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What Business is Wall Street In?

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141–150 of 191 posts

Re: What Business is Wall Street In?

#141
post #134

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think everyone supports market making. And market makers should take a reward for holding onto a stock (even for a short period of time) But the benefits of market making tail off with frequency - would you mind waiting another hour for a deal at 518 or even a whole day? To a trader its unacceptable, to an investor, its a coffee break. But what drives HF trading is trading - as markets become more efficient trading…

Force quotes to be in sixteenths, the way they used to be and HFT disappears.

What makes you think increasing the tick size would help? HFT would still be at the front of every book, except in larger quantities now. Most people support MORE decimalization than less.

Re: What Business is Wall Street In?

#142
post #137
post #64

Earlier quoted context omitted.

All right, enough. The amount of ignorance out there about HFT is huge. I developed HFT algorithms in a previous life at a very large, well known bank. The majority of trades out there are in fact market making related. The ones that are market taking are usually at the expense of OTHER HFT algorithms, the ones that are slow and showing out dated prices. And yes, HFT algorithms most DEFINITELY hold inventory. Some do…

> The ones that are market taking are usually at the expense of OTHER HFT algorithms, the ones that are slow and showing out dated prices. Isn't that exactly the point the GP was making?

No.

Re: What Business is Wall Street In?

#143
Sigh, I like Mark Cuban, its fun to watch him on Shark Tank but I don't think he makes a good case here. The financial markets have several ways in which people use and/or exploit them. One of the ways people use the stock market is for investing, one of the ways they use the market is for 'trading' which for all intents is extracting value out of the first (or second) derivative of market trades.

An analogy (weak but serviceable) is that a home town bank is for "saving money", you save your money, you deposit, you write drafts against your deposits that other people can use to make value limited withdrawals. Oh and the people in the bank? They also have a business where they take your deposits and they loan that to people who need money now and can repay it in the future. But to do that they have to do 'magic math' and figure out how likely it is that this borrower will pay it back and they do that with an interest rate. Now the bank, like it has from the beginning of time, is "making money using your money and dealing with people who will pay to borrow it."

Interestingly this exact same works on Wall street and with 'investment banks'. You "invest" (equivlaent to making a deposit) and instead of a chit that says you have $1000 on deposit you get one that says you have ownership of 50 shares of stock in AT&T. Guess what, the bank doesn't just sit on a bunch of stock certificates, they have another business where they let other people use those shares on the agreement they can always get back 50 shares to give to you if you decide you want the certificates to put in a safe deposit box or something. One customer is 'investing' and one (possibly different) customer is 'trading'.

Guess what you can do this with anything of value, and if its something someone consumes you call it "commodities", if its currency you call it "banking", if its stocks and bonds you call it "investing", and if its gossip you call it "journalism."

Mark is smart enough to know this, so why the blog post?

My guess is that a lot of people don't like high-frequency-trading because they can't afford to play. What has happened is that a large holding company, fund, or bank with programmers and computers and data center space near the exchange can easily out trade someone trying to do this through the e-trade Web API. I get how that could be annoying to someone who used to make money that way, tell it to all the folks who used to be able to make a class A game title with a couple of programmers and an artistically inclined person or two.

Re: What Business is Wall Street In?

#144
post #139
post #65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think you missed his main point. His main point: Wall Street doesn’t know what business it is in. Wall Street has nothing to do with creating capital for businesses, its original goal. He's saying wall street should have an incentive to create/raise capital for businesses, not invest in marginally profitable trading strategies like HFT. The opportunity cost of wall street investing in trading is that other pursuits…

Does anyone here even have any experience in NYC, or on Wall Street? Wall street knows what business it's in...lots of them. It does bond research, equity research, investment management, sales and trading, and yes, investment banking (to raise capital to all these poor companies that can't find anyone to pay millions of dollars in fees to do) Do people really think that there are no investment bankers who raise capi…

No, most of the people here have no experience in high-end trading. And no, it's not informed by facts. It's very frustrating, but if it's any consolation, it's the same kind of struggle against ignorance that occurs on threads about cryptography (a nerd subject) or language design (another nerd subject).

