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Gemini 3 Pro Model Card [pdf]

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Re: Gemini 3 Pro Model Card [pdf]

#281
post #249

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Wow. They must have had some major breakthrough. Those scores are truly insane. O_O Models have begun to fairly thoroughly saturate "knowledge" and such, but there are still considerable bumps there But the _big news_, and the demonstration of their achievement here, are the incredible scores they've racked up here for what's necessary for agentic AI to become widely deployable. t2-bench. Visual comprehension. Comput…

The problem is that we know in advance what is the benchmark, so Humanity's Last Exam for example, it's way easier to optimize your model when you have seen the questions before.

Its the other way around too, HLE questions were selected adversarially to reduce the scores. I'd guess even if the questions were never released, and new training data was introduced, the scores would improve.

Re: Gemini 3 Pro Model Card [pdf]

#282

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Do you mean that Gemini 3 Pro is "vanilla" like GPT 5.1 (non-Codex)?

Yes, two things: 1. GPT-5.1 Codex is a fine tune, not the "vanilla" 5.1 2. More importantly, GPT 5.1 Codex achieves its performance when used with a specific tool (Codex CLI) that is optimized for GPT 5.1 Codex. But when labs evaluate the models, they have to use a standard tool to make the comparisons apples-to-apples. Will be interesting to see what Google releases that's coding-specific to follow Gemini 3.

> But when labs evaluate the models, they have to use a standard tool to make the comparisons apples-to-apples.

That'd be a bad idea, models are often trained for specific tools (like GPT Codex is trained for Codex, and Sonnet has been trained with Claude Code in mind), and also vice-versa that the tools are built with a specific model in mind, as they all work differently.

Forcing all the models to use the same tool for execution sounds like a surefire way of getting results that doesn't represent real usage, but instead arbitrarily measure how well a model works with the "standard harness", which if people start caring about, will start to become gamed instead.

Re: Gemini 3 Pro Model Card [pdf]

#283
post #23

Benchmarks from page 4 of the model card: | Benchmark | 3 Pro | 2.5 Pro | Sonnet 4.5 | GPT-5.1 | |-----------------------|-----------|---------|------------|-----------| | Humanity's Last Exam | 37.5% | 21.6% | 13.7% | 26.5% | | ARC-AGI-2 | 31.1% | 4.9% | 13.6% | 17.6% | | GPQA Diamond | 91.9% | 86.4% | 83.4% | 88.1% | | AIME 2025 | | | | | | (no tools) | 95.0% | 88.0% | 87.0% | 94.0% | | (code execution) | 100% | -…

Used an AI to populate some of 5.1 thinking's results. Benchmark | Gemini 3 Pro | Gemini 2.5 Pro | Claude Sonnet 4.5 | GPT-5.1 | GPT-5.1 Thinking ---------------------------|--------------|----------------|-------------------|---------|------------------ Humanity's Last Exam | 37.5% | 21.6% | 13.7% | 26.5% | 52% ARC-AGI-2 | 31.1% | 4.9% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 28% GPQA Diamond | 91.9% | 86.4% | 83.4% | 88.1% | 61% AIM 2025…

This is provably false. All it takes is a simple Google search and looking at the ARC AGI 2 leaderboard: https://arcprize.org/leaderboard

The 17.6% is for 5.1 Thinking High.

Re: Gemini 3 Pro Model Card [pdf]

#284
post #120

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The memory of Microsoft's Tay fiasco was strong around the time the brain team started playing with chatbots.

Google was catastrophically traumatized throughout the org when they had that photos AI mislabel black people as gorillas. They turned the safety and caution knobs up to 12 after that for years, really until OpenAI came along and ate their lunch.

It still haunts them. Even in the brand-new Gemini-based rework of Photos search and image recognition, "gorilla" is a completely blacklisted word.

