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Self-Driving Teslas Are Fatally Rear-Ending Motorcyclists More Than Any Other

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Re: Self-Driving Teslas Are Fatally Rear-Ending Motorcyclists More Than Any Other

#131
post #124
post #97

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I've driven before, and agree with the OP. Now what?

let's experiment. i'll reduce your vision quality, then you try driving

It's pretty obvious from the context of the thread that "vision quality" refers to LIDAR vs cameras, and that human vision is good enough, not that being legally blind doesn't somehow doesn't affect driving quality.

Re: Self-Driving Teslas Are Fatally Rear-Ending Motorcyclists More Than Any Other

#132
post #20

This problem has been solved more than a decade ago by radar sensors (standard on many mid-range cars at the time). They detect imminent collisions with almost perfect accuracy and very little false positives. Having better sensor data is always going to beat trying to massage crappy data into something useful.

Are we sure Teslas dont have radars? We know they don’t have lidars, but that’s irrelevant.

Yes. We are sure.

Re: Self-Driving Teslas Are Fatally Rear-Ending Motorcyclists More Than Any Other

#133

The point I soured on Musk was when he ditched radar/lidar and tried to go with camera's alone. This made me realize he is not the genius he is made out to be but instead he is a fraud/charlatan and over the years his statements on different topics have only hardened that belief. Why the fuck would you want ai cars to be the same as humans you should want them to be many times better and radarr/lidar sonarr type tech…

Multiple independent sensor streams is like having multiple pilots fly a plane instead of just one pilot. The chance of a fatal error (false negative identification of an object near the car) decreases from p to p^n. The size of that decrease is not intuitive: if p=0.0001 it now becomes a much smaller number with the introduction of a second pilot or second independent sensor stream (0.0001^2). Now the errors are not…

I misread your first sentence, in that having multiple pilots is not necessarily a good thing, like multiple cooks.

You have a main and a backup pilot, but either one must be 100% capable of doing it on their own. The backup is silently double checking, but their assignments are more about ensuring that the copilot doesn't just check out because they're human. If the copilot ever has to say "don't do that it's going to kill us all" it's a crisis.

Lidar is a good backup but the car must be able to with without it. You can't drive just with lidar; it's like driving by Braille. Lidar can't even read a stop light. If they cannot handle it with just the visuals, the car should be not be allowed on the road.

I concur that is terrifying that he was allowed to go without the backup that stops it from killing people. Human co drivers are not a good enough backup.

But he's also not wrong that the visual system must be practically perfect -- if it's possible at all. Which it surely isn't yet.

Re: Self-Driving Teslas Are Fatally Rear-Ending Motorcyclists More Than Any Other

#134

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We have more than 100 years of proof that visual detection works quite well. The problem is that we don't have certification process before a tech is deployed on the streets - your AV must pass this and this tests before you are allowed to use it. We don't care how you got there lidar, gps/astrology, camera/ai are all ok as long as you pass

each year there are millions of car accidents and tens of thousands of fatalities. Are we really sure visual detection works that great?

Vision isn't the problem for the vast majority of those accidents. There are a lot of really bad drivers out there.

Re: Self-Driving Teslas Are Fatally Rear-Ending Motorcyclists More Than Any Other

#135

Earlier quoted context omitted.

“This issue is unique to Tesla. Other self-driving manufacturers have logged zero motorcycle fatalities in the same time frame” Doesnt give number of driving hours for Tesla vs others though.

Yep! And no stats at all. Pathetic article.

Do not believe any statistic you didn’t manipulate yourself.

Re: Self-Driving Teslas Are Fatally Rear-Ending Motorcyclists More Than Any Other

#136

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think mandating performance makes way more sense.

I'm sure the government, led by Elon Musk, has no conflict of interest with Tesla, run by Elon Musk, that would EVER give Tesla an unfair advantage against its competitors through regularly capture or something similar.

US government en general is know for it's great judgement, meritocracy and adherence to the highest ethical standards, not just the absence of conflicts of interest in particular.

Re: Self-Driving Teslas Are Fatally Rear-Ending Motorcyclists More Than Any Other

#138

The point I soured on Musk was when he ditched radar/lidar and tried to go with camera's alone. This made me realize he is not the genius he is made out to be but instead he is a fraud/charlatan and over the years his statements on different topics have only hardened that belief. Why the fuck would you want ai cars to be the same as humans you should want them to be many times better and radarr/lidar sonarr type tech…

I guess I just have to accept that for the foreseeable future, any article in any way related to Elon Musk will result in a lot of angry low quality comments that get lots of upvotes.

Instead of critiquing the article for liberal use of words like "overwhelmingly", "unique", and " 100% of Teslas" on an n=5 cars, with limited data and a very questionable analysis of the Snohomish accident, we discuss how Musk is a fraud.

Re: Self-Driving Teslas Are Fatally Rear-Ending Motorcyclists More Than Any Other

#139
post #7

Related: Well-sourced video on the topic https://youtube.com/watch?v=yRdzIs4FJJg

FortNine videos are my favorite videos on YouTube. You're short changing them by just leaving the link without a description or title.

The video title is "Tesla Autopilot Crashes into Motorcycle Riders - Why?"

The amazing part is the one guy who created this video covered all insightful comments here in HN in one concise video 2 years ago.

Re: Self-Driving Teslas Are Fatally Rear-Ending Motorcyclists More Than Any Other

#140

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think mandating performance makes way more sense.

I'm sure the government, led by Elon Musk, has no conflict of interest with Tesla, run by Elon Musk, that would EVER give Tesla an unfair advantage against its competitors through regularly capture or something similar.

Which is exactly why they should mandate performance and not procedure. It's easy to bias a procedure towards one company but very hard to bias a performance standard.
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