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Danish pension fund divesting US Treasuries

reuters.com

11–20 of 857 posts

Re: Danish pension fund divesting US Treasuries

#11
post #2

What happens when USD stops becoming the the reserve currency for the world? And who takes its place?

My guess would be EUR takes its place, gold will also be used more. I guess what happens is USD gets much weaker and US buying power goes down. Maybe destroying the USD will eventually cause the boost to domestic manufacturing that Trump wanted, since foreign goods will be out of reach. Cut down the forest to kill a squirrel. I'm no expert though

Re: Danish pension fund divesting US Treasuries

#12

> $100 million Is that a lot? Seems relatively inconsequential in the grand scheme of things, but perhaps a warning of larger moves to come.

It’s the symbolism more than direct financial impact. You get 100 moves like this and it starts to become real money.

Re: Danish pension fund divesting US Treasuries

#14
post #2

What happens when USD stops becoming the the reserve currency for the world? And who takes its place?

We finally realise there is no such thing as a “reserve currency” in the floating exchange rate era and that the concept is a long dead hangover from fixed exchange rates.

And that’s definitely going to upset the gold bugs.

(In reality lots of things are held in reserve)

USD is a routing currency that is used because it is cheaper than the mesh alternative. When it stops being cheaper whoever is then cheapest will get the routing transactions.

Re: Danish pension fund divesting US Treasuries

#15

> $100 million Is that a lot? Seems relatively inconsequential in the grand scheme of things, but perhaps a warning of larger moves to come.

It’s hard to put an exact number but it’s on the order of $500-1000 billion daily.

So a drop in the bucket, but we’ll have to see if it’s a domino.

Re: Danish pension fund divesting US Treasuries

#16

> $100 million Is that a lot? Seems relatively inconsequential in the grand scheme of things, but perhaps a warning of larger moves to come.

It's not a lot. Multiple countries could offload hundreds of billions and the U.S. Treasury would buy them up immediately (and probably ask the Federal Reserve for some help the next day)

I can't find the program name at the moment, but the Treasury plans for situations like this regularly.

Re: Danish pension fund divesting US Treasuries

#18
post #2

What happens when USD stops becoming the the reserve currency for the world? And who takes its place?

My guess would be EUR takes its place, gold will also be used more. I guess what happens is USD gets much weaker and US buying power goes down. Maybe destroying the USD will eventually cause the boost to domestic manufacturing that Trump wanted, since foreign goods will be out of reach. Cut down the forest to kill a squirrel. I'm no expert though

There will never be a boost to domestic manufacturing without some kind of investment. The booms of the 1950's and 1960's were a result of massive government spending in the 1930's and 1940's building a bunch of capacity and researching novel manufacturing techniques and building new tools. If we don't have the morale for that we will simply stop having as many things.

Re: Danish pension fund divesting US Treasuries

#19
post #2

What happens when USD stops becoming the the reserve currency for the world? And who takes its place?

The US starts more wars until its eventual complete collapse. See The Rise and Fall of the Roman Empire. We're operating out of a playbook for imperial destruction word for word.

"History buffs" that literally only know the Roman Empire and Hitler should probably try expand their purview.

Re: Danish pension fund divesting US Treasuries

#20

> $100 million Is that a lot? Seems relatively inconsequential in the grand scheme of things, but perhaps a warning of larger moves to come.

It's not a lot. Multiple countries could offload hundreds of billions and the U.S. Treasury would buy them up immediately (and probably ask the Federal Reserve for some help the next day) I can't find the program name at the moment, but the Treasury plans for situations like this regularly.

> the Treasury plans for situations like this regularly.

For attacking allies?

I know that’s not what you meant but we must be pushing up against scenarios that haven’t been considered possible.

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