So, if (just spitballing here) Russia were to have wanted to take out Starlink in order to handicap Ukrainian operations, and they didn't want to do something as visible as actually taking out the satellites, what would be the most likely way for them to have done it? And how would we be able to check if that's what happened? No idea if this is plausible at all, just raising the question for anyone who knows more abo…
I would still bet against the Russians taking down all of Starlink. If they had a zero day that could do that, they'd save it for just before a big war. But Russian low-intensity hybrid warfare, including infiltration and sabotage, is very real. Particularly in Europe and especially so in eastern Europe. There's a lot of nasty things going on in border areas that isn't widely reported.
Thus using the weakness to launch a coordinated summer offensive now for a decisive breakthrough before US weapons supplies reaches full speed again seems like a reasonably good choice.
Conquering Ukraine is the key for restoring the USSR, Belarus is already under the yoke and Khz,etc won't dare resist after Ukr falls. P sees a victory here as moving the linchpin that makes him immortal in historybooks.