Personally, I'm not irritated at the nerds (after all, I'm one of them) so much as I am at places like Zero Hedge and Rolling Stone which prey on the ignorance of nerds to drive up pageviews.

Re: What Business is Wall Street In?

#145
post #52

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If that is really his point, then he does not understand value investing. From the point of view of a value investor, the numbers that you care about are the current price, and how successful you think that company will be. If the current price is below that benchmark, you buy and hold. If the current price is above that benchmark then maybe you want to sell short. (The reason for the maybe is that, the market can st…

Better than that, an irrational dip in a stock's price due to an analyst recommendation or another factor may represent a good opportunity for a value investor!

Exactly. And we should just stop calling them "Value" investors. This is true for growth investors, any kind of investors, in fact all investors.

Investing is about knowing the difference between value and the price.

When you can do that-- and when I say "knowing" I mean it, and I have a spreadsheet to calculate it-- then you can buy low and sell high.

The problem is wall street is in the business of managing other people's money and most people are ignorant of money, so you have a lot of people who just turn their money over to others to "manage"... and many of those that use other people's money end up gambling with it rather than investing it... this problem is compounded by the moral hazard created by the government bailing these companies out when the gambles turn south (or underwriting the gambling by buying bad securities as helicopter ben is doing right now to the tune of $40B a month.)

The problem with wall street is government regulation which is idiotically designed, and intervention-- in the form of bailouts-- that perverts the entire system incentivizing gambling.

And the people voting for all this, generally don't even know what money is, let alone how to invest it. (If you think the dollars in your pocket are money, then you're one of those people, and I suggest you read http://mises.org/money.asp )

Re: What Business is Wall Street In?

#146

Sigh, I like Mark Cuban, its fun to watch him on Shark Tank but I don't think he makes a good case here. The financial markets have several ways in which people use and/or exploit them. One of the ways people use the stock market is for investing, one of the ways they use the market is for 'trading' which for all intents is extracting value out of the first (or second) derivative of market trades. An analogy (weak bu…

My opinion is that Mark Cuban works hard, but he's opinionated most in the areas where he knows the least. He is not an authority on anything, except maybe sports team management. He got lucky selling a shell of company to Yahoo (a fool of a buyer) in the dotcom boom.... but his performance on shark tank and on his blog tell me that, he's confused his luck with talent.

Re: What Business is Wall Street In?

#147
post #139

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Does anyone here even have any experience in NYC, or on Wall Street? Wall street knows what business it's in...lots of them. It does bond research, equity research, investment management, sales and trading, and yes, investment banking (to raise capital to all these poor companies that can't find anyone to pay millions of dollars in fees to do) Do people really think that there are no investment bankers who raise capi…

No, most of the people here have no experience in high-end trading. And no, it's not informed by facts. It's very frustrating, but if it's any consolation, it's the same kind of struggle against ignorance that occurs on threads about cryptography (a nerd subject) or language design (another nerd subject). Personally, I'm not irritated at the nerds (after all, I'm one of them) so much as I am at places like Zero Hedge…

Agreed, those blogs/publications are horrendous. Just factual stuff that is wrong all over the place. I wouldn't mind if people had concerns, as long as they realize it's a very complicated subject, so maybe they should ask questions, instead of making stupid assertions that are clearly false and try to sound like experts in a subject they've thought about for 10 minutes.

Re: What Business is Wall Street In?

#148
post #138
post #137

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The ones that are market taking are usually at the expense of OTHER HFT algorithms, the ones that are slow and showing out dated prices. Isn't that exactly the point the GP was making?

How is that even close to the point he was making? HFT vs HFT algo trades happen infrequently. They do happen, but it's rare. But guess what? This forces each other to be better, just like any other competitive industry. The ones that do poorly consistently are just being told by the market that they should leave and go find something else to do, because they're not any good at this. If it's bad that one firm capital…

Quote "robots trading with robots without any regard to the stocks they are trading." end quote.

