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Reasoning models reason well, until they don't

arxiv.org

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Re: Reasoning models reason well, until they don't

#2
> [...] recent studies show that transformers and LLMs fail catastrophically once reasoning problems exceed modest complexity. We revisit these findings through the lens of large reasoning models (LRMs) -- LLMs fine-tuned with incentives for step-by-step argumentation and self-verification

This was the obvious outcome of the study (don't get me wrong, obvious outcomes are still worth having research on).

"LRMs" *are* just LLMs. There's no such thing as a reasoning model, it's just having an LLM write a better prompt than the human would and then sending it to the LLM again.

Despite what Amodei and Altman want Wall Street to believe, they did not suddenly unlock reasoning capabilities in LLMs by essentially just running two different prompts in sequence to answer the user's question.

The truly amazing thing is that reasoning models show ANY improvement at all compared to non-reasoning models, when they're the same exact thing.

Re: Reasoning models reason well, until they don't

#5

It’s because they generate a seeming of reasoning, and don’t actually reason! (Slams the door angrily) (stomps out angrily) (touches the grass angrily)

Yea, a bit like a cheating student rote memorizing and copying another students technique for solving a type of problem, and failing hard as soon as there's too much variation from the original problem.

Re: Reasoning models reason well, until they don't

#6

> [...] recent studies show that transformers and LLMs fail catastrophically once reasoning problems exceed modest complexity. We revisit these findings through the lens of large reasoning models (LRMs) -- LLMs fine-tuned with incentives for step-by-step argumentation and self-verification This was the obvious outcome of the study (don't get me wrong, obvious outcomes are still worth having research on). "LRMs" *are*…

What do you mean by reasoning?

If you mean solving logic problems, then reasoning LLMs seem to pass that bar as they do very well programming and maths competitions. Reasoning LLMs can also complete problems like multiplying large numbers, which requires applying some sort of algorithm where the results cannot just be memorised. They also do this much better than standard pre-trained LLMs with no RL.

So, that makes me come back to this question of what definition of reasoning do people use that reasoning models do not meet? They're not perfect, obviously, but that is not a requirement of reasoning if you agree that humans can reason. We make mistakes as well, and we also suffer under higher complexity. Perhaps they are less reliable in knowing when they have made mistakes or not than trained humans, but I wouldn't personally include reliability in my definition for reasoning (just look at how often humans make mistakes in tests).

I am yet to see any serious, reasoned, arguments that suggest why the amazing achievements of reasoning LLMs in maths and programming competitions, on novel problems, does not count as "real reasoning". It seems much more that people just don't like the idea of LLMs reasoning, and so reject the idea without giving an actual reason themselves, which seems somewhat ironic to me.

Re: Reasoning models reason well, until they don't

#7

> [...] recent studies show that transformers and LLMs fail catastrophically once reasoning problems exceed modest complexity. We revisit these findings through the lens of large reasoning models (LRMs) -- LLMs fine-tuned with incentives for step-by-step argumentation and self-verification This was the obvious outcome of the study (don't get me wrong, obvious outcomes are still worth having research on). "LRMs" *are*…

> The truly amazing thing is that reasoning models show ANY improvement at all compared to non-reasoning models, when they're the same exact thing.

It's because they do more compute. The more tokens "spent" the better the accuracy. Same reason they spit out a paragraph of text instead of just giving a straight answer in non-reasoning mode.

Re: Reasoning models reason well, until they don't

#9
post #5

It’s because they generate a seeming of reasoning, and don’t actually reason! (Slams the door angrily) (stomps out angrily) (touches the grass angrily)

Yea, a bit like a cheating student rote memorizing and copying another students technique for solving a type of problem, and failing hard as soon as there's too much variation from the original problem.

Yes!

That said the input space of supported problems is quite large and you can configure the problem parametrs quite flexibly.

I guess the issue is that what the model _actually_ provides you is this idiot savant who has pre-memorized everything without offering a clear index that would disambiguate well-supported problems from ”too difficult” (i.e. novel) ones

Re: Reasoning models reason well, until they don't

#10

> [...] recent studies show that transformers and LLMs fail catastrophically once reasoning problems exceed modest complexity. We revisit these findings through the lens of large reasoning models (LRMs) -- LLMs fine-tuned with incentives for step-by-step argumentation and self-verification This was the obvious outcome of the study (don't get me wrong, obvious outcomes are still worth having research on). "LRMs" *are*…

I can't remember which paper it's from, but isn't the variance in performance explained by # of tokens generated? i.e. more tokens generated tends towards better performance.

Which isn't particularly amazing, as # of tokens generated is basically a synonym in this case for computation.

We spend more computation, we tend towards better answers.

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