Re: Gemini 3 Pro Model Card [pdf]

#285
It's over. I just don't care anymore. I don't care what a pro model card is. I don't care what a humanity's last exam is. I don't care if the response makes me feel good about the prompt I made. I don't care if it's sentient. I don't care if it's secretly sentient. I don't care if it's just a machine. I don't care if the gov't has appropriated a secret model. I don't care if this is the precursor to AGI, ASI, AGGI, AGGSISGIGIG....I just. Don't. care.

And I really don't think I'm alone in this.

Re: Gemini 3 Pro Model Card [pdf]

#286
post #141

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And also, critically, being the only profitable company doing this.

It's not like they're making their money from this though. All AI work is heavily subsidised, for Alphabet it just happens that the funding comes from within the megacorp. If MS had fully absorbed OpenAI back when their board nearly sunk the boat, they'd be in the exact same situation today.

They're not making money, but they're in a much better situation than Microsoft/OpenAI because of TPUs. TPUs are much cheaper than Nvidia cards both to purchase and to operate, so Google's AI efforts aren't running at as much of a loss as everyone else. That's why they can do things like offer Gemini 3 Pro for free.

Re: Gemini 3 Pro Model Card [pdf]

#287
post #271

These model cards tell me nothing. I want to know the exact data a model was trained on. Otherwise, how can I safely use it for generating texts that I show to children? Etc.etc.

Shouldn't you be carefully reading texts before you show it to children?

No, I have an app that generates children's stories.

Re: Gemini 3 Pro Model Card [pdf]

#288
post #249

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Wow. They must have had some major breakthrough. Those scores are truly insane. O_O Models have begun to fairly thoroughly saturate "knowledge" and such, but there are still considerable bumps there But the _big news_, and the demonstration of their achievement here, are the incredible scores they've racked up here for what's necessary for agentic AI to become widely deployable. t2-bench. Visual comprehension. Comput…

The problem is that we know in advance what is the benchmark, so Humanity's Last Exam for example, it's way easier to optimize your model when you have seen the questions before.

From https://lastexam.ai/: "The dataset consists of 2,500 challenging questions across over a hundred subjects. We publicly release these questions, while maintaining a private test set of held out questions to assess model overfitting." [emphasis mine]

While the private questions don't seem to be included in the performance results, HLE will presumably flag any LLM that appears to have gamed its scores based on the differential performance on the private questions. Since they haven't yet, I think the scores are relatively trustworthy.

Re: Gemini 3 Pro Model Card [pdf]

#289

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That looks impressive, but some of the are a bit out of date. On Terminal-Bench 2 for example, the leader is currently "Codex CLI (GPT-5.1-Codex)" at 57.8%, beating this new release.

What's more impressive is that I find gemini2.5 still relevant in day-to-day usage, despite being so low on those benchmarks compared to claude 4.5 and gpt 5.1. There's something that gemini has that makes it a great model in real cases, I'd call it generalisation on its context or something. If you give it the proper context (or it digs through the files in its own agent) it comes up with great solutions. Even if th…

I've noticed that too. I suspect it has broader general knowledge than the others, because Google presumably has the broadest training set.

Re: Gemini 3 Pro Model Card [pdf]

#290
post #262

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your mileage may vary, but for me, working today with the latest version of Claude Code on a non-trivial python web dev project, I do absolutely feel that I can hand over to the AI coding tasks that are 10 times more complex or time consuming than what I could hand over to copilot or windsurf a year ago. It's still nowhere close to replacing me, but I feel that I can work at a significantly higher level. What field a…

Claude 3.5 came out in June of last year, and it is imo marginally worse than the AI models currently available for coding. I do not think models are 10x better than 1 year ago, that seems extremely hyperbolic or you are working in a super niche area where that is true.

Are you using it for agentic tasks of any length? 3.5 and 4.5 are about the same for single file/single snippet tasks, but my observation has been that 4.5 can do longer, more complex tasks that were a waste of time to even try with 3.5 because it would always fail.
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