I analyzed 180M jobs to see what jobs AI is replacing today

Post by moneywoes » Mon, Nov 03, 2025, 3:55 PM UTC

baq wrote: post #26

saghm wrote: post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's funny, almost every conversation I have about the fact that I work as a software engineer with new people I meet nowadays seems to include them asking if I'm worried about AI stealing my job. Maybe it's something that people ask everyone nowadays regardless of what industry they work in, but at least as far as I can tell, the type of work I do doesn't seem in any apparent danger of being replaced by AI any time…

as of today that's probably true, but if the labs manage to keep increasing the 50% time horizon (defined by METR as 'the length of tasks (measured by how long they take human professionals) that it can complete autonomously with 50% probability') at the current pace, it might not be for long. Exponentials are hard enough to forecast if you kinda sorta know the parameters, and we don't have that comfort today.

Post by 9rx » Mon, Nov 03, 2025, 3:56 PM UTC

lm28469 wrote: post #19

9rx wrote: post #4

Earlier quoted context omitted.

At the end of the day, "AI" is just another programming language, albeit one that is much more accessible to the layman. When using AI, you become a software engineer. So it stands to reason that software engineering jobs are strong. But what about pay? Elevator operator jobs have never been more prevalent, but increased accessibility to the layman pushed the price to zero.

> When using AI, you become a software engineer. When using a pen you become a poet ? lol Most people who code aren't software engineers, you certainly can't extend the definition to every AI users

Post by _fizz_buzz_ » Mon, Nov 03, 2025, 3:58 PM UTC

moralestapia wrote: post #34

>180M jobs I doubt they have this data. I highly doubt they have this data.

Post by QuercusMax » Mon, Nov 03, 2025, 4:00 PM UTC

9rx wrote: post #43

lm28469 wrote: post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> When using AI, you become a software engineer. When using a pen you become a poet ? lol Most people who code aren't software engineers, you certainly can't extend the definition to every AI users

> When using a pen you become a poet ? No. By definition, a poet writes poems. Not all pen use leads to poems. By definition, engineers build systems. What else can you do with code (and LLMs; same thing) other than build systems?

Post by moffkalast » Mon, Nov 03, 2025, 4:03 PM UTC

the_arun wrote: post #22

svnt wrote: post #8

Completely absent is quantity of jobs. If e.g. ml engineer job postings go +40% from 200 to 280 and writer job postings go -50% (over two years) from 20000 to 10000, then we have a better idea of the impact. Without those data this report isn’t really quantifying impact on “180M jobs.”

Also decline in Security engineer by 0.35% doesn't make sense by conventional wisdom. Shouldn't it be increasing due to increased demand for security in all ai integrations?