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Bulgaria to join euro area on 1 January 2026

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101–110 of 340 posts

Re: Bulgaria to join euro area on 1 January 2026

#101
post #50

On the one hand, countries with different economic strengths having the same currency managed centrally isn't ideal. But on the other hand, anything that reduces the domination of the US dollar is welcome.

> On the one hand, countries with different economic strengths having the same currency managed centrally isn't ideal.

Isn't this kind of what the US is doing though?

Re: Bulgaria to join euro area on 1 January 2026

#102
post #80

If abandoning your own currency and adopting Euros was such a big deal, the UK would have done it decades ago (while it was still a part of the EU). This benefits the bigger economies, at the expense of the smaller economies. Any fiscal policy is dictated by the bigger countries, and with identical currencies, the only policy left for Bulgarians is to cut wages in public sector. This will impact local economy, and ri…

I wonder why this comment is at the top of the HN post. Over the years I've seen a lot of missinformation on this topic that follows pretty much this exact train of thought. Why would countries join the EU and the Euro if it didn't benefit them? The baltics have all grown massively since the 90s when they became independent, and even though they all were on nice trajectories they still all decided to join the EU and…

> Why would countries join the EU and the Euro if it didn't benefit them?

Joining benefits the country's elites, rather than its general populace -- and it's these elites who decide whether to join.

Bulgaria joining will weaken the Euro, which benefits big, export-oriented economies such as Germany and France. This is how the Euro has always worked: the big economies dilute their trade surpluses at the cost of smaller European countries.

Re: Bulgaria to join euro area on 1 January 2026

#103
post #98

the Euro has lost almost half of its purchasing power since its creation. bulgarians want the Euro so much, that they have to run tv ads, "we will become more wealthy by introducing the Euro", what? how will that happen, if you need more money to buy same or less products/services? lmao

Historically other currencies have depreciated much more than the Euro. The LEV depreciated around 99% before being pegged to the Euro.

Well, the Lev was pegged to the DM first, which was a way stronger currency.

The euro has depreciated more (in both real purchasing power and against other currencies) than the Deutsche Mark.

The DM was seen as one of the strongest and most stable post-WWII currencies, while the euro has struggled with crises and inflation.

Bulgaria pegging to the DM in 1997 meant anchoring to a much harder currency than what the euro has become.

Re: Bulgaria to join euro area on 1 January 2026

#104
post #3

Nice. It’s amazing to see the progress Bulgarians have made in the last 20 years after joining the EU. I can imagine it hasn’t been an easy process.

Two things that surprised me when I spent a couple of months in Bulgaria: * Bulgarian support for the EU is pretty low and people didn't think it made their life much better * Bulgarian support for Russia is very high, like 50%, probably due to their historic help in kicking out the Turks

And if the people vote against the EU in the referendums, one's authorities just kinda look the other way.

For anyone who is new to this https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2005_French_European_Constitut...

Re: Bulgaria to join euro area on 1 January 2026

#105
post #73

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think there's a reality for (visiting) consumers, Schengen has more value than the currency union, at least if you're not a user of cash. My experiences in non-Euro, Schengen countries is that all payment terminals offer me the choice to pay in Euro or the local currency. In many cases in tourist areas (of Czechia, Poland, and Bulgaria) I only encountered terminals that asked for payment in Euro.

It's usually better to pay in the local currency than Euro. The currency still has to be exchanged somewhere, and the banks usually have better rates than the terminal operators.

Hm I always wondered about what this choice actually translates to, what’s the underlying logic determining how what I pay in -> where conversion gets made?

