The Gentle Singularity

Post by api » Wed, Jun 11, 2025, 2:32 AM UTC

disambiguation wrote: post #210

Workaccount2 wrote: post #128

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>and the current trajectory of how LLMs are used on average in the real world unfortunately run counter to that. This post doesn't offer any forecasts on the hallucination issues of LLMs. You are getting confused here... LLMs are terrible at doing software engineering jobs. They fall on their face trying to work in sprawling codebases. However, they are excellent at writing small bespoke programs on behalf of regular…

>. They fall on their face trying to work in sprawling codebases. >However, they are excellent at writing small bespoke programs For programmers I predict a future of a million micro services. Sprawling has always been an undesirable and unnecessary byproduct of growing code bases, but there's been no easy solution to that. I wonder if LLMs would perform better on a mono repo of many small services than one sprawling…

Post by georgemcbay » Wed, Jun 11, 2025, 2:34 AM UTC

decimalenough wrote: post #205

blabus wrote: post #161

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The progress thus far has been very impressive but the ultimate product the average person imagines as a "self-driving car", one where you can literally devote zero attention and do something else entirely while being driven around (and that handles effectively any edge case), is still quite a ways off.

Waymo is that ultimate product. Obviously it's not everywhere and you can quibble about what "effectively any edge case" means, but it's close to human level at being able to handle whatever the streets of SF throw at it.

Post by hdjdbdirbrbtv » Wed, Jun 11, 2025, 2:35 AM UTC

deadbabe wrote: post #154

minimaxir wrote: post #14

> A lot more people will be able to create software, and art. But the world wants a lot more of both, and experts will probably still be much better than novices, as long as they embrace the new tools. This isn't correct: people want good software and good art, and the current trajectory of how LLMs are used on average in the real world unfortunately run counter to that. This post doesn't offer any forecasts on the h…

How many watts does a human brain need to produce a response to a query?

Post by JadeNB » Wed, Jun 11, 2025, 2:38 AM UTC

jonfromsf wrote: post #197

pj_mukh wrote: post #85

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If a "professional tenant" with an adversarial landlord can hang on for years, I feel like my chances with no landlords and a clean deed is actually much better. It's simply pitting the most dysfunctional municipal and judicial systems against each other with the default outcome being people being housed.

I don't understand this plan. Won't you lose all the money you spent buying the houses and building the quadplexes?

Post by warwren » Wed, Jun 11, 2025, 2:41 AM UTC

imgabe wrote: post #201

michaelbarton wrote: post #158

Regarding a super intelligence creating new cures: a million plus people die from malaria and AIDS combined each year. We have effective treatments for both, yet the USAID was recently shut down. I enjoy technology but less and less so each year, because it increasingly feels like there’s some kind of disconnect with the real world that’s hard to put my finger on

USAID is not the sole source of administering AIDS and malaria treatments. No doubt many more people were successfully treated because those treatments exist. I don't think I understand your point. We shouldn't develop new treatments because one country won't supply them to the entire world for free? Why is it the US's responsibility to treat every disease everywhere in the world? Do these countries not have their ow…