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Tesla is committing automotive suicide

electrek.co

1–10 of 458 posts

Re: Tesla is committing automotive suicide

#2
What makes this move even more incredulous is that none of the two market they want to move towards are proven markets:

- Waymo is generating less than 150m in 2025.

- Consumer robotics is an absolute unknown.

How can the transition be rationally justified? Let alone the valuation.

Re: Tesla is committing automotive suicide

#4
BYD is slapping the EV industry around like a gorilla, Tesla simply cannot compete in any meaningful way. Waymo has achieved profit per unit and people are happy to see driver-less taxis in their city and pay for the service.

Tesla also cannot justify valuations based on automotive sales/subscriptions alone - they were always going to have to pivot.

They're in a tight spot and they need to do something drastic.

Re: Tesla is committing automotive suicide

#5
post #2

What makes this move even more incredulous is that none of the two market they want to move towards are proven markets: - Waymo is generating less than 150m in 2025. - Consumer robotics is an absolute unknown. How can the transition be rationally justified? Let alone the valuation.

> be rationally justified?

Nothing about this stock has ever been rational

Re: Tesla is committing automotive suicide

#7
Tesla also announced they will be discontinuing the basic lane keep + adaptive speed cruise control they helped pioneer in cars sold going forward. But this is now a standard (free) feature even in basic vehicles like the Toyota Corolla. Why would they intentionally cripple their vehicles to the point hat they would be inferior to most cars today?

Then I learned that Musk's incentive pay has a 10 million full self-driving subscription hurdle, and it all made sense.

Re: Tesla is committing automotive suicide

#8

BYD is slapping the EV industry around like a gorilla, Tesla simply cannot compete in any meaningful way. Waymo has achieved profit per unit and people are happy to see driver-less taxis in their city and pay for the service. Tesla also cannot justify valuations based on automotive sales/subscriptions alone - they were always going to have to pivot. They're in a tight spot and they need to do something drastic.

> Tesla also cannot justify valuations based on automotive sales/subscriptions alone - they were always going to have to pivot.

Their valuation was never justified by that. They always sold a fraction of what other companies do.

Re: Tesla is committing automotive suicide

#9
post #2

What makes this move even more incredulous is that none of the two market they want to move towards are proven markets: - Waymo is generating less than 150m in 2025. - Consumer robotics is an absolute unknown. How can the transition be rationally justified? Let alone the valuation.

Because it's hard and Tesla think they can do it.

See 'reusable rockets' and 'having paralysed people control things with their minds' for other examples.

HN often seem to think there's Elon fans downmodding things but it seems more like a case of irrational hatred.

Re: Tesla is committing automotive suicide

#10
They had the first mover advantage, but then Musk lost interest in the company and let it just sit there for the last five years or so without making sure that they have a future-proof product pipeline and that those products are actually being delivered on a reasonable schedule. Now they are increasingly turning into an EV also-ran while their moonshots are unlikely to work out any time soon.

Realistically, he should have put someone else in charge after the launch of the Model 3 to develop the company further, but I don't think his ego allows it.

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