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There are no new ideas in AI, only new datasets

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281–290 of 307 posts

Re: There are no new ideas in AI, only new datasets

#281

I'd say with confidence: we're living in the early days. AI has made jaw-dropping progress in two major domains: language and vision. With large language models (LLMs) like GPT-4 and Claude, and vision models like CLIP and DALL·E, we've seen machines that can generate poetry, write code, describe photos, and even hold eerily humanlike conversations. But as impressive as this is, it’s easy to lose sight of the bigger…

The big horizon isn't just incorporating another sensory modality, it's what Heidegger called being-in-the-world, living among us as a human-like social being. That advancement depends on robotics to provide emboddied experience.

Re: There are no new ideas in AI, only new datasets

#282
post #263

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Touch gives pretty cool skills, but language, video and audio are all that are needed for all online interactions. We use touch for typing and pointing, but that is only because we don't have a more efficient and effective interface. It may be, that we are not using touch for anything important as adults. But babies rely on touch to explore their surroundings. They stick anything into their mouth, why? Because a to…

It is trivial to train AI on 3D representations. In fact, that already happens in cases where robot algorithms are trained in simulations. Another thing to remember is that the senses we have aren't the only ones in biology and far from the only ones possible. In fact, anything that gives you another type of information about the world (you're modeling) is a different sense. In that sense (ha), AI has access to an in…

> It is trivial to train AI on 3D representations.

So AI developers understand limitations and trying to remove them. It will help, but it will not make AI vision to be on par with a human's.

> In that sense (ha), AI has access to an incredibly vast and varied array of senses that is inaccessible to humans. Lidar is a very simple example of that.

I don't think that current uses of lidars have anything to do with intelligence. Not every neuro-net is about intelligence.

> I don't think touch and temperature sensitivity are needed to achieve it,

I'm sure they are. To understand forms you need to explore them with touch. The ability to understand forms by just looking at them is an acquired skill. Maybe it is possible to train these abilities without the touch, but how? I believe it will take a shitload of training data, and I'm not sure it will be good enough.

Temperature sensitivity is a big thing, because it allow you to guess thermal conductivity of a thing by just looking at it. It allows to guess wetness of a thing. It allows us to guess temperature of things by looking at them: like you see sun shining, fire burning, people touching things and yanking their hands from hot things. Or just how about a person that cautiously trying to learn a temperature of a thing, at first measuring infrared radiation, then a quick touch, then a touch for a longer time, and finally a long sustained contact: how could you understand all these proceedings without your own experience of grasping the hot thing, crying from a pain and dropping the thing on your feet?

These are just obvious ideas from top of my mind. What else comes from temperature sensitivity I don't know and no one is, because no one really knows how people learn to use their senses and to think. There are theories about it, but they are more of descriptive nature: they describe what is known without having a lot of a predictive power. Because of this the optimism of AI crowd seems overinflated. They don't know what they are trying to do, and still they believe in their eventual success.

Probably you can learn it by thinking, but can LLMs think, while training? You can learn it as a pattern of a behaviour, without understanding the meaning of it, but then you'll hallucinate this pattern all the time, just because some of the movements were close enough.

> At the very least binocular video.

I'm not sure that people can learn 3d by looking. At least they do not just rely on a binocular vision to learn it. They touch, they lick. They measure things in different ways (by sticking it in mouth, by grasping, by climbing on top of it or falling from it, by hugging it), they measure distances by crawling or walking along them. They are finding a spot where they can see what happens behind a pack of tree, or maybe behind something else. People not just using more senses, they are acting also, which allows them to learn causal relationships. Watching binocular video is not acting, so you can get correlation only without any hope to learn how to distinguish correlations from causations, and at the same time it is much more limited in a data available.

Science says that 80 or 90% of information people get is coming from their vision? I'm skeptical about this, because I don't know how they measure "information", but in any case human vision was trained with support from other senses. I wouldn't be surprised, if at certain stages of a baby's development other senses are more advanced and are used to get labelled data to train vision.

Re: There are no new ideas in AI, only new datasets

#284

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There's something fascinating about this, because the human ability to "transfer knowledge" (eg pick up some other never before seen video game and quickly understand it) isn't really that general. There's a very particular "overtone window" of the sort of degrees of difference where it is possible. If I were to hand you a version of a 2d platformer (lets say Mario) where the gimmick is that you're actually playing t…

When studying physics, people eventually learn about Fourier transform, and they learn about quantum mechanics, where the Fourier transform switches between describing things in terms of position and of momentum. And amazingly the harmonic oscillator is the same in position and momentum space! So maybe there are other creatures that perceive in momentum space! Everything is relative! Except that's of course superfici…

But, you're not really rejecting my example, you're proving it. The human ability to generalize the concept of a 2d platformer is limited to a very narrow range of "intuitive" generalizations that have deeply baked assumptions in them like "locality of action". So when we try to replicate the ability to "generalize", at some point we have to recognize that we can't "generalize in general" but rather we have to deeply bake in certain assumptions about what sorts of variations on the learned theme are possible. Mario with some sort of gimmick that still respects locality of action is doable, the fourier transform of Mario isn't.

