Live data from Hacker News

What Will You Do When AI runs Out of Money and Disappear?

louwrentius.com

1–10 of 48 posts

Re: What Will You Do When AI runs Out of Money and Disappear?

#5
I dunno, GPT-OSS and Llama and QWEN and any half dozen of other large open-weight models?

I really can't imagine OpenAI or Anthropic turning off inference for a model that my workplace is happy to spend >$200*person/month on. Google still has piles of cash and no reason to turn off Gemini.

The thing is, if inference is truly heavily subsidized (I don't think it is, because places like OpenRouter charge less than the big players for proportionally smaller models) then we'd probably happily pay >$500 a month for the current frontier models if everyone gave up on training new models because of some oddball scaling limit.

Re: What Will You Do When AI runs Out of Money and Disappear?

#6
post #3

Training is the expensive part here. It seems much more likely that the training of these models slows down drastically and is written off as a sunk cost, a few companies continue running inference on years-old models, and the free versions go away.

This is addressed in the very first sentence of the article that you obviously didn't read.

Re: What Will You Do When AI runs Out of Money and Disappear?

#8

I dunno, GPT-OSS and Llama and QWEN and any half dozen of other large open-weight models? I really can't imagine OpenAI or Anthropic turning off inference for a model that my workplace is happy to spend >$200*person/month on. Google still has piles of cash and no reason to turn off Gemini. The thing is, if inference is truly heavily subsidized (I don't think it is, because places like OpenRouter charge less than the…

> we'd probably happily pay >$500 a month for the current frontier models

Try $5,000. OpenAI loses hundreds of billions a year, they need a 100x, not 2x.

Re: What Will You Do When AI runs Out of Money and Disappear?

#10

I dunno, GPT-OSS and Llama and QWEN and any half dozen of other large open-weight models? I really can't imagine OpenAI or Anthropic turning off inference for a model that my workplace is happy to spend >$200*person/month on. Google still has piles of cash and no reason to turn off Gemini. The thing is, if inference is truly heavily subsidized (I don't think it is, because places like OpenRouter charge less than the…

> we'd probably happily pay >$500 a month for the current frontier models Try $5,000. OpenAI loses hundreds of billions a year, they need a 100x, not 2x.

But they are not losing 100x on inference on high paying customers. Their biggest loss is free user + training/development cost
Post reply on HN