This is just objectively false. My friend is a freelance copy writer and live in the freelance world. It is 100% replacing writing jobs, editing jobs, and design jobs.
Generative AI is not replacing jobs or hurting wages at all, say economists
191–200 of 503 posts
Re: Generative AI is not replacing jobs or hurting wages at all, say economists
#192Earlier quoted context omitted.
> it can destroy value of entire sectors. Think of resume-sending. Once both sides are automated, the practice is actually superfluous "Like all ‘magic’ in Tolkien, [spiritual] power is an expression of the primacy of the Unseen over the Seen and in a sense as a result such spiritual power does not effect or perform but rather reveals: the true, Unseen nature of the world is revealed by the exertion of a supernatural…
Interesting: At first I was objecting in my mind ("Clearly, the magic - LLMs - can create effect instead of only revealing it.") but upon further reflecting on this, maybe you're right: First, LLMs are a distillation of our cultural knowledge. As such they can only reveal our knowledge to us. Second, they are limited even more so by the users knowledge. I found that you can barely escape your "zone of proximal develo…
In this sense, I have rarely seen AI have negative impacts. Insofar as an LLM can generate a dozen lines of code, it forces developers to engage in less "performative copy-paste of stackoverflow/code-docs/examples/etc." and engage the mind in what those lines should be. Even if, this engagement of the mind, is a prompt.
Re: Generative AI is not replacing jobs or hurting wages at all, say economists
#193Earlier quoted context omitted.
If a junior developer lies about something important, they can be fired and you can try to find someone else who wouldn't do the same thing. At the very least you could warn the person not to lie again or they're gone. It's not clear that you can do the same thing with an LLM as they don't know they've lied.
You're falling into the mistake of "correct" or "lied" though. Being wrong isn't lying .
Re: Generative AI is not replacing jobs or hurting wages at all, say economists
#194Re: Generative AI is not replacing jobs or hurting wages at all, say economists
#195Earlier quoted context omitted.
Probably the first significant hit are going to be drivers, delivery men, truckers etc. a demographic of 5 million jobs in US and double that in EU, with ripple effects costing other millions of jobs in industries such as roadside diners and hotels. The general tone of this study seems to be "It's 1995, and this thing called the Internet has not made TV obsolete"; same for the Acemoglu piece linked elsewhere in the.…
LLMs are the least deterministic means you could possibly ever have for automation. What you are truly seeking is high level specifications for automation systems, which is a flawed concept to the degree that the particulars of a system may require knowledgeable decisions made on a lower level. However, CAD/CAM, and infrastructure as code are true amplifiers of human power. LLMs destroy the notion of direct coupling…
If you want to reach the actual destination because conditions changed (there is a wreck in front of you) you need a system to identify changes that occur in a chaotic world and can pick from an undefined/unbounded list of actions.
Re: Generative AI is not replacing jobs or hurting wages at all, say economists
#196Re: Generative AI is not replacing jobs or hurting wages at all, say economists
#197Earlier quoted context omitted.
You're falling into the mistake of "correct" or "lied" though. Being wrong isn't lying .
Inventing answers is lying If I ask it how to accomplish a task with the C standard library and it tells me to use a function that doesn't exist in the C standard library, that's not just "wrong" that is a fabrication. It is a lie
If you ask me to remove whitespace from a string in Python and I mistakenly tell you use ".trim()" (the Java method, a mistake I've made annoyingly too much) instead of ".strip()", am I lying to you?
It's not a lie. It's just wrong.
Re: Generative AI is not replacing jobs or hurting wages at all, say economists
#198My primary worry since the start has been not that it would "replace workers", but that it can destroy value of entire sectors. Think of resume-sending. Once both sides are automated, the practice is actually superfluous. The concept of "posting" and "applying" to jobs has to go. So any infrastructure supporting it has to go. At no point did it successfully "do a job", but the injury to the signal to noise ratio wipe…
Resume-sending is a great example: if everyone's blasting out AI-generated applications and companies are using AI to filter them, the whole "application" process collapses into meaningless busywork
Always was.
Re: Generative AI is not replacing jobs or hurting wages at all, say economists
#199My primary worry since the start has been not that it would "replace workers", but that it can destroy value of entire sectors. Think of resume-sending. Once both sides are automated, the practice is actually superfluous. The concept of "posting" and "applying" to jobs has to go. So any infrastructure supporting it has to go. At no point did it successfully "do a job", but the injury to the signal to noise ratio wipe…
Until we solve the hallucination problem google search still has a place of power as something that doesn’t hallucinate. And even if we solve this problem of hallucination, the ai agents still need a platform to do search. If I was Google I’d simply cut off public api access to the search engine.
Google search is fraught with it's own list of problems and crappy results. Acting like it's infallible is certainly an interesting position.
>If I was Google I’d simply cut off public api access to the search engine.
The convicted monopolist Google? Yea, that will go very well for them.
Re: Generative AI is not replacing jobs or hurting wages at all, say economists
#200Earlier quoted context omitted.
It can’t replace a human for support, it is not even close to replacing a junior developer. It can’t replace any advice job because it lies instead of erroring. As an example if you want diet advice, it can lie to you very convincingly so there is no point in getting advice from it. Main value you get from a programmer is they understand what they are doing and they can take the responsibility of what they are develo…
> As an example if you want diet advice, it can lie to you very convincingly so there is no point in getting advice from it. How exactly is this different from getting advice from someone who acts confidently knowledgeable? Diet advice is an especially egregious example, since I can have 40 different dieticians give me 72 different diet/meal plans with them saying 100% certainty that this is the correct one. It's bad…
Because, as Brad Pilon of intermittent fasting fashion repeatedly stresses, "All diets work."*
* Once there is an energy deficit.