This is a problem because we are approaching AI from an angle of no a priori assumptions about the variations on the pattern that it should be able to generalize to. We just imagine that there's some magic way to recognize any isomorphic representation and transfer our knowledge to the new variables, when the reality is we can only recognize when the domain being transferred to is only different in a narrow set of ways like being upside down or on a bent surface. The set of possible variations on a 2d platformer we can generalize well enough to just pick up and play is a tiny subset of all the ways you could map the pixels on the screen to something else without technically losing information.

We could probably make an AI that bakes in the sort of assumptions where it can easily generalize what it learns to fourier space representations of the same data, but then it probably wouldn't be good at generalizing the same sorts of things we are good at generalizing.

My point (hypothesis really) is that the ability to "generalize in general" is a fiction. We can't do it either. But the sort of things we can generalize are exactly the sort that tend to occur in nature anyway so we don't notice the blind spot in what we can't do because it never comes up.

Re: There are no new ideas in AI, only new datasets

#285

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What is the basis for it having a reasonable understanding of fluid dynamics? Why don’t you think it’s just regurgitating some water scenes derived from its training data, rather than generating actual fluid dynamics?

Because it can actually extrapolate to unseen cases while maintaining realism.

Ah yes, the classic “because it can” argument. I’ll take that to mean you don’t know what you’re talking about.

Re: There are no new ideas in AI, only new datasets

#286
post #266

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Seeing comments here saying “this problem is already solved”, “he is just bad at this” etc. feels bad. He has given a long time to this problem by now. He is trying to solve this to advance the field. And needless to say, he is a legend in computer engineering or w/e you call it. It should be required to point to the “solution” and maybe how it works to say “he just sucks” or “this was solved before”. IMO the problem…

I'm a huge fan of Carmack and read the book (Masters of Doom) multiple times and love it, too. But he's a legend for pioneering PC gaming graphics in a way that was feasible for a single (very talented) person to accomplish, and was also pioneering something that already existed on consoles. I think there's a big leap from very cleverly recreating existing very basic and simple 3d graphics for a new platform versus t…

Current models are lossy databases at this point. Carmack looks like he might be trying to get logical reasoning to work (learning something abstract in one context and applying it to a similar context). That is something that would advance the field significantly and may be possible with a small team of researchers.

Re: There are no new ideas in AI, only new datasets

#287

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not exactly difficult to come up with a question that's so unusual the chance of it being in the training set is effectively zero.

Can you provide some examples of these genuinely unique questions?

I'm not sure what you mean by "genuinely." But in the coding context LLMs answer novel questions all the time. My codebase uses components and follows patterns that an LLM will have seen before, but the actual codebase is unique. Yet, the LLM can provide detailed explanations about how it works, what bugs or vulnerabilities it might have, modify it, or add features to it.

Re: There are no new ideas in AI, only new datasets

#288
post #267

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah and in another 5 years he'd probably be at nobel laureate level in AI. I don't think that's how it works. What do you mean? Even a phd program can take 5 years sometimes. Also the man started saying he'd bring about AGI right at the gate. He wasn't being exactly humble. God I hate sounding like this. I swear I'm not too good for John Carmack, as he's infinitely smarter than me. But I just find it a bit weird. I'…

He stated AGI is an interesting problem to work on could you provide a reference on him claiming "he'd bring about AGI right at the gate"?

Isn't that basically saying the same thing? I meant at the gate as he's speaking of AGI before the 5 years you mentioned

Re: There are no new ideas in AI, only new datasets

#289

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It’s really easy: go to Claude and ask it a novel question. It will generally reason its way to a perfectly good answer even if there is no direct example of it in the training data.

When LLM's come up with answers to questions that aren't directly exampled in the training data, that's not proof at all that it reasoned its way there — it can very much still be pattern matching without insight from the actual code execution of the answer generation. If we were taking a walk and you asked me for an explanation for a mathematical concept I have not actually studied, I am fully capable of hazarding a…

I'm not sure what "just guessed" means here. My experience with LLMs is that their "guesses" are far more reliable than a human's casual guess. And, as you say, they can provide cogent "explanations" of their "reasoning." Again, you say they might be "just guessing" at the explanation, what does that really mean if the explanation is cogent and seems to provide at least a plausible explanation for the behavior? (By the way, I'm sure you know that plenty of people think that human explanations for their behavior are also mere narrative reconstructions.)

I don't have a strong view about whether LLMS are really reasoning -- whatever that might mean. But the point I was responding to is that LLMS have simply memorized all the answers. That is clearly not true under any normal meanings of those words.

Re: There are no new ideas in AI, only new datasets

#290
post #134

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What you're describing sounds like agentic tool usage. Have you kept up with the latest developments on that? it's already solved depending on how strict you define your criteria above

My understanding is that you need to provide and configure task-specific tools. You can’t combine the AI with just a general-purpose computer and have the AI figure out on its own how to make use of it to achieve with reliability and precision whatever task it is given. In other words, the current tool usage isn’t general-purpose in the way the LLM itself is, and also the LLM doesn’t reason about its own capabilities…

Sure, engineering is still required but this doesn't mean it's not a solution to the problem you posed
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