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The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

theregister.com

11–20 of 140 posts

Re: The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

#11

Large Language Models will change a significant portion of how companies and thus the economy works. This will be transformational. AI Companies are still overhyped.

Sounds like another case of Amara's law that says:

> We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.

Re: The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

#12

One of the lowest level jobs in the market is taking orders at a fast food drive thru. If AI can't do this job, it probably can't do yours either. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c722gne7qngo Bottom line: AI has very poor grasp of reality --- because (surprise, surprise) it has zero real world experience.

Prob what will happen is that you will need to use the app to "order" and then scan a generated code before accessing the drive thru. Not really AI needed, kiosk has been replacement these jobs since Corona (and prob earlier than that).

Re: The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

#13

One of the lowest level jobs in the market is taking orders at a fast food drive thru. If AI can't do this job, it probably can't do yours either. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c722gne7qngo Bottom line: AI has very poor grasp of reality --- because (surprise, surprise) it has zero real world experience.

Many fast food places now have tablet based ordering, so turns out AI wasn’t needed for software to take away jobs.

That said, AI could do that job perfectly well. The reason we still have human to human interaction when you order is that it creates a more interesting environment for employees, who crave at least some kind of human contact. And customers will pay marginally more for the food if they get some human contact as well.

Re: The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

#15
post #13

One of the lowest level jobs in the market is taking orders at a fast food drive thru. If AI can't do this job, it probably can't do yours either. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c722gne7qngo Bottom line: AI has very poor grasp of reality --- because (surprise, surprise) it has zero real world experience.

Many fast food places now have tablet based ordering, so turns out AI wasn’t needed for software to take away jobs. That said, AI could do that job perfectly well. The reason we still have human to human interaction when you order is that it creates a more interesting environment for employees, who crave at least some kind of human contact. And customers will pay marginally more for the food if they get some human co…

> Many fast food places now have tablet based ordering

As an experience though, they could hardly have implemented it in a worse way. A big part of the reason I don't go to McDonald's any more is that the experience of using the ordering kiosks is so awful compared to just telling a human what I want.

Re: The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

#16
post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Agreed on both fronts, but it bears repeating two that both things can be true at the same time. More often than not people think when the AI bubble bursts, LLMs, diffusion models etc. will just vanish, and they will absolutely not vanish. This tech is here to stay, for good.

When the dot com bubble burst, the internet did not go away. Just the over inflated companies did. The underlying tech was not to blame, but the mismanaged VC funded nonsense that goes on inside hype machines. We lathered and rinsed, now we're repeating.

[deleted extreme wrongthink]

Re: The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

#17
post #3

Interesting to see an opinion piece on the register pointing out 3 camps, none of which apply to most people I know who work in software development. Mainly that ai is a useful tool. Sometimes it is magical but has limits and is often wrong. It can be a great illustrator of sunk cost fallacy when working on very complex problems. But light years faster and more useful than googling for solutions when faced with a dif…

> On net I would much prefer to have ai around than not. I agree sort of, but on the other hand we don't know their true cost, whether that's the out-of-pocket expenses, or the pollution and high electricity/water costs that will result.

Of course we know, it’s not magic, but some people like to spread FUD to further their own agendas.

Re: The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

#18

One of the lowest level jobs in the market is taking orders at a fast food drive thru. If AI can't do this job, it probably can't do yours either. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c722gne7qngo Bottom line: AI has very poor grasp of reality --- because (surprise, surprise) it has zero real world experience.

You are describing a vending machine

Re: The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

#19

One of the lowest level jobs in the market is taking orders at a fast food drive thru. If AI can't do this job, it probably can't do yours either. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c722gne7qngo Bottom line: AI has very poor grasp of reality --- because (surprise, surprise) it has zero real world experience.

There was this joke at some point of time:

  Expectations: AI will deliver food to you and your high-paid programmers colleagues
  Reality: You and your colleagues work at Mac because AI took your high-paid programmers jobs

Re: The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

#20

One of the lowest level jobs in the market is taking orders at a fast food drive thru. If AI can't do this job, it probably can't do yours either. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c722gne7qngo Bottom line: AI has very poor grasp of reality --- because (surprise, surprise) it has zero real world experience.

The article itself said it was developed by IBM in 2019 and wasn’t using LLMs. That’s not exactly a great citation.
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