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Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now

dosaygo-studio.github.io

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Re: Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now

#61

Post by iambateman »

This was a fun little lark. Great idea!

It’s interesting to notice how bad AI is at gaming out a 10-year future. It’s very good at predicting the next token but maybe even worse than humans—who are already terrible—at making educated guesses about the state of the world in a decade.

I asked Claude: “Think ten years into the future about the state of software development. What is the most likely scenario?” And the answer it gave me was the correct answer for today and definitely not a decade into the future.

This is why it’s so dangerous to ask an LLM for personal advice of any kind. It isn’t trained to consider second-order effects.

Thanks for the thought experiment!

Re: Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now

#62

Post by [deleted] »

icyfox wrote: post #50

Exactly half of these HN usernames actually exist. So either there are enough people on HN that follow common conventions for Gemini to guess from a more general distribution, or Gemini has memorized some of the more popular posters. The ones that are missing: - aphyr_bot - bio_hacker - concerned_grandson - cyborg_sec - dang_fan - edge_compute - founder_jane - glasshole2 - monad_lover - muskwatch - net_hacker - oldti…

[deleted]

Re: Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now

#63

Post by dang_fan »

icyfox wrote: post #50

Exactly half of these HN usernames actually exist. So either there are enough people on HN that follow common conventions for Gemini to guess from a more general distribution, or Gemini has memorized some of the more popular posters. The ones that are missing: - aphyr_bot - bio_hacker - concerned_grandson - cyborg_sec - dang_fan - edge_compute - founder_jane - glasshole2 - monad_lover - muskwatch - net_hacker - oldti…

[dead]

Re: Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now

#64

Post by allisdust »

iambateman wrote: post #61

This was a fun little lark. Great idea! It’s interesting to notice how bad AI is at gaming out a 10-year future. It’s very good at predicting the next token but maybe even worse than humans—who are already terrible—at making educated guesses about the state of the world in a decade. I asked Claude: “Think ten years into the future about the state of software development. What is the most likely scenario?” And the ans…

I guess most of the articles it generated are snarky first and prediction next. Like google cancelling gemini cloud, Tailscale for space, Nia W36 being very similar to recent launch etc.

Re: Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now

#65

Post by saintfire »

lagniappe wrote: post #9

This suffers from a common pitfall of LLM's, context taint. You can see it is obviously the front page from today with slight "future" variation, the result ends up being very formulaic.

Algodrill is copied verbatim, as far as I can tell.

Re: Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now

#66

Post by teekert »

latexr wrote: post #30
teekert wrote: post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah that’s very true, but I still think it’s pretty funny and original.

> > the result ends up being very formulaic. > Yeah that’s very true, but I still think it’s pretty funny and original. Either it’s formulaic or it’s original, it can’t be both.

According to an original formula hehe

Re: Show HN: Gemini Pro 3 imagines the HN front page 10 years from now

#69

Post by JoshTriplett »

pzo wrote: post #40
serendipityAI wrote: post #17

IBM to acquire OpenAI? Gemini doesn't like openAIs prospect

also Gemini: > 8. Google kills Gemini Cloud Services (killedbygoogle.com)

That's pretty hilarious considering this is generated by Gemini.
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