Earlier quoted context omitted.
I don't condone what he did, but... 1. His intention wasn't to destroy in order to build resilience. 2. His targets weren't random.
I'm dense. Who are you two talking about?
Unabomber
New research reveals the strongest solar event ever detected, in 12350 BC
141–149 of 149 posts
Re: New research reveals the strongest solar event ever detected, in 12350 BC
#142Earlier quoted context omitted.
A guy once wrote a whole book about that. Unfortunately he started randomly killing people.
I don't condone what he did, but... 1. His intention wasn't to destroy in order to build resilience. 2. His targets weren't random.
He saw a tech-dependent society as being fragile. Towards the end of the book he talked about subverting the current system which he clearly wanted to destroy before it got out of hand.
Re: New research reveals the strongest solar event ever detected, in 12350 BC
#143Earlier quoted context omitted.
do you see meaningful reasons for it to not get there or are you just making a snarky comment
Computing power requirements and the fact that my subjective appraisal of the performance of these LLMs doesn't match the insane scaling curves that AI companies put out showing that their capabilities double every 6 months. Even if a 100x increase in computing power could equal a software engineer (and that's far from certain), that would be more expensive than a software engineer. But really the burden of proof is…
It's not, this isn't a lawsuit, it's a casual discussion, and I don't really care whether I'm convincing you or not, I'm taking about this because I enjoy it. I can tell you though that DeepSeek R1 & RL approaches do have shown the power to scale coding and reasoning much further without increasing model size or data requirements much, & that new improvements come non stop in the field from the billions being ingested and all the minds being focused on this all day long as it's so obvious to everyone that it's powerful
Re: New research reveals the strongest solar event ever detected, in 12350 BC
#144I hope it doesn't take so long to happen again that we have nobody around who remembers how to fix what it breaks. If so it'll be back to the stone ages for humanity.
You think that the farther in the future you go, the less likely it is that any existing population will know how to fix what breaks? That strikes me as oddly pessimistic, and frankly unlikely.
[deleted]
Re: New research reveals the strongest solar event ever detected, in 12350 BC
#145Earlier quoted context omitted.
I don't condone what he did, but... 1. His intention wasn't to destroy in order to build resilience. 2. His targets weren't random.
He saw a tech-dependent society as being fragile. Towards the end of the book he talked about subverting the current system which he clearly wanted to destroy before it got out of hand.
[deleted]
Re: New research reveals the strongest solar event ever detected, in 12350 BC
#146Earlier quoted context omitted.
I don't condone what he did, but... 1. His intention wasn't to destroy in order to build resilience. 2. His targets weren't random.
He saw a tech-dependent society as being fragile. Towards the end of the book he talked about subverting the current system which he clearly wanted to destroy before it got out of hand.
I was going for something more like a well-timed stress test, and less like a program of willful destruction.
Re: New research reveals the strongest solar event ever detected, in 12350 BC
#147I hope it doesn't take so long to happen again that we have nobody around who remembers how to fix what it breaks. If so it'll be back to the stone ages for humanity.
You think that the farther in the future you go, the less likely it is that any existing population will know how to fix what breaks? That strikes me as oddly pessimistic, and frankly unlikely.
It's not that I think that future generations are dumb or anything like that, it's just that the longer an assumption is held, the less likely people are to be prepared for it being invalidated.
Many of the people who designed our electrical infrastructure are still alive. Far fewer are needed to keep it running. If we must rethink our priors, I'd rather have both groups in the room while we do it.
Re: New research reveals the strongest solar event ever detected, in 12350 BC
#148Earlier quoted context omitted.
I spent my whole life only breathing through half a nostril on a good day. About 10 years ago I got surgery and Sublingual Immunotherapy drops, and the results have been life changing. I sleep better, my mind is clearer, I feel like an entirely new person. I am not exaggerating when I say that I still occasionally think about how nice it is to be able to breathe clearly.
What specific surgery and what specific drops?
I had a turbinate reduction, a deviated septum adjusted, and a balloon sinuplasty. I'm unclear on what the drops are specifically but they're sublingual immunotherapy.