I agree; and the article seems to have also quite a few technical flaws:
- Register width: we somewhat maxed out at 512 bits, with Intel going back to 256 bits for non-server CPUs. I don't see larger widths on the horizon (even if SVE theoretically supports up to 2048 bits, I don't know any implementation with ~~>256~~ >512 bits). Larger bit widths are not beneficial for most applications and the few applications that are (e.g., some HPC codes) are nowadays served by GPUs.
- The post mentions available opcode space: while opcode space is limited, a reasonably well-designed ISA (e.g., AArch64) has enough holes for extensions. Adding new instructions doesn't require ABI changes, and while adding new registers requires some kernel changes, this is well understood at this point.
- "What is worse, software developers often have to target several SIMD generations" -- no way around this, though, unless auto-vectorization becomes substantially better. Adjusting the register width is not the big problem when porting code, making better use of available instructions is.
- "The packed SIMD paradigm is that there is a 1:1 mapping between the register width and the execution unit width" -- no. E.g., AMD's Zen 4 does double pumping, and AVX was IIRC originally designed to support this as well (although Intel went directly for 256-bit units).
- "At the same time many SIMD operations are pipelined and require several clock cycles to complete" -- well, they are pipelined, but many SIMD instructions have the same latency as their scalar counterpart.
- "Consequently, loops have to be unrolled in order to avoid stalls and keep the pipeline busy." -- loop unroll has several benefits, mostly to reduce the overhead of the loop and to avoid data dependencies between loop iterations. Larger basic blocks are better for hardware as every branch, even if predicted correctly, has a small penalty. "Loop unrolling also increases register pressure" -- it does, but code that really requires >32 registers is extremely rare, so a good instruction scheduler in the compiler can avoid spilling.
In my experience, dynamic vector sizes make code slower, because they inhibit optimizations. E.g., spilling a dynamically sized vector is like a dynamic stack allocation with a dynamic offset. I don't think SVE delivered any large benefits, both in terms of performance (there's not much hardware with SVE to begin with...) and compiler support. RISC-V pushes further into this direction, we'll see how this turns out.