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The anti-abundance critique on housing is wrong

derekthompson.org

231–240 of 817 posts

Re: The anti-abundance critique on housing is wrong

#231

What about wealth inequality as the root cause of housing shortage? Even if supply is eased, the wealthy (those who have enough capital to earn passive income) will buy the extra supply and rent to the poor. The Piketty effect takes over, they invest their profit in more housing, wealth inequality continues to get worse, and while more housing exists, it owned by an increasingly small cohort. Personally I'd like to s…

Where's the evidence that wealth inequality is the root cause of housing shortage, as opposed to say, the real and factual lack of building? Even if the wealthy did buy up extra supply to rent out, that would only mean increased supply of rentals, which would lower rents.

Want something really interesting? There's a pretty decent chance that our wealth inequality is entirely caused by restricting housing supply. ;)

Re: The anti-abundance critique on housing is wrong

#232

Housing crisis is just a result of increasing income inequality and the resulting real estate investment craze. The population of America (real demand) did not suddenly double at any state/city. Rich have become so much richer that can afford bidding wars at unattainable prices. They can buy investment homes and be cashflow negative for decades in anticipation of the increased market bidding prices. Of course they op…

What if the housing crisis is what's causing wealth inequality? Piketty's data pointed to this.

Re: The anti-abundance critique on housing is wrong

#233
post #200

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Don't people already pay for things like the NYT? I guess local papers might be harder, they may have to demonstrate they can reveal the journalistic failures of other papers in local affairs.

NYT is an exception, or more specifically it's much bigger than most other news shops and has the luxury of having a large loyal customer base, a brand reputation to defend, and a full time business analysis and data science team to upkeep its excellence. Your local papers are barely scraping by and are mostly owned by hedge funds whose primary objective to squeeze the consumer via judicial usage of paywalls and clic…

> NYT is an exception

> The other papers and magazines are all subsidized by billionaires or other vested interests.

How is the NYT an exception?

Re: The anti-abundance critique on housing is wrong

#234
post #32

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I wish everyone who cares about the price of housing could go to a hearing like this one. Sadly, they happen in every community so if you're curious, you ought to go: https://bendyimby.com/2024/04/16/the-hearing-and-the-housing... That is your housing shortage right there. Now, Real page probably jacks up prices a bit. A bit multiplied by a lot of renters means real harm and it was probably worth taking them to court…

You're claiming that your idea of 'X' is true, and for evidence of this, you're linking to a site that was created by people whose mission is to advocate for the idea of X. Am I likely to be getting an impartial view of the situation from a source which solely exists to push X-related messaging? Is such a group/site really going to give a fair shake to other theories Y and Z, or to conflicting data?

If you start digging into this issue you'll find every example you want. If you only challenge people you disagree with, you will remain wrong.

Re: The anti-abundance critique on housing is wrong

#235

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If a small number of landlords continue to control the supply (which I understand to also be part of the premise) then they can charge whatever rate allows them to profit. Housing is pretty inelastic and is a first order priority for most people, so they will pay the maximum they can afford if they have to. At least near me, most of the housing being created is owned by large corporations like the Irvine Company, it’…

I'm asking: how does a small number of landlords continue to "control the supply" of an ever-increasing supply of housing when each of their holdings is non-remunerative (and, in fact, incurs tax and maintenance costs). This seems like a pretty simple math problem, a bet that you would not take if it was laid out in front of you, but I'm waiting for someone to explain how that might not be the case. Keep in mind: as…

How did Uber et al. offer services below cost until they'd driven out all competition? The property holdings are not these landlords' only source of income. Why would milk producers deliberately dump millions of gallons of milk (representing a commensurate amount of labor to both produce and then dispose of)? Because they've created an oversupply that threatens to destabilize the price.

The math works, it's just heinous.

Re: The anti-abundance critique on housing is wrong

#236

Pretty much any criticism of a current housing market can't happen without mentioning the quality of said housing. I have just come back from one of the apartments I was looking at to see an abysmally small shoebox with some sort of doors and windows installed in there. I live in a house with 9-foot ceilings and I feel like a king. But this is insane. Recently I've visited a rental property to find shallow, not sound…

That's right, and that's caused by restrictions on supply. Almost every problem we have with housing comes down to us restricting how much can be built so much that extremely low quality units are competitive. If you allowed 10 times as much construction, those units wouldn't be able to compete, because other builders would offer better units for the same price.

It seems like fewer restrictions would mean more garbage getting built.

Re: The anti-abundance critique on housing is wrong

#237

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This article is good, but the phrase "antitrust left" really turned me off. I am probably some kind of a leftist (I want higher taxes on rich people and a society much more welfare oriented with a substantial degree of labor and resource allocation performed democratically instead of by markets) but I don't know a single leftist who actually cares about this housing shit except to think that houses should be cheaper…

Mamdani - rent control. Dean Preston - NIMBY. UK Greens Party - NIMBY. Australian Greens Party - NIMBY. Explain?

In the last election, Australia's Green Party was the only party whose housing plan involves actually building homes.

The major parties went with throwing more money at the problem.

Re: The anti-abundance critique on housing is wrong

#238

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Baumol’s Cost Disease means construction labor cost rises faster than productivity. We’re allergic to prefab construction - banks and insurance companies block it. A lot of construction workers left the industry after 2007. Baby Boomers are retiring and told their kids to not get a blue collar job. New housing has to be ADA compliant. People expect to give each kid their own bedroom and have two car garage instead of…

> Baumol’s Cost Disease means construction labor cost rises faster than productivity Baumol’s applies to jobs that “experienced little or no increase in labor productivity.” I’m arguing there may be extraneous causes for construction’s productivity stasis.

there are! Land use code. And permitting. Municipal processes for permitting housing have stifled any really serious innovation in construction.

you know why we don't have modular, factory built apartment buildings? Not at scale? Because the municipalities won't permit them. and the real reason they won't permit them is because it would put all their inspectors out of business if you didn't have to do any walls open inspections because it was all built in a factory...

Re: The anti-abundance critique on housing is wrong

#239
post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is a perfectly succinct way to put it. New housing is simply more expensive; so it's marketed as "luxury", and it's sold at a premium to the higher end of the housing market. This reduces demand for the older, more affordable existing housing stock, and with depreciation and wear and tear, the new housing will become more affordable as time goes on. If you're in a market with a shortage of housing, those with mo…

> This is a perfectly succinct way to put it. I think the entire analogy falls apart the minute you realize houses almost always appreciate while cars do the opposite.

Cars would appreciate the same way if we only let you build half as many as there are demand for. And kept doing that for 50 years.

Re: The anti-abundance critique on housing is wrong

#240
post #175

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem is that nobody would pay for it. People expect news to be free, and click bait and lazy copy paste or LLM journalism is cheaper and works just as well to get clicks for ad dollars. Would people pay for real journalism?

[flagged]

The article here is about bad faith left wing arguments. Presumably you'd pay for those I guess?
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