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GPT-4.1 in the API

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Re: GPT-4.1 in the API

#271
post #17

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Gemini 2.5 Pro gets 64% on SWE-bench verified. Sonnet 3.7 gets 70% They are reporting that GPT-4.1 gets 55%.

Very interesting. For my use cases, Gemini's responses beat Sonnet 3.7's like 80% of the time (gut feeling, didn't collect actual data). It beats Sonnet 100% of the time when the context gets above 120k.

As usual with LLMs. In my experience, all those metrics are useful mainly to tell which models are definitely bad, but doesn't tell you much about which ones are good, and especially not how the good ones stack against each other in real world use cases.

Andrej Karpathy famously quipped that he only trusts two LLM evals: Chatbot Arena (which has humans blindly compare and score responses), and the r/LocalLLaMA comment section.

Re: GPT-4.1 in the API

#273

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The problem is that while you can train a model with the hyperparameter of "context size" set to 1M, there's very little 1M data to train on. Most of your model's ability to follow long context comes from the fact that it's trained on lots of (stolen) books; in fact I believe OpenAI just outright said in court that they can't do long context without training on books. Novels are usually measured in terms of words; an…

What about old books? Wikipedia? Law texts? Programming languages documentations? How many tokens is a 100 pages PDF? 10k to 100k?

Wikipedia does not have many pages that are 750k words. According to Special:LongPages[1], the longest page right now is a little under 750k bytes.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_chiropterans

Despite listing all presently known bats, the majority of "list of chiropterans" byte count is code that generates references to the IUCN Red List, not actual text. Most of Wikipedia's longest articles are code.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:LongPages

Re: GPT-4.1 in the API

#274
I tried 4.1-mini and 4.1-nano. The response are a lot faster, but for my use-case they seem to be a lot worse than 4o-mini(they fail to complete the task when 4o-mini could do it). Maybe I have to update my prompts...

Re: GPT-4.1 in the API

#275
I think an under appreciated reality is that all of the large AI labs and OpenAI in particular are fighting multiple market battles at once. This is coming across in both the number of products and the packaging.

1, to win consumer growth they have continued to benefit on hyper viral moments, lately that was was image generation in 4o, which likely was technically possible a long time before launched. 2, for enterprise workloads and large API use, they seem to have focused less lately but the pricing of 4.1 is clearly an answer to Gemini which has been winning on ultra high volume and consistency. 3, for full frontier benchmarks they pushed out 4.5 to stay SOTA and attract the best researchers. 4, on top of all they they had to, and did, quickly answer the reasoning promise and DeepSeek threat with faster and cheaper o models.

They are still winning many of these battles but history highlights how hard multi front warfare is, at least for teams of humans.

Re: GPT-4.1 in the API

#276
post #238

Sam Altman wrote in February that GPT-4.5 would be "our last non-chain-of-thought model" [1], but GPT-4.1 also does not have internal chain-of-thought [2]. It seems like OpenAI keeps changing its plans. Deprecating GPT-4.5 less than 2 months after introducing it also seems unlikely to be the original plan. Changing plans is necessarily a bad thing, but I wonder why. Did they not expect this model to turn out as well…

Perhaps it is a distilled 4.5, or based on it's lineage, as some suggested.

Re: GPT-4.1 in the API

#277
post #238

Sam Altman wrote in February that GPT-4.5 would be "our last non-chain-of-thought model" [1], but GPT-4.1 also does not have internal chain-of-thought [2]. It seems like OpenAI keeps changing its plans. Deprecating GPT-4.5 less than 2 months after introducing it also seems unlikely to be the original plan. Changing plans is necessarily a bad thing, but I wonder why. Did they not expect this model to turn out as well…

Anyone making claims with a horizon beyond two months about structure or capabilities will be wrong - it's sama's job to show confidence and vision and calm stakeholders, but if you're paying attention to the field, the release and research cycles are still contracting, with no sense of slowing any time soon. I've followed AI research daily since GPT-2, the momentum is incredible, and even if the industry sticks with…

Maybe that's true for absolute arm-chair-engineering outsiders (like me) but these models are in training for months, training data is probably being prepared year(s) in advance. These models have a knowledge cut-off in 2024 - so they have been in training for a while. There's no way sama did not have a good idea that this non-COT was in the pipeline 2 months ago. It was probably finished training then and undergoing evals.

Maybe

1. he's just doing his job and hyping OpenAI's competitive advantages (afair most of the competition didn't have decent COT models in Feb), or

2. something changed and they're releasing models now that they didn't intend to release 2 months ago (maybe because a model they did intend to release is not ready and won't be for a while), or

3. COT is not really as advantageous as it was deemed to be 2+ months ago and/or computationally too expensive.

Re: GPT-4.1 in the API

#278
post #238

Sam Altman wrote in February that GPT-4.5 would be "our last non-chain-of-thought model" [1], but GPT-4.1 also does not have internal chain-of-thought [2]. It seems like OpenAI keeps changing its plans. Deprecating GPT-4.5 less than 2 months after introducing it also seems unlikely to be the original plan. Changing plans is necessarily a bad thing, but I wonder why. Did they not expect this model to turn out as well…

Anyone making claims with a horizon beyond two months about structure or capabilities will be wrong - it's sama's job to show confidence and vision and calm stakeholders, but if you're paying attention to the field, the release and research cycles are still contracting, with no sense of slowing any time soon. I've followed AI research daily since GPT-2, the momentum is incredible, and even if the industry sticks with…

> Things are going to continue getting better, faster, and weirder.

I love this. Especially the weirder part. This tech can be useful in every crevice of society and we still have no idea what new creative use cases there are.

Who would’ve guessed phones and social media would cause mass protests because bystanders could record and distribute videos of the police?

Re: GPT-4.1 in the API

#280

No benchmark comparisons to other models, especially Gemini 2.5 Pro, is telling.

Go look at their past blog posts. OpenAI only ever benchmarks against their own models. This is pretty common across industries. The leader doesn’t compare themselves to the competition.

Except they are far from the lead in model performance
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