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Tesla ending Models S and X production

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Re: Tesla ending Models S and X production

#211
post #192

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Electric cars, maybe. Tesla is valued much larger than the rest of the auto industry combined though. Humanoid robots? Ain’t nobody made the business case for that. It is pure vibes.

Are you seriously saying there is no business case for humanoid robots?

No, they're probably saying you're that believer that will buy the dip.

Re: Tesla ending Models S and X production

#212
post #95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Tesla and musk were living off of monstrous subsidies to the tune of 20B or more

Sure. And selling the most popular car on the planet is a failure? Didn't the US government put ~$80b into rescuing GM etc, years ago? Subsidies bootstrapped the EV industry. Stupid policies mean walking away from the investment, ceding the market to foreign competitors, and doubling down on legacy ICE crap the rest of the world no longer wants...and Americans will be less and less able to afford.

>the most popular car on the planet

That's the Toyota Corolla. I find this inaccurate glazing of musk to be relatively common but it always strikes me as profoundly weird.

Re: Tesla ending Models S and X production

#213

The next shoe to drop will be shifting Model Y production from Fremont to Austin. Fremont will make Model 3s. Austin will make Model Ys and Robotaxis/2s. Cybertruck will be canceled. None of the Tesla plants will be making robots at any scale for many years.

I can't remember when was the last S/X refresh. It's nuts they just let it go stale and shut the factory down.

Musk's goal all along was to get away from boutique production. He wants to sell millions of cheaper cars, not thousands of cars for wealthy people.

Not sure it's going to work out. Without some big jumps in battery tech, EVs are going to be difficult to sell without subsidies.

Re: Tesla ending Models S and X production

#215

The next shoe to drop will be shifting Model Y production from Fremont to Austin. Fremont will make Model 3s. Austin will make Model Ys and Robotaxis/2s. Cybertruck will be canceled. None of the Tesla plants will be making robots at any scale for many years.

Yeah I don't buy this announcement. Converting their huge Fremont facility to just making humanoid robots? Do they have some large buyer or something? I'm skeptical.

I suspect it's going dormant for a couple years and then he'll say "Hey, this robot thing isn't working out, so we're closing the facility." He doesn't have any desire to stay in California.

Re: Tesla ending Models S and X production

#216

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The difference there is that Supra's and 86's are performance cars, whereas Camry's and Corollas arent. You can't compare a Hatchback to an 86. The Model S is comparable performance to the Model 3 performance. My point is that the latest models 3 & Y are more affordable alternatives to the S & X and more widely available globally.

Okay that's my ignorance of Tesla models then, I assumed the more expensive models were also faster. I guess then it's more like Toyota EOLing Lexus or GM getting rid of Cadillac. I understand the point that the cheaper models are higher volume. Historically that had not precluded the creation of sports and luxury models for most manufacturers. Are the legacy brands wrong to do this? Currently I doubt their business…

The S is faster than any other Tesla. Non-plaid S and X are much faster than non P 3 and Y.

Your main point is highly valid. Why does any manufacturer bother to make anything better than a Camry?

Because it makes money, of course.

Re: Tesla ending Models S and X production

#217
post #15

I am confused about what Tesla is doing. They have effectively two automobile products now with one failed product (cybertruck). reading various articles about this doesn't make it more clear. Do they not want to be a car company?

The problem with being a car company is that they'd have to compete with China. It's possible, but they'd have to make additional capital investments to keep up. They've just wasted a ton of money on a failed Musk vanity project (Cybertruck) and squandered a ton of goodwill in their home market via the DOGE fiasco. Cash flow is not what it once was, and if they're going to make a big capital investment, they're proba…

He generated a lot of goodwill with "that DOGE fiasco", too. It just depends on where you fall politically.

Re: Tesla ending Models S and X production

#218

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Do they have enough people to remotely operate that many Optimuses?

They can probably hire enough random dudes in India, especially if AI reduces the need for call center employees. It will be slightly creepy when the Optimus walks into the bedroom and stares while its owner is ... in the middle of something, but that's a small price to pay. Plus the Tesla employees in the U.S. will also be able to share the video, so it's a win-win.

This is interesting. If Optimus hardware is supposed to be $15k, and Indian workers remotely operate it, there must be jobs in the US and elsewhere that it can handle. Median Indian salary is $4000 a year. No US minimum wage, no overly expensive health care, no Union fees, no workers comp, no visa. 86% savings over a US worker at $15 an hour. Plus, if they are a maid, there's a chance they'll get a free peek.

Re: Tesla ending Models S and X production

#219
post #15

I am confused about what Tesla is doing. They have effectively two automobile products now with one failed product (cybertruck). reading various articles about this doesn't make it more clear. Do they not want to be a car company?

How do you suppose Cybertruck is a failure? I see just as many of them as Rivians, while releasing over 5 years later.

Re: Tesla ending Models S and X production

#220
post #192

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Electric cars, maybe. Tesla is valued much larger than the rest of the auto industry combined though. Humanoid robots? Ain’t nobody made the business case for that. It is pure vibes.

Are you seriously saying there is no business case for humanoid robots?

There was a "business case" for $25,000 EVs before China did it, and Tesla conveniently pivoted. It's 2026, anyone who's watching the game knows the score.
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