Being locked into a set of a handful of vendors who offer "secure" sync (of course, this is not a true PKI and actual key material is being synced, meaning it's only as secure as the syncing protocol and your authentication to it).
Authenticator implementations who allow exports outside of the vendor cartel are threatened to be blacklisted: https://github.com/keepassxreboot/keepassxc/issues/10407
> My primary hardware key can be from a completely different vendor than the backup one, so I don't quite buy the conspiracy angle.
The fundamental flaw is that enrolling an authenticator requires it to be present, making a backup strategy much less resilient as it means your secondary device needs to be constantly present and thus exposed to the same local/environmental risks the primary one is (theft/fire/faulty USB port that fries everything plugged in and you only realize after nuking both your keys). It makes an offline backup scenario like with SSH (where you copy a public key and otherwise leave the authenticator out of reach in a safe place) impossible.
Making it hard/impractical to maintain a reliable backup yourself sure makes those proprietary sync-based services attractive, which also doubles as reducing security since key material is being synced and can potentially be extracted (impossible with a true HSM + PKI implementation).
> preventing anyone from creating "paired" hardware authenticators
Don't certain types of keys involve writing something to the authenticator, fundamentally preventing this (as the backup authenticator won't get this written value)?
> cabal
It doesn't have to be explicit coordinated action like intentionally wanting to prevent people from self-managing passkeys (in fact any hint of it being intentional would be a liability in a potential anti-trust situation, so that's a big no-no); it can be done by simply omitting this scenario, by accident or for "security" purposes, or deprioritizing it to hell. In fact the Credential Migration spec is still a draft and appears quite recent, despite passkeys being heavily promoted for a while: https://fidoalliance.org/specs/cx/cxp-v1.0-wd-20241003.html - you'd think that such as basic feature would be sorted before the push to switch to passkeys no?
In fact you see this exact strategy playing out: https://github.com/keepassxreboot/keepassxc/issues/11363#iss...
> For the initial delivery of Credential Exchange, we focused on the most wide use case [emphasis mine]
"Initial" delivery focuses on the most widespread use-case (how convenient it also happens to be the most corporation-friendly use-case), with everything else coming "later", meaning never. I'm sure it'll rot in some Jira backlog as a liability shield so they can promise they did plan for it and just never got around to it, but everyone understands it will never actually get implemented.