Re: Bulgaria to join euro area on 1 January 2026

#106
post #73

Credit where credit is due: the EU gets a lot of flack for being bureaucratic, hidebound, sclerotic, whatever, but the single currency has been a success and it's still expanding, 26 years after its creation. Also, the addition of Bulgaria means it's almost possible to travel from Spain to Greece entirely through the Eurozone, with only a thin sliver of Serbia or Macedonia in the way. (Assuming we include Montenegro…

I think there's a reality for (visiting) consumers, Schengen has more value than the currency union, at least if you're not a user of cash. My experiences in non-Euro, Schengen countries is that all payment terminals offer me the choice to pay in Euro or the local currency. In many cases in tourist areas (of Czechia, Poland, and Bulgaria) I only encountered terminals that asked for payment in Euro.

Payment terminals can offer whatever currency exchanges they want, but usually it's just a way to fleece you on the spread, nobody is doing you any favors, it's just that whoever in the chain gets to perform the exchange gets to set the fees and the spread and most people get confused by currency exchange so it's in every middle man of the chain's interest to be the one to perform it and get the spread themselves.

Re: Bulgaria to join euro area on 1 January 2026

#107
post #75

Earlier quoted context omitted.

All EU countries are required to join the euro. This was agreed in the 1992 Maastricht treaty when the EU was founded (and the EMU, which was the starting point of the euro). Only Denmark and the UK negotiated an opt-out at the time. Only problem is that there are no deadlines and it's up to the country to make a plan for adopting the euro.

the same treaty says state financing through the ECB is illegal, but they do it anyway.

They don't?

All EU emitted debt goes towards specific projects.

Re: Bulgaria to join euro area on 1 January 2026

#108

Credit where credit is due: the EU gets a lot of flack for being bureaucratic, hidebound, sclerotic, whatever, but the single currency has been a success and it's still expanding, 26 years after its creation. Also, the addition of Bulgaria means it's almost possible to travel from Spain to Greece entirely through the Eurozone, with only a thin sliver of Serbia or Macedonia in the way. (Assuming we include Montenegro…

Polish here, very much against adopting the euro until our standard of living and growth rate matches Germany (no at least not for next 10 years). Why? Because the disadvantages far out weight the benefits for developing countries. The biggest issue is giving up one of the biggest instrument of control over the economy to a supra-national non-democratic organisation. Surely the monetary policy will follow what is best for the biggest economies (or at best the average) while local policy is way better tweaked towards local needs. The best example of this is money supply. The money supply ideally should match the economy growth rate +X so there is tiny inflation (and definitely no deflation). This growth rate is very different in "old EU" and "new EU" countries. So what happens? In time things get more expensive much faster in countries that grow faster while incomes stay the same. This is a huge negative and this is on top of price increases happening on "day 1" due to rounding up during conversion.

Historically the biggest benefit that was sold as something to outweigh this was a claim that "inflation will be low" and big inflation spikes are impossible. This came about from the short sighted view that all inflation stems from printing money and by giving up our control over it to somebody else we somehow "protect ourselves". This was proven wrong during covid when inflation was vastly different in let's say Latvia and Germany despite sharing a currency.

So what is the bottom line? Is euro all bad? No, it is very useful so we have a common currency in the euro zone that is not controlled from across the ocean. This is a huge benefit, but the same benefit is achieved by having it be a second currency like it is now in Poland rather than the only currency. (you can pay in euros in almost everywhere if you prefer as well as get it from cash machines etc)

Re: Bulgaria to join euro area on 1 January 2026

#109

Credit where credit is due: the EU gets a lot of flack for being bureaucratic, hidebound, sclerotic, whatever, but the single currency has been a success and it's still expanding, 26 years after its creation. Also, the addition of Bulgaria means it's almost possible to travel from Spain to Greece entirely through the Eurozone, with only a thin sliver of Serbia or Macedonia in the way. (Assuming we include Montenegro…

Success, yes it has survived. But it has cost a lot to people and countries.

Re: Bulgaria to join euro area on 1 January 2026

#110
post #74
post #42

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I am not aware of this. Can you give us a hint what that was?

Euro was part of the Maastricht treaty which formed the EU as we know it today in 1992. The euro part was a power move of France against a reunited Germany which back story origins in the early 80s. Obviously backfired.

How did it backfire?
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