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Google's Autonomous cars complete 300,000 miles without an accident

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Re: Google's Autonomous cars complete 300,000 miles without an accident

#32
Too bad it doesn't mention if this is better than a human or not. So, I decided to figure it out...

2.9 trillion miles driven in 2009 http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/ohim/tvtw/09dectvt/09dectvt.pdf

10.8 million traffic accidents in 2009 http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/2012/tables/12s1103.p...

If my math is correct the average american can expect to get in an accident every ~250,000 miles driven, (NYC to LA 90 times) so this does seem to be an improvement if all else is equal (which I'm sure is not the case!).

Re: Google's Autonomous cars complete 300,000 miles without an accident

#33
post #26

Autonomous cars are the next big tech that changes the world - I put them up there with computer, Internet, and smart phone. When economists think about technology, they look at it as a productivity booster. From that angle, robot cars will have a huge impact - so many commute hours will be transformed to work, or even leisure, which also boosts productivity. So many smart people are about to be given a 10% or better…

So will susceptibility to car sickness become a federally-protected disability?

I wonder how much of car sickness is thanks to the driver. And if a good enough software could drive without causing car sickness?

Re: Google's Autonomous cars complete 300,000 miles without an accident

#34
Does anybody have a citation for accidents per mile for a human driver? I've seen, uncited, 1/200,000 but when I tried to verify this I came up with 2,967 billion miles traveled in 2010 [0] and 5,419,000 crashes total (based on police reports for: property damage, injury, or fatality) [1]. Which, unless there is an error in my math, is roughly 1 crash every 550,000 miles.

0. http://www-fars.nhtsa.dot.gov/Trends/TrendsGeneral.aspx

1. http://www-nrd.nhtsa.dot.gov/Pubs/811552.pdf table 4

Re: Google's Autonomous cars complete 300,000 miles without an accident

#37
post #5

It's probably a bit misleading. The car is pretty eye catching: http://www.vibe.com/sites/vibe.com/files/styles/main_image/p... So it gets attention...and most accidents happen when people don't pay attention. Once these become more common, it won't be a huge deal, so people will stop noticing them and accident rates will go up. Probably not by much, since you'd eliminate most of the driver caused accidents

On the other hand, staring at something is a great way to hit it. It's one of the first things they teach you in a motorcycle safety course.

Re: Google's Autonomous cars complete 300,000 miles without an accident

#38

Too bad it doesn't mention if this is better than a human or not. So, I decided to figure it out... 2.9 trillion miles driven in 2009 http://www.fhwa.dot.gov/ohim/tvtw/09dectvt/09dectvt.pdf 10.8 million traffic accidents in 2009 http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/2012/tables/12s1103.p... If my math is correct the average american can expect to get in an accident every ~250,000 miles driven, (NYC to LA 90 times) s…

I don't know much about this google project. Can autonomous cars (i) drive on the highway (ii) drive at night (iii) drive in snow or rain?

Re: Google's Autonomous cars complete 300,000 miles without an accident

#39
post #30

Long-haul tractor trailers. We need long stretches of highway where autonomous tractor trailers can carry goods. It'll provide a good business case and limit liability.

It would be nice, but I can see the reaction from truckers who become out of work already...

Re: Google's Autonomous cars complete 300,000 miles without an accident

#40
post #26

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So will susceptibility to car sickness become a federally-protected disability?

I wonder how much of car sickness is thanks to the driver. And if a good enough software could drive without causing car sickness?

Well, at least in my case, it only happens as a passenger. I can sit there, and I'm fine, but the instant I try to read something, watch a video, or something like that, I start to feel bad.

Actually, even a glance at my GPS while driving wil occasionally cause a twinge.

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