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The Coming Storm: How Mediterranean Water Collapse Could Reshape Britain

fromtheprism.com

21–30 of 75 posts

Re: The Coming Storm: How Mediterranean Water Collapse Could Reshape Britain

#21

Why the article talks about Iran in an article supposedly about "Mediterranean water"? It felt out of place for me

I mean, if they talk about the UK and the Mediterranean, why not Iran too? Hell, let's toss in some other countries not on the Mediterranean while we're at it. Japan maybe?

Re: The Coming Storm: How Mediterranean Water Collapse Could Reshape Britain

#23
post #10

Are more northern countries able to take over some of the production? I'd guess maybe as water declines in southern countries, the temperature rises so more northern latitudes might grow the same crops. Of course it's going to take time for different agriculture regions to get set up.

Northern countries don’t have the soil. Even if you take it for granted that the water, heat and sunlight will be there, it takes millennia to create good farmland. Even with heavy investment it would take decades. Vertical farms would work, but those work almost anywhere.

What???

Do you say that Denmark, Sweden, north Germany, Poland, and the Baltics can't grow crops due to lack of good soil?

Re: The Coming Storm: How Mediterranean Water Collapse Could Reshape Britain

#24
post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> why they have allowed sustained high immigration rates for decades recently its because we need skilled and cheap labour to fill the holes in our health and buisness system. Housing shortages is not a direct immigration issue[1], its a policy issue. People of a certain type do not want high rise buildings near them. people of another different type are really happy because they can now build less and sell for more.…

Isn't it a pyramid scheme where we import younger people to pay for older people's pensions and benefits... unlikely to end well, like all pyramid schemes.

It's not a pyramid (far more balance between those entering and leaving to call it a "pyramid").

Unless you are Norway or the UAE and sitting on a massive sovereign wealth fund how else can a national welfare system possible function?

Re: The Coming Storm: How Mediterranean Water Collapse Could Reshape Britain

#25

> It's a crisis measured in hard numbers: reservoir levels, rainfall data, aquifer depletion rates. Of course I went to check the actual numbers from official sources and they tell a different story. Reservoir levels near historical maximum. So much for building an article on "hard numbers" without pointing to sources.

And you thought you’d refute it by also not providing sources?

Re: The Coming Storm: How Mediterranean Water Collapse Could Reshape Britain

#26
post #10

Are more northern countries able to take over some of the production? I'd guess maybe as water declines in southern countries, the temperature rises so more northern latitudes might grow the same crops. Of course it's going to take time for different agriculture regions to get set up.

Northern countries don’t have the soil. Even if you take it for granted that the water, heat and sunlight will be there, it takes millennia to create good farmland. Even with heavy investment it would take decades. Vertical farms would work, but those work almost anywhere.

> Vertical farms would work

They won't, because the energy demands are too great. Photosynthesis, after all, is 1-2% efficient

Also, let me know when cereals, pulses and nuts are being grown in vertical farms. There's a reason all existing vertical farms are just growing low-calorie low-protein leafy plants.

Re: The Coming Storm: How Mediterranean Water Collapse Could Reshape Britain

#27
post #2

This is a good, thoughtful analysis. I think many people outside the Mediterranean region are simply unaware of water issues there. As for the UK, I can't understand why they have allowed sustained high immigration rates for decades despite food insecurity and a housing shortage.

> why they have allowed sustained high immigration rates for decades recently its because we need skilled and cheap labour to fill the holes in our health and buisness system. Housing shortages is not a direct immigration issue[1], its a policy issue. People of a certain type do not want high rise buildings near them. people of another different type are really happy because they can now build less and sell for more.…

Britain has a very generous welfare system it cannot afford and appears to be unable to even reverse its expansion. According to the Center for Migration Control, there are 1.15 million foreign born individuals claiming some form of in-work benefit.

Irrespective of one's views on the migrant question, this is unsustainable. For instance, the National Health System (NHS) has recently been sending patients to Poland and Lithuania to try to relieve pressure on the waiting lists.

https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/immigration-system-...

Re: The Coming Storm: How Mediterranean Water Collapse Could Reshape Britain

#28
post #12

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Desalination is not just about power, you've have to build and maintain the thing. There are consumables as well.

Also, the brine. Though I assume if water becomes scarce enough, we'll just dump the brine back into the environment and nature be damned as per usual

Brine can be piped to deeper depths, or just diluted before dumping, the cost is increased energy demand

Re: The Coming Storm: How Mediterranean Water Collapse Could Reshape Britain

#29

> It's a crisis measured in hard numbers: reservoir levels, rainfall data, aquifer depletion rates. Of course I went to check the actual numbers from official sources and they tell a different story. Reservoir levels near historical maximum. So much for building an article on "hard numbers" without pointing to sources.

For cypress its half as much water in the reseviours compared to last year: https://www.moa.gov.cy/moa/wdd/Wdd.nsf/page18_en/page18_en?o... what data are you looking at?

Italy, Spain... eg. https://embalses.net shows maximum historical levels after a sharp bump these past 2 years... pretty sure it's the same story in many EU countries. Droughts are there until they aren't. Normal fluctuations if you check an actual chart going 50-100 years back.

Can you post a historical chart of Cyprus? maybe it tells a different story

Re: The Coming Storm: How Mediterranean Water Collapse Could Reshape Britain

#30

Solar is so cheap that desalination is cheap enough that the only thing that will get appreciably more expensive is water intensive products like beef.

Is it really that cheap already? I thought desalination was more like an “not enough power by an order of magnitude” type problem. Solar that is a little cheaper than fossil fuels wouldn’t solve it, right?

Although, I’d be happy to be wrong there!

Desalination does seem like a useful shiftable load that could incentivize over-building solar, which is always nice.

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