Is AI a Bubble? I Didn't Think So Until I Heard of SDD
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Is AI a Bubble? I Didn't Think So Until I Heard of SDD
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Re: Is AI a Bubble? I Didn't Think So Until I Heard of SDD
#2> McKinsey stated AI could “automate work activities that absorb 60 to 70 percent of employees’ time today” across all occupations, not specifically software development.
I would wager a large portion of that would be both generating and then triaging a certain level of institutional "bullshit communications".
For example, the employee must give daily status updates, and they have a three-item list for the day. They use an LLM to pad out their three-item bullet list into prose that sounds smart and active and impressive.
Then their manager says "TLDR" and uses an LLM to "summarize" it back into almost the original three-item bullet list. Each employee believes they've "saved time" using the tool, but it's a kind of broken-window fallacy [0].
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Parable_of_the_broken_window
Re: Is AI a Bubble? I Didn't Think So Until I Heard of SDD
#3> McKinsey stated AI could “automate work activities that absorb 60 to 70 percent of employees’ time today” across all occupations, not specifically software development. I would wager a large portion of that would be both generating and then triaging a certain level of institutional "bullshit communications". For example, the employee must give daily status updates, and they have a three-item list for the day. They…
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Re: Is AI a Bubble? I Didn't Think So Until I Heard of SDD
#4> McKinsey stated AI could “automate work activities that absorb 60 to 70 percent of employees’ time today” across all occupations, not specifically software development. I would wager a large portion of that would be both generating and then triaging a certain level of institutional "bullshit communications". For example, the employee must give daily status updates, and they have a three-item list for the day. They…
Without a definition of thought as work, the entire argument of AI productivity is noise. The value of AI to work is utterly unquantifiable.
But command of human attention is another matter: it can be quantified and it is command of attention that defines the value of FAANG+
The AI boosters hype it in such terms, both intra-model and extra-model: we track the attention and sell seats in the musical chairs of "investment", leaving it to users to explain the productivity gains to themselves.
It's a circus.
Re: Is AI a Bubble? I Didn't Think So Until I Heard of SDD
#5> McKinsey stated AI could “automate work activities that absorb 60 to 70 percent of employees’ time today” across all occupations, not specifically software development. I would wager a large portion of that would be both generating and then triaging a certain level of institutional "bullshit communications". For example, the employee must give daily status updates, and they have a three-item list for the day. They…
Without a definition of thought as work, the entire argument of AI productivity is noise. The value of AI to work is utterly unquantifiable. But command of human attention is another matter: it can be quantified and it is command of attention that defines the value of FAANG+ The AI boosters hype it in such terms, both intra-model and extra-model: we track the attention and sell seats in the musical chairs of "investm…
I always find the X% of developers use AI tools for their work suspect because I know many people who are being pressured by their company to adopt AI tools for their day to day workflows.
Re: Is AI a Bubble? I Didn't Think So Until I Heard of SDD
#6[deleted]
Re: Is AI a Bubble? I Didn't Think So Until I Heard of SDD
#7[deleted]
Re: Is AI a Bubble? I Didn't Think So Until I Heard of SDD
#8SDD: “Specification Driven Development”
Re: Is AI a Bubble? I Didn't Think So Until I Heard of SDD
#9In this week's episode: AI-written article containing AI-generated artwork argues that AI is a bubble
Re: Is AI a Bubble? I Didn't Think So Until I Heard of SDD
#10Earlier quoted context omitted.
Without a definition of thought as work, the entire argument of AI productivity is noise. The value of AI to work is utterly unquantifiable. But command of human attention is another matter: it can be quantified and it is command of attention that defines the value of FAANG+ The AI boosters hype it in such terms, both intra-model and extra-model: we track the attention and sell seats in the musical chairs of "investm…
I always find the X% of developers use AI tools for their work suspect because I know many people who are being pressured by their company to adopt AI tools for their day to day workflows.
As they should be. It’s a necessary tool to learn. If your entire dev team circa 2010 was writing code in notepad++ and sharing code versions in a zip file, you would push them to use an IDE and source control. It’s the same concept.