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Surely the crash of the US economy has to be soon

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Re: Surely the crash of the US economy has to be soon

#41

Post by giantg2 »

SchwKatze wrote: post #8

I'm kinda new into economy crashes, was a kid in 2008, is there a way to protect of it?

Nothing provides complete protection, but diversification can help reduce the impact.

The person saying gold and mining stocks may or may not be correct - it's still a risky position. Precious metals could be in a commodity bubble right now (or not). It's had to predict anything with perfect accuracy, which is why diversification matters.

You probably shouldn't be jumping completely in or out of anything because that requires timing, which is also not easy to do. What you can do is change he weights withing your portfolio. For example, reducing your US equity exposure to increase your bond exposure. Or reducing your US growth exposure to increase your US value and Eurozone dividend exposure. It's best to listen to several financial companies reports to weigh what to do.

Re: Surely the crash of the US economy has to be soon

#42

Post by teiferer »

Noaidi wrote: post #15
SchwKatze wrote: post #8

I'm kinda new into economy crashes, was a kid in 2008, is there a way to protect of it?

Gold and silver mining stocks. And International ETF funds. It looks like the United States will be going through the depression alone.

Buy high, sell low. Excellent result when you follow the masses, especially when being a little late.

Re: Surely the crash of the US economy has to be soon

#43

Post by mnky9800n »

SchwKatze wrote: post #8

I'm kinda new into economy crashes, was a kid in 2008, is there a way to protect of it?

Your life should have a plan beyond tomorrow or the next hype cycle so that you progress towards your goals independently of the flow of society. This will allow you to navigate those flows instead.

Re: Surely the crash of the US economy has to be soon

#44

Post by michaelsshaw »

bborud wrote: post #13
newsclues wrote: post #2

Who do we expect will replace Americas global leadership and will they really be better for everyone?

China seems to be the only candidate. But whatever happens it won’t be in the same way as before. As for whether it is better for everyone, that question became a lot harder in just the last year. Who is «everyone»? And what do we mean by «better»? With the US wanting to annex territory from its NATO allies, and engaging in extortionate tariffs, it is harder to argue that the US is good for Europe. Which is why Europ…

I disagree that something good for China is necessarily bad for the rest of the world, which you seem to imply here includes only Europe.

China alone has a higher population than Europe and the USA combined. I'd say that even if things got worse for Europe, to humanity it still constitutes a net benefit. Lives aren't of less value just because they're in a (gasp) communist country.

Re: Surely the crash of the US economy has to be soon

#45

Post by operation_moose »

newsclues wrote: post #2

Who do we expect will replace Americas global leadership and will they really be better for everyone?

The single superpower thing was an anomaly which was mostly a result of one specific country being largely untouched by WW2; we're more likely heading back towards multiple regional powers with varying levels of cooperation, e.g. EU+Mercosur+India agreements that just happened.

The lines are still being drawn, but its doubtful one single power will emerge.

Re: Surely the crash of the US economy has to be soon

#46

Post by csomar »

> Which is to say that no individual decision make want’s to be the first mover, so the market does not move.

Uh, that's not accurate. Hathaway is sitting all cash because of it and so far they have been the one losing. Even if you assume (and correctly I think) that the market is overvalued, their stock pile of cash is eroding: https://newzsquare.com/warren-buffett-warns-of-fiat-currency...

> A year ago there were a few signs. Right now, it feels like everything is primed to blow. Is that new?

The market is unhealthy. Too unhealthy that I think it can no longer self-heal the usual ways (recession/crash/etc.) and we'll instead move to more advanced stage of hyperinflation, global war, etc.

Re: Surely the crash of the US economy has to be soon

#47

Post by Smaug123 »

scotty79 wrote: post #19

Where it's gonna crash to? Where is going the capital move to when everythings going up? (except crypto apparently)

Could you clarify the question? When everything's going up, it's definitionally not a crash; do you mean something like "where are people going to flee to now/soon, in anticipation of a crash, given how buoyant everything is"?

Re: Surely the crash of the US economy has to be soon

#49

Post by mnky9800n »

mechazawa wrote: post #32
baal80spam wrote: post #29

Any time now: 1. Market crash 2. AI bubble bursting 3. Year of the linux desktop Have I missed something?

Half life 3

This will probably be better than duke nukem forever because they were always working in DNF but nobody has been working on hf3 in 20 years.

Re: Surely the crash of the US economy has to be soon

#50

Post by lvl155 »

Software sector basically got cut in half just on Claude Code. You have to wonder what is next. I don’t think loss in economics is 1:1 with replacement so it’s not zero sum. Production doesn’t necessarily go up. In fact, net output is going to go down if you think about all the B2B lost too.

Whoever comes into power next better start thinking about universal income fast. We are gonna get there sooner than expected.

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