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Canaries in the Coal Mine? Recent Employment Effects of AI [pdf]

digitaleconomy.stanford.edu

111–113 of 113 posts

Re: Canaries in the Coal Mine? Recent Employment Effects of AI [pdf]

#111

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't need to vibe my productivity improvement, I can see it in the 18 projects and 3 scientific papers I've gotten close to complete in the last 2.5 weeks.

Great! If you got more to go off of than vibes then that's a great sign. Tons of people measure their performance in vibes. Frankly, because performance is a really difficult thing to measure. But we're all just talking to "some random dude on the internet" and that context isn't shared. I'm certain you see both people where AI is helping as well as people where it isn't. Maybe in different proportions than others. B…

I'm not upset that you don't know me, and I'm fine with people saying AI isn't for them. I even acknowledge that cursor jockeying is only marginally better than hand coding in many cases.

That's a very different situation from having an intensive conversation with an AI to generate a formalized CUE spec with correctness guards, E2E testing specifications, etc, then decomposing that spec into lanes and dispatching a swarm of agents to build it, review work, implement e2e tests/QA, etc. They're both AI, but one is vibe coding and one is autonomous engineering.

Re: Canaries in the Coal Mine? Recent Employment Effects of AI [pdf]

#112
post #93

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ah, there it is. The excuses, it's scrum all over again. Mystical practitioners discount the studies done in the open as not fair or not being done right, or the people participating not believing in it hard enough. My man, 95% of AI pilots failed. https://fortune.com/2025/08/18/mit-report-95-percent-generat... > As it is, I have no problem with your naysaying, I'm getting results, your disbelief doesn't change that…

I don't care about the failures of others. I am succeeding. A study in 1920 would have proved that a man couldn't run a 4 minute mile, imagine if people had stopped trying.

You are using LLMs to do your work for you. The analogy with runners who actually trained to improve is hilarious.

You just described getting into a car and letting it "run" the sub 4 minute mile for you. Great success!

Re: Canaries in the Coal Mine? Recent Employment Effects of AI [pdf]

#113
post #33

Earlier quoted context omitted.

before or after taxes ?

Before taxes, always before taxes. Comparing salaries between countries with vastly different approaches to taxes, health insurance, living cost, hidden side costs etc. is hard and can easily be hugely misleading. Not even including any subtle things just what "before and after taxes" means can differ. E.g. where I live "after taxes" does for most people not just deduct taxes but also the base health insurance cost a…

thanks for this long explanation; never realized that before :-)
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