it is comforting to know that that HN design persists.
slashdot hasn't changed in a decade so it's not an unreasonable prediction!
Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now
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Re: Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now
#82The title is misleading. This isn't the correct use of the term "hallucination". Hallucination refers to making up facts, not extrapolating into the future.
I read 10 comments before I realized that this was referring to 10 years in the FUTURE and not in the PAST (as would be required for it to be a hallucination).
Re: Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now
#83This was a fun little lark. Great idea! It’s interesting to notice how bad AI is at gaming out a 10-year future. It’s very good at predicting the next token but maybe even worse than humans—who are already terrible—at making educated guesses about the state of the world in a decade. I asked Claude: “Think ten years into the future about the state of software development. What is the most likely scenario?” And the ans…
>It’s interesting to notice how bad AI is at gaming out a 10-year future.
I agree it's a bit silly, but I think it understood the assignment(TM) which was to kind of do a winking performative show and dance to the satisfaction of the user interacting with it. It's entertainment value rather than sincere prediction. Every single entry is showing off a "look how futury this is" headline.
Actual HN would have plenty of posts lateral from any future signalling. Today's front page has Oliver Sacks, retrospectives on Warcraft II, opinion pieces on boutique topics. They aren't all "look at how future-y the future is" posts. I wonder if media literacy is the right word for understanding when an LLM is playing to its audience rather than sincerely imitating or predicting.
Re: Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now
#84This was a fun little lark. Great idea! It’s interesting to notice how bad AI is at gaming out a 10-year future. It’s very good at predicting the next token but maybe even worse than humans—who are already terrible—at making educated guesses about the state of the world in a decade. I asked Claude: “Think ten years into the future about the state of software development. What is the most likely scenario?” And the ans…
I guess most of the articles it generated are snarky first and prediction next. Like google cancelling gemini cloud, Tailscale for space, Nia W36 being very similar to recent launch etc.
Yep, the original post seemed more snarky than anything, which was what prompted me to ask Claude my own more “sincere” question about its predictions.
Those predictions were what I think of as a reflection of current reality more than any kind of advanced reasoning about the future.
Re: Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now
#85Re: Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now
#86Exactly half of these HN usernames actually exist. So either there are enough people on HN that follow common conventions for Gemini to guess from a more general distribution, or Gemini has memorized some of the more popular posters. The ones that are missing: - aphyr_bot - bio_hacker - concerned_grandson - cyborg_sec - dang_fan - edge_compute - founder_jane - glasshole2 - monad_lover - muskwatch - net_hacker - oldti…
Before the AI stuff Google had those pop up quick answers when googling. So I googled something like three years ago, saw the answer, realized it was sourced from HN. Clicked the link, and lo and behold, I answered my own question. Look mah! Im on google! So I am not surprised at all that Google crawls HN enough to have it in their LLM.
I did chuckle at the 100% Rust Linux kernel. I like Rust, but that felt like a clever joke by the AI.
Re: Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now
#87The title is misleading. This isn't the correct use of the term "hallucination". Hallucination refers to making up facts, not extrapolating into the future. I read 10 comments before I realized that this was referring to 10 years in the FUTURE and not in the PAST (as would be required for it to be a hallucination).
Don’t LLMs only ever hallucinate?
Re: Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now
#88The title is misleading. This isn't the correct use of the term "hallucination". Hallucination refers to making up facts, not extrapolating into the future. I read 10 comments before I realized that this was referring to 10 years in the FUTURE and not in the PAST (as would be required for it to be a hallucination).
There is no technical difference.
Re: Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now
#89The title is misleading. This isn't the correct use of the term "hallucination". Hallucination refers to making up facts, not extrapolating into the future. I read 10 comments before I realized that this was referring to 10 years in the FUTURE and not in the PAST (as would be required for it to be a hallucination).
Extrapolation is a subset of hallucination.
The ubiquitous use of hallucination I see is merely "something the LLM made up".