technology.

How sure are we that the people who don't trust technology are older? And again, the insurance company already knows your age.

> Also, if self driving cars go mainstream, they are bound to include the safest drivers overnight

Are they? They're more likely to include the people who spend the most time in cars, which is another higher risk pool, because it allows those people to spend the time on a phone/laptop instead of driving the car, which is worth more to people the more time they spend doing it and so justifies the cost of a newer vehicle more easily.

> Oh, and those self driving cars are expensive

Isn't that more of a problem for the self-driving pool? Also, isn't most of the cost that the sensors aren't as common and they'd end up costing less as a result of volume production anyway?

> Self driving cars have a lot of sensors/recorders. While this could work to your advantage (proving that you aren't at fault), it often isn't (they have evidence that you were at fault). Whereas before fault might have been much more hazy (both at fault, or both no fault).

Which is only a problem for the worse drivers who are actually at fault, which makes them more likely to move into the self-driving car pool.

> The biggest factor comes if self driving cars really are much safer than human drivers.

The biggest factor is which drivers switch to self-driving cars. If half of human drivers switched to self-driving cars but they were chosen completely at random then the insurance rates for the remaining drivers would be essentially unaffected. How safe they are is only relevant insofar as it affects your chances of getting into a collision with another vehicle, and if they're safer then it would make that chance go down to have more of them on the road.

Re: Self Driving Car Insurance

#237
post #160

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Successful enough for me and many other people I know. End to end from my house to grocery store, kids schools, friends houses, etc. Multiple times per day for the past year. It’s not perfect but I’d consider it a smashing success for something I rely on for safely transporting my family every day.

I wouldn't feel safe in one. I've seen how they drive, and I've had a brief shot of a car with FSD. They are not safe and they will never be safe.

> They are not safe

Debatable, but you won't be convinced.

> they will never be safe.

Define safe? Would be interested to see you provide a benchmark that is reasonable, and lock it in now so we can see if this statement is falsified in the future.

Re: Self Driving Car Insurance

#238
post #21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you bought and owned it, you could sell it to another auto manufacturer for some pretty serious amounts of money. In reality, you acquired a license to use it. Your liability should only go as far as you have agreed to identify the licenser.

You can actually do that. Except that they could just buy one themselves. Companies exist that buy cars just to tear them down and publish reports on what they find.

> Companies exist that buy cars just to tear them down and publish reports on what they find.

What does it mean to tear down software, exactly? Are you thinking of something like decompilation?

You can do that, but you're probably not going to learn all that much, and you still can't use it in any meaningful sense as you never bought it in the first place. You only licensed use of it as a consumer (and now that it is subscription-only, maybe not even that). If you have to rebuild the whole thing yourself anyway, what have you really gained? Its not exactly a secret how the technology works, only costly to build.

> Except that they could just buy one themselves.

That is unlikely, unless you mean buying Tesla outright? Getting a license to use it as a manufacturer is much more realistic, but still a license.

Re: Self Driving Car Insurance

#239

A 50% discount is pretty damning empirical evidence for FSD being better at driving your Tesla than you are.

A 50% discount when using FSD or just doubling insurance company profits when when not using FSD. The only evidence that actually matters is cost in comparison to other insurance companies. If this product is cheaper for you, then it probably does indicate FSD is better at driving than you (well, than the average driver in your demographic). Maybe this is damning with faint praise.

Re: Self Driving Car Insurance

#240

Earlier quoted context omitted.

All according to plan

It already doesn't make sense to own a car for me. It's cheaper to just call an Uber.

I'm guessing that's a fairly city viewpoint. My car is setup with roofrack and carries a lot of other gear I want. I'm regularly in places without reliable cell etc. Visiting friends can easily be an hour drive.
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