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2025: The Year in LLMs

simonwillison.net

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Re: 2025: The Year in LLMs

#92

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why do people assume negative critique is ignorance?

Whenever someone tells me that AI is worthless, does nothing, scam/slop etc, I ask them about their own AI usage, and their general knowledge about what's going on. Invariably they've never used AI, or at most very rarely. (If they used AI beyond that, this would be admission that it was useful at some level). Therefore it's reasonable to assume that you are in that boat. Now that might not be true in your case, who…

It's not worthless, it's just not worldchanging as is even in the fields where it's most useful, like programming. If the trajectory changes and we reach AGI then this changes too but right now it's just a way to

- fart out demos that you don't plan on maintaining, or want to use as a starting place

- generate first-draft unit tests/documentation

- generate boilerplate without too much functionality

- refactor in a very well covered codebase

It's very useful for all of the above! But it doesn't even replace a junior dev at my company in its current state. It's too agreeable, makes subtle mistakes that it can't permanently correct (GEMINI.md isn't a magic bullet, telling it to not do something does not guarantee that it won't do it again), and you as the developer submitting LLM-generated code for review need to review it closely before even putting it up (unless you feel like offloading this to your team) to the point that it's not that much faster than having written it yourself.

Re: 2025: The Year in LLMs

#93
Speaking of new year and AI: my phone just suggested "Happy Birthday!" as the quick-reply to any "Happy New Year!" notification I got in the last hours.

I'm not too worried about my job just yet.

Re: 2025: The Year in LLMs

#96
post #67

Indeed. I don't understand why Hacker News is so dismissive about the coming of LLMs, maybe HN readers are going through 5 stages of grief? But LLM is certainly a game changer, I can see it delivering impact bigger than the internet itself. Both require a lot of investments.

The internet and smartphones were immediately useful in a million different ways for almost every person. AI is not even close to that level. Very to somewhat useful in some fields (like programming) but the average person will easily be able to go through their day without using AI. The most wide-appeal possibility is people loving 100%-AI-slop entertainment like that AI Instagram Reels product. Maybe I'm just too d…

> AI is not even close to that level

Kagi’s Research Assistant is pretty damn useful, particularly when I can have it poll different models. I remember when the first iPhone lacked copy-paste. This feels similar.

(And I don’t think we’re heading towards AGI.)

Re: 2025: The Year in LLMs

#97
This is a good tooling survey of the past year. I have been watching it as a developer re-entering the job market. The job descriptions closely parallel the timeline used in the post. That's bizarre to me because these approaches are changing so fast. I see jobs for "Skill and Langchain experts with production-grade 0>1 experience. Former founders preferred". That is an expertise that is just a few months old and startups are trying to build whole teams overnight with it. I'm sure January and February will have job postings for whatever gets released that week. It's all so many sand castles.

Re: 2025: The Year in LLMs

#98
post #79

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Got a good news story about that one? I'm always interested in learning more about this issue, especially if it credibly counters the narrative that the issue is overblown.

[flagged]

I'm not sure what the issue is here but it's not ok to cross into personal attack on HN. We ban accounts that do that, so please don't do it again.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

Re: 2025: The Year in LLMs

#99
post #67

Indeed. I don't understand why Hacker News is so dismissive about the coming of LLMs, maybe HN readers are going through 5 stages of grief? But LLM is certainly a game changer, I can see it delivering impact bigger than the internet itself. Both require a lot of investments.

The internet and smartphones were immediately useful in a million different ways for almost every person. AI is not even close to that level. Very to somewhat useful in some fields (like programming) but the average person will easily be able to go through their day without using AI. The most wide-appeal possibility is people loving 100%-AI-slop entertainment like that AI Instagram Reels product. Maybe I'm just too d…

… the internet was not immediately useful in a million different ways for almost every person.

Even if you skip ARPAnet, you’re forgetting the Gopher days and even if you jump straight to WWW+email==the internet, you’re forgetting the mosaic days.

The applications that became useful to the masses emerged a decade+ after the public internet and even then, it took 2+ decades to reach anything approaching saturation.

Your dismissal is not likely to age well, for similar reasons.

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