Is OpenAI Dead Yet?

As a retail investor mostly invested into broad ETFs (All World), is there any way I can get short exposure to OpenAI? Being short Oracle/Nvidia/Microsoft?

Re: Is OpenAI Dead Yet?

#5

Post by [deleted] » Tue, Jan 27, 2026, 10:31 AM UTC

c-fe wrote: post #4

As a retail investor mostly invested into broad ETFs (All World), is there any way I can get short exposure to OpenAI? Being short Oracle/Nvidia/Microsoft?

[deleted]

Re: Is OpenAI Dead Yet?

#6

Post by keyle » Tue, Jan 27, 2026, 10:32 AM UTC

9cb14c1ec0 wrote: post #3

No, they are not dead. However, they face incredible competition in a brutally commoditized product space.

AFAIK in some space they're still the best models on offer.

Re: Is OpenAI Dead Yet?

#7

Post by NitpickLawyer » Tue, Jan 27, 2026, 10:34 AM UTC

trickster_ wrote: post #2

Tracking the demise of OpenAI through the news cycle

Keep in mind that the "news cycle" isn't of much use in this field. For 2025, almost all "mainstream" media was dead wrong in their takes. Remember the Deepseek r1 craze in feb25? Where nvda is dead, oai is dead and so on? Yeah... that went well. Remember all the "no more data" craze? Despite no actual researcher worth their salt saying it or even hinting at it? Remember the "hitting walls" rhetoric?

The media has been "social media'd", with everything being driven by algorithms, everything being about capturing attention at the cost of everything else. Negativity sells. FUD sells.

Re: Is OpenAI Dead Yet?

#8

Post by cromka » Tue, Jan 27, 2026, 10:34 AM UTC

keyle wrote: post #6

9cb14c1ec0 wrote: post #3

No, they are not dead. However, they face incredible competition in a brutally commoditized product space.

AFAIK in some space they're still the best models on offer.

Not in my experience, Gemini proves much better for me now.

Re: Is OpenAI Dead Yet?

#9

Post by trickster_ » Tue, Jan 27, 2026, 10:36 AM UTC

c-fe wrote: post #4

As a retail investor mostly invested into broad ETFs (All World), is there any way I can get short exposure to OpenAI? Being short Oracle/Nvidia/Microsoft?

That's an excellent question. My fear is that it's going to be a little bit like putting a towel on a pool-bed on the Titanic...

Re: Is OpenAI Dead Yet?

#10

Post by embedding-shape » Tue, Jan 27, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC

cromka wrote: post #8

keyle wrote: post #6

Earlier quoted context omitted.

AFAIK in some space they're still the best models on offer.

Not in my experience, Gemini proves much better for me now.

Can you get Gemini to stop outputting code comments yet? Every single time I've tried it, I've been unable to get it to stop adding comments everywhere, even when explicitly prompting against it, seems like it's almost hardcoded in the model that code comments have to be added next to any code it writes.