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The rise of AI as a threat to the S&P 500 [pdf]

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Re: The rise of AI as a threat to the S&P 500 [pdf]

#21

Adding something to the "Risks" section of your company's financial report reads more like CYA ("Cover Your Ass") than "We're afraid of AI!" behavior.

Facebook once listed "adoption of mobile devices" in the "Risks" section of their reports.

I mean, this was absolutely a risk to them. They could have easily lost during the transition.

Re: The rise of AI as a threat to the S&P 500 [pdf]

#22
post #3

>> Risks to jobs rarely feature among reported risks, despite being a prominent public concern. If there is a risk to jobs, it wouldn't show up here since actually less jobs is "good" for business...

There's a reason Henry Ford paid his employees enough to buy one of his cars.

It is a myth that it was so they could afford one of his cars.

The reality is that he couldn’t attract the right workers because factory work is sole destroying.

Re: The rise of AI as a threat to the S&P 500 [pdf]

#25
post #3

>> Risks to jobs rarely feature among reported risks, despite being a prominent public concern. If there is a risk to jobs, it wouldn't show up here since actually less jobs is "good" for business...

> less jobs is "good" for business Up to a point. Then you no longer have customers.

Everyone is incentivised to do it, even when none of them want all of them to do it.

Prisoner's dilemma, with the businesses as the 'prisoners'.

One of the ways to change the Nash equilibrium for that game is for enough people to empower some outside agent that punishes defectors. (Metaphorically, for the original prisoners in the thought experiment, a gangland boss).

Re: The rise of AI as a threat to the S&P 500 [pdf]

#26
post #24

If AI can trade stocks and derivatives better than any humans, maybe we'll see wealth accumulation in a few large AI firms. And the stock market becomes effectively useless to the rest of us.

Yeah, but AI will be banned before that happens.

Re: The rise of AI as a threat to the S&P 500 [pdf]

#27
post #24

If AI can trade stocks and derivatives better than any humans, maybe we'll see wealth accumulation in a few large AI firms. And the stock market becomes effectively useless to the rest of us.

What AI? ML with gradient descent? Neural nets with deep learning? LLMs? Or the abstract concept of AGI that may or may not possible, but definitely isn't here yet?

Hedge funds and investment banks are already using these tools to the max, and the markets are plenty profitable for everyone

Re: The rise of AI as a threat to the S&P 500 [pdf]

#28

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There's a reason Henry Ford paid his employees enough to buy one of his cars.

It is a myth that it was so they could afford one of his cars. The reality is that he couldn’t attract the right workers because factory work is sole destroying.

And that's why he paid them in shoes.

Re: The rise of AI as a threat to the S&P 500 [pdf]

#29
post #24

If AI can trade stocks and derivatives better than any humans, maybe we'll see wealth accumulation in a few large AI firms. And the stock market becomes effectively useless to the rest of us.

Yeah, but AI will be banned before that happens.

Not if the lobbying budget of those making the AI money is larger than those that lose money to AI in the market.

Re: The rise of AI as a threat to the S&P 500 [pdf]

#30
post #24

If AI can trade stocks and derivatives better than any humans, maybe we'll see wealth accumulation in a few large AI firms. And the stock market becomes effectively useless to the rest of us.

It would be a reductio ad absurdum for the stock market which is long overdue.
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