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Germany outfitted half a million balconies with solar panels

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Re: Germany outfitted half a million balconies with solar panels

#131
post #126

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It takes active work to do that but not to manually approve zillions of individual installations?

The zillions of individual installations probably aren't actually getting approved, manually or otherwise.

Not if the purpose of the regulations is to thwart them, no. But those are the rules that ought not to be.

Re: Germany outfitted half a million balconies with solar panels

#132
post #114
post #102

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, but until recently, Germany produced more electricity than China did.

You're not getting his point. Germany has a space problem. There aren't large swaths of land available to put solar panels on. Added to that you have to realize just how far north Germany is, and consequently how... Bad solar is because of that. Seriously, dropping down the same amount of panels gets you significantly less electricity in Germany then where China is building them, much closer to the equator. Overall,…

Pretty bad place for fossil fuel extraction, too.

Re: Germany outfitted half a million balconies with solar panels

#133

This is such a total failure of state capacity. Why can the government or industry not build solar power at an industrial scale, and then bring it to people's homes via the existing infrastructure at a price that makes this kind of micro-scale setup completely uneconomical? It's bad enough when we have to put solar panels on actual roofs to reduce electricity bills. This is just absurd. Where are the economies of sca…

> Why can the government or industry not build solar power at an industrial scale

This seems like a false dichotomy to me. Germany is a pretty rich company. They can do both if they want to.

Re: Germany outfitted half a million balconies with solar panels

#134
post #93

Has anyone done any studies on the co2 emission of manufacturing one panel like this? Curious how long it will take to offset.

Yes there are many studies that did life cycle assessment of them. This is a good source [1] that analyze about 400 of these life cycle assessments. [1] https://docs.nrel.gov/docs/fy13osti/56487.pdf

That is more than ten years old, efficiency of PV is much better today, which probably brings emissions down a bit.

Re: Germany outfitted half a million balconies with solar panels

#135
post #70

AP News had a great article about this. We really need more states to adopt this beyond Utah. https://apnews.com/article/balcony-plug-solar-climate-energy...

> The $2,000 plug-in solar system installed on Dwyer’s backyard deck in March consists of two 400 watt panels, an inverter, a smart meter and a circuit breaker. It saves him around $35 per month on his power bill because he is consuming less energy from the grid, but he said reducing his carbon footprint was his primary motivation. so about 5yrs ROI And in germany a similar 5yr ratio (With some german cities subsidiz…

That's way overpriced. An 800W solar system is easily under US$1000 now.

Re: Germany outfitted half a million balconies with solar panels

#136

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Oh wow, that's an interesting position. I'm really curious to hear where you live and/or from what background you say this? Btw, this article is about putting a solar panel not on your roof, but on your balcony. People do it because it's cheap and saves money on electricity. Think of it like growing herbs on your balcony. Sure, industrial farms have economies of scale, but you still save money growing your own basil…

You grow herbs at home because it's kitsch, fun, or even convenient, not to save money. Store harvested herbs die in the fridge, electricity does not. In Australia, our government massively subsidizes putting solar panels on our roof, and batteries in our garages, for a $/kWh price wildly higher than could be achieved with economies of scale in an industrial installation. Batteries are even more egregious than solar,…

What does your vision of perfect solar power look like?

And within that vision, is a free person still able to decide for themselves if they want to buy a solar panel to hang on their balcony?

Re: Germany outfitted half a million balconies with solar panels

#137
post #95

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

Balcony solar panels isn't necessarily a bad outcome. It's enormously more resilient to natural disasters and warfare than centralized power stations, it's potentially more responsive to individual power needs than an electric regulator, and it may not even be inefficient—while solar panels in a utility-scale solar farm will have a higher capacity factor than balcony solar panels, that only saves you money on solar p…

> it's getting harder and harder to justify the efficiencies of centralization.

A lot of times they aren't even real to begin with.

People assume that economies of scale keep going up as long as scale keeps going up, but that's almost never true. They typically have diminishing returns or thresholds past which the unit cost stops going down. If you want to build solar panels you have to build a factory. If the factory can produce a million solar panels a year and you only want 10 solar panels you still have to build the entire factory. It's more efficient to build a million than 10.

