WeatherNext 2: Our most advanced weather forecasting model
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Re: WeatherNext 2: Our most advanced weather forecasting model
#2Pricing, I think?
https://developers.google.com/maps/billing-and-pricing/prici...
Re: WeatherNext 2: Our most advanced weather forecasting model
#3This year, the wild variance in hourly weather reports on my phone has really been something. I attributed it to likely budget cuts as a result of DOGE, but if those forecasts came from Google itself the whole time, all is clear now.
Re: WeatherNext 2: Our most advanced weather forecasting model
#4I find it interesting that they quantify the improvement on speed and number of forecast-ed scenarios but lack details on how it results in improved accuracy of the forecast per:
``` WeatherNext 2 can generate forecasts 8x faster and with resolution up to 1-hour. This breakthrough is enabled by a new model that can provide hundreds of possible scenarios. ```
As an end user, all I care is that there's one accurate forecasted scenario.
Re: WeatherNext 2: Our most advanced weather forecasting model
#5I find it interesting that they quantify the improvement on speed and number of forecast-ed scenarios but lack details on how it results in improved accuracy of the forecast per: ``` WeatherNext 2 can generate forecasts 8x faster and with resolution up to 1-hour. This breakthrough is enabled by a new model that can provide hundreds of possible scenarios. ``` As an end user, all I care is that there's one accurate for…
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Re: WeatherNext 2: Our most advanced weather forecasting model
#6I find it interesting that they quantify the improvement on speed and number of forecast-ed scenarios but lack details on how it results in improved accuracy of the forecast per: ``` WeatherNext 2 can generate forecasts 8x faster and with resolution up to 1-hour. This breakthrough is enabled by a new model that can provide hundreds of possible scenarios. ``` As an end user, all I care is that there's one accurate for…
As a end user I also want to see the variance to get a feeling of the uncertainty.
Quite a lot of weather sites offer this data in an easily eatable visual format.
Re: WeatherNext 2: Our most advanced weather forecasting model
#7Is anyone aware of good sources of higher resolution models? Hourly resolution like this model provides doesn’t help much now that energy markets have moved to 15-min and 5-min resolution.
Re: WeatherNext 2: Our most advanced weather forecasting model
#8This year, the wild variance in hourly weather reports on my phone has really been something. I attributed it to likely budget cuts as a result of DOGE, but if those forecasts came from Google itself the whole time, all is clear now.
I find that unlikely, my forecasts for much of Europe and East Asia have been consistently accurate.
Re: WeatherNext 2: Our most advanced weather forecasting model
#9It feels like real weather AI|Forecast|whatever_you_want_to_call_it is still far, far away. Maybe it's just the consumer aspect of weather apps but I don't feel as if I get any more accurate data now than I did back when my parents turned to the daily weather channel for the forecast. Still a lot of clear days when rain was predicted or the even more dreaded torrential downpour when it was supposed to be sunny and clear.
Obviously all I have is anecdata for what I'm mentioning here but from a consumer perspective I don't feel like these model enhancements are really making average folks feel as if weather is any more understood than it was decades ago.
Re: WeatherNext 2: Our most advanced weather forecasting model
#10It feels like real weather AI|Forecast|whatever_you_want_to_call_it is still far, far away. Maybe it's just the consumer aspect of weather apps but I don't feel as if I get any more accurate data now than I did back when my parents turned to the daily weather channel for the forecast. Still a lot of clear days when rain was predicted or the even more dreaded torrential downpour when it was supposed to be sunny and cl…
No need for anecdata! We have the data: https://ourworldindata.org/weather-forecasts
tdlr: Weather forecasts have improved a lot