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The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

theregister.com

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Re: The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

#2
One of the lowest level jobs in the market is taking orders at a fast food drive thru.

If AI can't do this job, it probably can't do yours either.

https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c722gne7qngo

Bottom line: AI has very poor grasp of reality --- because (surprise, surprise) it has zero real world experience.

Re: The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

#3
Interesting to see an opinion piece on the register pointing out 3 camps, none of which apply to most people I know who work in software development.

Mainly that ai is a useful tool. Sometimes it is magical but has limits and is often wrong. It can be a great illustrator of sunk cost fallacy when working on very complex problems. But light years faster and more useful than googling for solutions when faced with a difficult debugging challenge. On net I would much prefer to have ai around than not.

I think it is a miss that software development is completely omitted in this article, esp a tech or tech adjacent publication that's been around for forever.

Re: The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

#5
post #3

Interesting to see an opinion piece on the register pointing out 3 camps, none of which apply to most people I know who work in software development. Mainly that ai is a useful tool. Sometimes it is magical but has limits and is often wrong. It can be a great illustrator of sunk cost fallacy when working on very complex problems. But light years faster and more useful than googling for solutions when faced with a dif…

[flagged]

Re: The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

#6

Large Language Models will change a significant portion of how companies and thus the economy works. This will be transformational. AI Companies are still overhyped.

Agreed on both fronts, but it bears repeating two that both things can be true at the same time. More often than not people think when the AI bubble bursts, LLMs, diffusion models etc. will just vanish, and they will absolutely not vanish. This tech is here to stay, for good.

Re: The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

#7

One of the lowest level jobs in the market is taking orders at a fast food drive thru. If AI can't do this job, it probably can't do yours either. https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/c722gne7qngo Bottom line: AI has very poor grasp of reality --- because (surprise, surprise) it has zero real world experience.

>A trial of the system, which was developed by IBM and uses voice recognition software to process orders, was announced in 2019.

I don't think the problem was AI technology...

Re: The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

#8

Large Language Models will change a significant portion of how companies and thus the economy works. This will be transformational. AI Companies are still overhyped.

Agreed on both fronts, but it bears repeating two that both things can be true at the same time. More often than not people think when the AI bubble bursts, LLMs, diffusion models etc. will just vanish, and they will absolutely not vanish. This tech is here to stay, for good.

> people think when the AI bubble bursts, LLMs, diffusion models etc. will just vanish, and they will absolutely not vanish

I don't care if they vanish. I just want the hype to die. The last few months this site would more truthfully have been titled LLM News. I use LLMs but for the most part I find discussions about them boring.

Re: The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

#9

Large Language Models will change a significant portion of how companies and thus the economy works. This will be transformational. AI Companies are still overhyped.

Agreed on both fronts, but it bears repeating two that both things can be true at the same time. More often than not people think when the AI bubble bursts, LLMs, diffusion models etc. will just vanish, and they will absolutely not vanish. This tech is here to stay, for good.

When the dot com bubble burst, the internet did not go away. Just the over inflated companies did. The underlying tech was not to blame, but the mismanaged VC funded nonsense that goes on inside hype machines. We lathered and rinsed, now we're repeating.

Re: The air is hissing out of the overinflated AI balloon

#10
post #3

Interesting to see an opinion piece on the register pointing out 3 camps, none of which apply to most people I know who work in software development. Mainly that ai is a useful tool. Sometimes it is magical but has limits and is often wrong. It can be a great illustrator of sunk cost fallacy when working on very complex problems. But light years faster and more useful than googling for solutions when faced with a dif…

> On net I would much prefer to have ai around than not.

I agree sort of, but on the other hand we don't know their true cost, whether that's the out-of-pocket expenses, or the pollution and high electricity/water costs that will result.

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