Earlier quoted context omitted.
I think AI-assisted programming may be having the opposite effect, at least for me. I'm now incentivized to use less abstractions. Why do we code with React? It's because synchronizing state between a UI and a data model is difficult and it's easy to make mistakes, so it's worth paying the React complexity/page-weight tax in order for a "better developer experience" that allows us to build working, reliable software…
> If an LLM is typing that code - and it can maintain a test suite that shows everything works correctly - maybe we don't need that abstraction after all. I've had plenty of junior devs justify massive code bases of random scripts and 100+ line functions with the same logic. There's a reason senior devs almost always push back on this when it's encountered. Everything hinges on that "if". But you're baking a tautolog…
Indeed, part of becoming a senior developer is learning why you should avoid left-pad but accept date-fns.
We’re still in the early stages of operationalising LLMs. This is like mobile apps in 2010 or SPA web dev in 2014. People are throwing a lot of stuff at the wall and there’s going be a ton of churn and chaos before we figure out how to use it and it settles down a bit. I used to joke that I didn’t like taking vacations because the entire front end stack will have been chucked out and replaced with something new by the time I get back, but it’s pretty stable now.
Also I find it odd you’d characterise the current LLM progress as somehow being below where we hoped it would be. A few years back, people would have said you were absolutely nuts if you’d have predicted how good these models would become. Very few people (apart from those trying to sell you something) were exclaiming we’d be imminently entering a world where you enter an idea and out comes a complex solution without any further guidance or refining. When the AI can do that, we can just tell it to improve itself in a loop and AGI is just some GPU cycles away. Most people still expect - and hope - that’s a little way off yet.
That doesn’t mean the relative cost of abstracting and inlining hasn’t changed dramatically or that these tools aren’t incredibly useful when you figure out how to hold them.
Or you could just do what most people always do and wait for the trailblazers to either get burnt or figure out what works, and then jump on the bandwagon when it stabilises - but accept that when it does stabilise, you’ll be a few years behind those who have been picking shrapnel out of their hands for the last few years.