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The Gentle Singularity

blog.samaltman.com

31–40 of 557 posts

Re: The Gentle Singularity

#31
> A lot more people will be able to create software, and art. But the world wants a lot more of both, and experts will probably still be much better than novices, as long as they embrace the new tools.

"probably", "if they embrace the new tools". Hard to read anything but contempt for the role of humans in creative endeavors here, he advocates for quantity as a measure of success.

Re: The Gentle Singularity

#32
post #23

> The rate of new wonders being achieved will be immense. It’s hard to even imagine today what we will have discovered by 2035; maybe we will go from solving high-energy physics one year to beginning space colonization the next year; or from a major materials science breakthrough one year to true high-bandwidth brain-computer interfaces the next year. How about affordable housing?

No, that's too complicated. Best we can do is space colonization.

I immediately envisioned the Pawn Stars meme. Bravo.

Re: The Gentle Singularity

#33
post #13

> It’s hard to even imagine today what we will have discovered by 2035; maybe we will go from solving high-energy physics one year to beginning space colonization the next year I heard similar things in my college dorm, amid all the hazy smoke. It’s very difficult to take this stuff seriously. It’s like the initial hype around self driving cars wound up by 1000x. Because we got from 1 to 100 of course we’ll get from…

And there's plenty of reason to not take it seriously from Sam Altman in particular.

Re: The Gentle Singularity

#34
Call me a cynic, but Gary Marcus and Sam Altman are the last people I want to read about AGI and related topics.

Gary has invested heavily in an anti-AI persona, continually forecasting AI Winters despite wave after wave of breakthroughs.

Sam, on the other hand, is not just an AI enthusiast; he speaks in a manner designed to build the brand, influence policy, and continuously boost OpenAI's valuation and consolidate its power. It's akin to asking the Pope whether Catholicism is true.

Of course, there might indeed be significant roadblocks ahead. It’s also possible that OpenAI might outpace its competitors—although, as of now, Gemini 2.5 Pro holds the lead. Nevertheless, whenever we listen to highly biased figures, we should always take their claims with a grain of salt.

Re: The Gentle Singularity

#36
post #23

> The rate of new wonders being achieved will be immense. It’s hard to even imagine today what we will have discovered by 2035; maybe we will go from solving high-energy physics one year to beginning space colonization the next year; or from a major materials science breakthrough one year to true high-bandwidth brain-computer interfaces the next year. How about affordable housing?

Affordable space colonization will solve that. ;)

Re: The Gentle Singularity

#37

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I find it hard to believe too, but at the same time, Demis Hassabis has also said that AI will help us "colonize the galaxy" in as little as five years [1]. Maybe Sam Altman was emboldened by Hassabis' statement. I would not be opposed to living in a future where I can personally live in space. It would be quite fun. [1] (paywalled) https://fortune.com/2025/06/06/google-deepmind-ceo-demis-has...

Fun? It would be like signing up to live in an inescapable prison.

Seriously. It would be like living on a submarine. But I guess if you don't like sky, mountains, beaches, nature, weather, animals, etc... Like, if you hate the outdoors and spend all your time in windowless rooms with poor air quality? Then OK, maybe space is for you? Also the food is probably going to be extremely monotonous, so that also needs to not matter.

Unless people are envisioning living in magical holodecks all the time, with magical food replicators? But those don't come along automatically with "space", no matter how much Star Trek you've seen...

Re: The Gentle Singularity

#38
What's the goal of posting this right now? A lot of what's written here seems to be well-trodden ground from the last two years of discussions, is it just to centralize a thesis within one post?

Re: The Gentle Singularity

#39
post #23

> The rate of new wonders being achieved will be immense. It’s hard to even imagine today what we will have discovered by 2035; maybe we will go from solving high-energy physics one year to beginning space colonization the next year; or from a major materials science breakthrough one year to true high-bandwidth brain-computer interfaces the next year. How about affordable housing?

Or healthcare?

(Or both)

Re: The Gentle Singularity

#40
post #23

> The rate of new wonders being achieved will be immense. It’s hard to even imagine today what we will have discovered by 2035; maybe we will go from solving high-energy physics one year to beginning space colonization the next year; or from a major materials science breakthrough one year to true high-bandwidth brain-computer interfaces the next year. How about affordable housing?

You made it obvious: techno-utopic dreams only matter to us 1%-ers.

The average person on earth would love it we could have readily available clean water, cheaper housing and food, reliable healthcare to retire without worrying.

That would actually be blissful beyond our wildest dreams: everyone around you and beyond being able to have a peaceful life.

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