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A Research Preview of Codex

openai.com

331–340 of 487 posts

Re: A Research Preview of Codex

#332

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How do? Perhaps if you film in Eastern Europe (which I realize does happen a bit), but even if your crew is foreign, if you’re filming in the US they’re still subject to US labor law. Being willing to ignore labor law also happens but is a bit beyond “offshoring”.

The film production company flies the cast of actors out to Serbia or whatever and relies on Serbian crews. Prior to 2022 they'd fly out the entire crew from the US and all the workers would be American and Canadian. Union, highly paid. Now they're using local (non-American) labor. Amazon and Apple taught the foreign talent how to do grip work so they didn't have to hire expensive American workers anymore. There are…

This is happening increasingly in pharma companies as well.

Re: A Research Preview of Codex

#333
post #152
post #35

I used to work for a bank and the legal team used to ping us to make tiny changes to the app for compliance related issues. Now they can fix themselves. I think they’d be very proud and happy

I promise you the legal team is not pushing any code changes

All they need is "vibes".

Re: A Research Preview of Codex

#334

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The real judge will be survivorship bias and as a betting man, I might think product owners are the ones with the entrepreneurial spirit to make it to the other side.

Product owners and project managers have the soft skills to convince the company that they aren't a drain on its resources regardless of what they actually are.

Yeah, but can they out-perform LLMs at soft skills? LLMs are really good sucking up, and telling people what they want to hear.

Re: A Research Preview of Codex

#335

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If you aren't hiring junior engineers to do these kinds of things, where do you think the senior engineers you need in the future will come from? My kid recently graduated from a very good school with a degree in computer science and what she's told me about the job market is scary. It seems that, relatively speaking, there's a lot of postings for senior engineers and very little for new grads. My employer has hired…

Hiring of juniors is basically dead these days and it has been like this for about 10 years and I hate it. I remember when I was a junior in 2014 there were actually startups who would hire cohorts of juniors (like 10 at a time, fresh out of CS degree sort of folks with almost no applied coding experience) and then train them up to senior for a few years, and then a small number will stay and the rest will go elsewhe…

I don't think it's been dead for 10 years. I'd place it at maybe 3? I teach at a mid-ranked university and the majority of my fresh out of college students were getting good-to-great entry level offers just a few years ago. The top 5-10% were getting well into six figure offers from FAANG or similar companies. But the entry level job market really tanked in mid 2022 when all the big tech companies did rounds of layoffs, and it's been much harder since then.

Re: A Research Preview of Codex

#336
post #104

They mentioned "microVM" in the live stream. Notably there's no browser or internet access. It makes sense, running specialized Firecracker/Unikraft/etc microkernels is way faster and cheaper so you can scale it up. But there will be a big technical scalability difficulty jump from this to the "agents with their own computers". ChatGPT Operator already does have a browser, so they definitely can do this, but I imagin…

It's not our only focus at Modal but it's a big focus![1] Code agents are the killer use case for LLMs right now, and this complements our GPU inference and training capabilities.

I'm quietly betting that agents increase the leverage of deterministic, reproducible devbox tech (eg. Nix, lockfiles, package mirroring), and this will end up being a huge win for us human engineers too.

1. https://modal.com/use-cases/sandboxes

Re: A Research Preview of Codex

#337
post #330

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They literally scraped half of youtube, made a library to extract the audio and released it as whisper. Of _course_ they are training on your shit.

thats publicly accessible shit. my code is trade secret and IP. I would litigate that shit if a line I wrote ends up in public model, easiest money to be made.

you will litigate nothing, and if you do you'll be dismissed anyway.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shira_Perlmutter#Firing

Re: A Research Preview of Codex

#338
post #156

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This is a bit of a game theory problem. "Training senior engineers" is an expensive and thankless task: you bear essentially all the cost, and most of the total benefit accrues to others as a positive externality. Griping at companies that they should undertake to provide this positive externality isn't really a constructive solution. I think some people are betting on the fact that AI can replace junior devs in 2-5…

With Agentic RL training and sufficient data, AI operating at the level of average senior engineers should become plausible in a couple to a few years. Top-tier engineers who integrate a deep understanding of business and user needs into technical design will likely be safe until we get full-fledged AGI.

On the other hand I’m pretry sure you will need senior engineers not only for designing but debugging. You don’t want to hit a wall when your Agentic coder hits a bug that it just won’t fix.

Re: A Research Preview of Codex

#340

I am so damn tired of all the AI garbage shoved down our throats every day. Can't wait for all of it to crash and burn.

At some point the bubble will pop

Higher chance of AGI/most SWEs being out of a job for an extended period of time than the bubble popping imo.
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