But if people want a billion solar panels a year then you need a thousand factories, and one bigger factory isn't materially different than having two factories across the street from each other, so there's no real advantage to having them all operated by the same entity. Moreover, even if you only need 10 solar panels, you can get them from any of the thousand factories that each make a million a year. You're not losing the economies of scale by having many sellers and many buyers.

Meanwhile centralization often incurs additional costs. You already identified several, but another big one is land. Individual homeowners each have a roof or balcony wall that was otherwise going to have nothing on it. A centralized solar farm is more often going to have to pay for space.

Centralization is usually pushed by someone trying to monopolize something.

Re: Germany outfitted half a million balconies with solar panels

#138

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

This is a ridiculous take. Germany did not screw up their energy policy, they had a transition plan that ended up not working due to one of the partners in that plan starting a war and believing that they had Germany by the short hairs to stop them from interfering. For individuals in Europe that have the possibility to spend a few hundred (or even a few thousand) bucks up front to lower their energy bill is a win fo…

Well, Germany made an assumption that their „partner”, which already was starting wars, would at least keep them far enough from their home turf. It backfired spectacularly and we can blame German government for that.

Not much to disagree about generating energy at home though.

Re: Germany outfitted half a million balconies with solar panels

#139
post #114
post #102

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, but until recently, Germany produced more electricity than China did.

You're not getting his point. Germany has a space problem. There aren't large swaths of land available to put solar panels on. Added to that you have to realize just how far north Germany is, and consequently how... Bad solar is because of that. Seriously, dropping down the same amount of panels gets you significantly less electricity in Germany then where China is building them, much closer to the equator. Overall,…

For many years I have been writing about how bad Germany is for solar panels because of, mostly, how far north it is. Specifically, the capacity factor for utility-scale solar in Germany has historically been about 10%, which is mostly because of the unfavorable latitude and cloudiness. You can see this quantified at https://solargis.com/resources/free-maps-and-gis-data?locali.... The capacity factor for utility-scale solar in China has actually also historically been about 10%, and I have no idea why that is. You are certainly correct that it ought to be much better, because China gets so much more sun. You can see that quantified at https://solargis.com/resources/free-maps-and-gis-data?locali....

However, Germany does not have a space problem. Germany is 357'114km² with "photovoltaic electricity potential" of about 3.0kWh/kWp/day according to Solargis (see above link), which would be a capacity factor of 12.5%. I'm not quite sure how they calculate that, but multiplying by the country's area, the solar constant of 1000W/m², and a fudge factor of 0.8, it works out to something on the order of 30–40 terawatts, electric. That's roughly 50% to 100% more than the entire world's marketed energy consumption, which is about 18 terawatts, about a third of it electric. Germany produced 488.5 TWh in 02024 (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electricity_sector_in_Germany) which is 55.73GW.

Therefore, roughly 0.2% of Germany's land area would suffice to produce all of its current electrical consumption with solar energy, about 700km². This would also require something like 450 gigawatts (peak) of solar panels, which would cost about €45 billion at today's prices, roughly 4 days of Germany's GDP.

It is absolutely true that, if you put those same solar panels in the Mojave Desert, mounted with single-axis trackers, they would produce two or three times as much power. (California's average utility-scale solar capacity factor was over 29% last I checked.) So, yes, solar is much more expensive in Germany. But if you check out https://www.solarserver.de/photovoltaik-preis-pv-modul-preis... you will see that, in March 02023, solar modules cost three times as much as they do now. So solar generation in California then cost what solar generation in Germany costs now. (Except that, because of Biden's anti-renewable-energy tariffs, actual California prices were and are much higher than you would expect from Solarserver.)

Re: Germany outfitted half a million balconies with solar panels

#140

Earlier quoted context omitted.

While I sort of agree that VAT exemption is a sort of subsidy it's important to remember that all other power generation typically receives the same "subsidy" because it's done by companies which don't pay VAT.

By definition, only the end customer pays VAT. But also on grid power in Germany. So no subsidy here.

That's sort of my point. You are essentially getting to parity to a grid operator, who does not pay VAT.
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