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Hypercapitalism and the AI talent wars

blog.johnluttig.com

41–50 of 256 posts

Re: Hypercapitalism and the AI talent wars

#41
post #39

Earlier quoted context omitted.

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Capitalism is made possible by the people. If it does not serve them well, it should be fixed or abolished.

You underestimate the resources the subset of society who it actually benefits can, will, and do use to distort views on how wide that benefit actually is.

Re: Hypercapitalism and the AI talent wars

#42
post #11

“The AI capital influx means that mega-projects no longer seem outlandishly expensive. This is good for the world!” Is it? This whole piece just reads of mega funds and giga corps throwing ridiculous cash for pay to win. Nothing new there. We can’t train more people? I didn’t know Universities were suddenly producing waaaay less talent and that intelligence fell off a cliff. Things have gone parabolic! It’s giga mega…

There is something immoral about a company saying "we are going to spend $100bn this year on building a LLM"

The icing on the cake is when all their competitors say "so will we".

Re: Hypercapitalism and the AI talent wars

#43
post #25

> AI catch-up investment has gone parabolic, initially towards GPUs and mega training runs. As some labs learned that GPUs alone don't guarantee good models, the capital cannon is shifting towards talent. So, no more bitter lesson?

Those who dont learn the lesson of the last grift are doomed to grift over and over again.

Re: Hypercapitalism and the AI talent wars

#44
post #11

“The AI capital influx means that mega-projects no longer seem outlandishly expensive. This is good for the world!” Is it? This whole piece just reads of mega funds and giga corps throwing ridiculous cash for pay to win. Nothing new there. We can’t train more people? I didn’t know Universities were suddenly producing waaaay less talent and that intelligence fell off a cliff. Things have gone parabolic! It’s giga mega…

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Wealth is power. Power decides what we use our collective time and resources on. The more concentrated power is, the less we use that time and resources on things that improves the life of the average person, and more on things that matter to the few with wealth.

Re: Hypercapitalism and the AI talent wars

#45
Aren’t most of these deals locked-up stock deals? With lengthy vesting times, and performance based clauses.

The signing bonuses are probably more than enough for regular people to retire, but these researchers and execs being poached aren’t exactly average Joe’s making $50k/year prior to being poached.

Re: Hypercapitalism and the AI talent wars

#46
post #24

The full bodied palate of this AI market mirrors the sharp nose of 2023 AI doomerism. The argument goes: if AI is going to destroy humanity, even if that is a 0.001% chance, we should all totally re-wire society to prevent that from happening, because the _potential_ risk is so huge. Same goes with these AI companies. What they are shooting for, is to replace white collar workers completely. Every single white collar…

> Anyone remember Eliezer Yudkowsky? Haven't heard from him in a while.

He's quite active on Twitter.

Re: Hypercapitalism and the AI talent wars

#47
post #17

> If the top 1% of companies drive the majority of VC returns, why shouldn’t the same apply to talent? Our natural egalitarian bias makes this unpalatable to accept, but the 10x engineer meme doesn’t go far enough – there are clearly people that are 1,000x the baseline impact. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0obMRztklqU

It took me a while to get that it is satire. I tried to figure out the rules ... becouse it is satire?

Re: Hypercapitalism and the AI talent wars

#48
post #42
post #11

“The AI capital influx means that mega-projects no longer seem outlandishly expensive. This is good for the world!” Is it? This whole piece just reads of mega funds and giga corps throwing ridiculous cash for pay to win. Nothing new there. We can’t train more people? I didn’t know Universities were suddenly producing waaaay less talent and that intelligence fell off a cliff. Things have gone parabolic! It’s giga mega…

There is something immoral about a company saying "we are going to spend $100bn this year on building a LLM" The icing on the cake is when all their competitors say "so will we".

All this time complaining about companies not investing in research and development for future prosperity and now when they actually do so it is suddenly outright immoral?

Re: Hypercapitalism and the AI talent wars

#49
post #11

“The AI capital influx means that mega-projects no longer seem outlandishly expensive. This is good for the world!” Is it? This whole piece just reads of mega funds and giga corps throwing ridiculous cash for pay to win. Nothing new there. We can’t train more people? I didn’t know Universities were suddenly producing waaaay less talent and that intelligence fell off a cliff. Things have gone parabolic! It’s giga mega…

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I’m going to assume that this is just some edgy post, but you should read up on the relationship between wealth inequality and corruption, social mobility, and similar factors.

Re: Hypercapitalism and the AI talent wars

#50

I find the current VC/billionaire strategy a bit odd and suboptimal. If we consider the current search for AGI as something like a multi-armed bandit seeking to identify “valuable researchers”, the industry is way over-indexing on the exploitation side of the exploitation/exploration trade-off. If I had billions to throw around, instead of siphoning large amounts of it to a relatively small number of people, I would…

yep. and even the sports analogy doesn't fully explain what's going on. if we are talking "true" AGI with potential to replace people wholesale their strategy is telling in that they aren't optimizing for the "end game". maybe it's a factor of just gathering all the mindshare/hype/resources and THEN they can go actually figure it out /s.

it would be like if you were looking to train the next tennis star that had the ability to basically upend the entire game as we know it. maybe you saw a few people with a unique way of playing that were dominating an order of magnitude higher. you DEF would see teams and coaches having open tryouts and trying very unconventional things for anyone they could find that had promise.

for the record i think "AI" is not hype and is changing the way things are done permanently, but it's yet to be seem whether all these spent billions can actually meet the expected return (AGI). it's hard to separate out the true innovations from the obvious grift/money grab also going on.

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