The problem with the competition between HFTs is that it's turned into a ridiculous arms race to shave microseconds off the response time - how is that in any way productive?

Re: What Business is Wall Street In?

#149
post #148
post #138

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How is that even close to the point he was making? HFT vs HFT algo trades happen infrequently. They do happen, but it's rare. But guess what? This forces each other to be better, just like any other competitive industry. The ones that do poorly consistently are just being told by the market that they should leave and go find something else to do, because they're not any good at this. If it's bad that one firm capital…

Quote "robots trading with robots without any regard to the stocks they are trading." end quote. The problem with the competition between HFTs is that it's turned into a ridiculous arms race to shave microseconds off the response time - how is that in any way productive?

Without any regards to the stocks they are trading? Ironically, Mark Cuban shoots himself in the foot here when he complains about macro events dominating micro events.

It turns out to price an asset, like a stock, a wide variety of skills is needed. Some people focus on macro trends, like analyzing political events, oil prices, etc. Some people talk to management of the company, count cars at Wal Mart, etc. These are the micro trends.

And some people try to estimate the current supply and demand for a certain stock. That is what HFT does. So yes, it has "regards to the stocks they are trading." Just different regards. That's why specialization works so well. HFT worries about current supply/demand issues, and tries to estimate a fair price to set the market so that when the average investor comes in, and looks at a stock with a 1 cent spread, he is going to get a fair price. Over the long term, people who analyze micro and macro factors will trade with HFT, which will then force the algorithms to change the stock price to reflect their views.

Is an arms race to shave milliseconds off of trading times the most important thing in the world? Absolutely not. But is gaming the Apple app store to get your mobile app higher in the rankings any different? At least with HFT, milliseconds do matter in more situations than you can imagine. If one day you buy a stock that had bad news announced just milliseconds before, and HFT did not update that quickly so you paid a price way, way too high, you would be upset. Again, not the most important thing in the world but it does help.

The millisecond thing is highly overrated. Anyone in the industry knows that it only matters to a small degree…understanding supply demand and adjusting accordingly is the most important skill. That's why the most profitable high frequency firms don't care about what millisecond they execute in…that is one of the great ironies of this--you guys are concerned about something that not many other people who actually do this for a living are concerned about. But you guys latch on this minor point as the major one, and that is a mistake. Do developers worry about how quickly their apps load? Yes. Does it mean their product will be a success? Not necessarily. That is the same thing here. HFT shops work to make sure they aren't too behind, but focusing on that aspect is just trivial compared to the actual work they do.

Re: What Business is Wall Street In?

#150

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think everyone supports market making. And market makers should take a reward for holding onto a stock (even for a short period of time) But the benefits of market making tail off with frequency - would you mind waiting another hour for a deal at 518 or even a whole day? To a trader its unacceptable, to an investor, its a coffee break. But what drives HF trading is trading - as markets become more efficient trading…

A lot of people support "market making", but then talk about frontrunning trades in situations that are morally and technically equivalent to market making. Computer nerds tend to assume the role of "market maker" is more formally defined than it really is. Really, there are just liquidity sellers and liquidity buyers.

Firstly I am not a fan of the term buying liquidity - I prefer injecting liquidity or extracting liquidity. In exact also but at least gives the one sided nature of the deal

secondly I also dislike the justification that HFT is ok be ause it is Market making. I see it as a form of Market making trying to capture the equivalent of the consumer surplus - I was quite happy to sell my shares at 505 and old boring mRket maker would turn and sell them at 510 tomorrow - but HFT nips in buys from me at 504 and old Market maker has to take them at 506

no real liquidity has been added to the Market in that situation - a deal was ready and raring to be done and another just reduced margins. Not bad, ethically fine but not actually adding much to the system

thirdly I dislike broccolli

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