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The Authoritarian Regime Survival Guide

verfassungsblog.de

41–50 of 140 posts

Re: The Authoritarian Regime Survival Guide

#41
post #5

[flagged]

People portray everything in terms of the ideological war between "democracy" vs "authoritarianism", fitting everything into that narrative even when it doesn't make sense. It's a nice, simple, easy way to understand what's happening around us, who's good and bad, yet deeply flawed.

There is the theoretical understanding, and then there is how it meshes with reality.

The theoretical understanding is that we are in an ideological war. If you strip away all the nuance and ask for a high level understanding of what is happening right now, that is happening right now.

When meshed into reality it is a bit more complicated... neither side of our government is on the side of democracy. One is straight fascist, the other is in favor of a corporate state or oligarchy. Both party's power primarily comes from news media (oligarch owned) and from legalized bribery (the richest have the most power), so neither can challenge oligarchic power, because oligarchic power is where their power comes from. The fascist party is currently in the process of giving themselves power by replacing enforcement institutions with loyalists. Once all the people who enforce the law are loyalists, they can decide what the law is, and then it's no longer people with money who have all the power, but people the enforcers of "law" are loyal to.

Neither party can fight oligarchy because to fight oligarchy is to disempower themselves. Bernie and AOC might be the only exceptions.

Re: The Authoritarian Regime Survival Guide

#42

Is this really an authoritarian regime survival guide or a not-too-hidden jab at the Trump presidency? Like I don't see too many of the items applying to classically authoritarian regimes like China. Let's apply the guide's own advice: > Always think critically, fact-check and point out the truth, expose ignorance with facts. The guide after all is written by Eastern / Europeans, the people is getting expropriated th…

There are many flavours of authoritarianism, this is a guide how to act in the early phase of one of them (regimes that started from a democracy).

Maybe you are too US-centric (wouldn't be the first time that happened to someone from the US), but as someone from Central Europe I had to immediately think about Hungary — Trump is said to follow the Orban playbook, a mental line not only drawn by me, but also by the European Council for Foreign Relations: https://ecfr.eu/publication/the-orbanisation-of-america-hung...

Now China's regime is in power since 1949 and there was no democracy before. People who had the chance to enact the advice in the 50s are likely dead by now. So you literally criticized the article for not covering a thing they said in the introduction they are not covering.

Just a hint: critical thinking involves a step where you try to play the devils advocate and try to find all flaws with your own thinking. If you skip that step it means your goal isn't finding the truth, but finding a plausible counter-argument. This isn't critical thinking, it is contrarian thinking, so something that finds a point that could (to a non-critical audience) seem like a weakness of a thought, but doesn't hold water under close scrutiny. Good for use as an unfair rethorical tool, bad to establish good discourse.

Trump praises authoritarians, has said multiple things that showed he wanted to be one, uses authoritarian language and has done political things that square with being an authoritarian — he is a textbook authoritarian. No discussion needed at, all a spade is a spade. Whether it is still early authoritarianism is the interesting question.

Re: The Authoritarian Regime Survival Guide

#43

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yeah, I mean the supreme court already knocked down Trump's whole USAID thing. The US is very far from authoritarianism, the institutions seem quite strong and thats something I believe Americans recognized when they voted for him, that it was just a bit of a risk but it was unlikely he would actually be successful in toppling the government.

I read that SCOTUS told the administration to pay for completed work. Considering USAID has been essentially dissolved, I wouldn't say they knocked down "the whole USAID thing". Unless I missed some news.

SCOTUS said the money could not be frozen, but I don't think they put a deadline on when it had to be paid out. So it's not over.

The VP and Musk have both written recently about how the judiciary can't tell the executive branch what to do. I think Vance called it illegal. Regardless, law is meaningless if no one will enforce it.

Re: The Authoritarian Regime Survival Guide

#44
post #35
post #4

Every single of these is happening in Hungary today. Literally.

I didn't read them all, but I read enough to think they were lying about it being tweets from 2017. It reads like someone asked ChatGPT to summarize current political news in the US.

The article is from 2018. Here's Internet Archive's first copy of the article: https://web.archive.org/web/20180326213902/https://verfassun... .

Re: The Authoritarian Regime Survival Guide

#45
post #17

This worldview where one side is evil/authoritarian and the other is good/free/liberal is the root of a lot of suffering in the world. It's a flawed worldview that made Americans end up with dysfunctional politicians, because you reward ideological rhetoric more than real, pragmatic long-term planing.

You might be meaning something smart and good or something not so smart and good, but I only realized on my second reading.

What I mean is there is absolutely room somewhere between the current situation (examples from Norway) where:

- every road end up costing more than in comparable countries because no decision is final and everyone has a say

- school problems because teachers are not allowed to act, even in clear cases of abuse

- police have no tools against people under 14

but the solution is absolutely not to give politicians (or bureaucrats) unlimited power, bring back harsh physical punishment in school and turning a blind eye towards police violence.

In my understanding the problem seems to be that of polarization (examples sourced more globally):

- Why do I have to choose between 1. people who deny that trans people exist and 2. people who think that it isn't a problem when one inmate gets another inmate pregnant in a women's only prison? Or in sports, were womens sports, were people who were male athletes who never had a chance can transition and easily win as women? There certainly is a lot of room between these options.

- or why do I have to choose between 1. people who hate certain groups of people and 2. people who think it is OK when others arrive here and openly abuse our hospitality? Why did it take years to expel an internationally wanted terrorist?

List goes on.

Re: The Authoritarian Regime Survival Guide

#47
post #35
post #4

Every single of these is happening in Hungary today. Literally.

I didn't read them all, but I read enough to think they were lying about it being tweets from 2017. It reads like someone asked ChatGPT to summarize current political news in the US.

History may not repeat, but it absolutely rhymes. If had a nickel for every time I heard about a government proposing to round up and deport thousands of people to a special island just so that their normal Constitution rules wouldn't apply, I'd have two nickels--which isn't a lot, but it's weird it happened twice.

Re: The Authoritarian Regime Survival Guide

#48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

[flagged]

If you think it's ok for a leader of the biggest power in the world to joke and say random things that are lies while blackmailing ex-allies into 'negotiations' and helping russia win an invasion on sovereign territory that US and others promised to protect for not having nukes anymore in 1994, you must be special indeed.

[deleted]

Re: The Authoritarian Regime Survival Guide

#49
post #15

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Imagine still talking about "Trump Derangement Syndrome" while "The King" goes on rants about invading Greenland and posts AI videos of Saddam-esque gold statues of himself in "Trump Gaza", all while he wrecks every international relationship we have, turns the economy into chaos, and puts Kash Patel and Dan Bongino on charge of the FBI, after which they openly started dropping investigations against politicians (Eri…

[flagged]

It’s an understatement to say Canada is extremely displeased at this, it will cost the US billions in lost trade and tourism. And for what? The trade deficit if you take out oil exports from Canada to the US is actually in favor of the US. Many American jobs will be lost because of this.

That trust and relationship will not be rebuilt easily, you vastly underestimate the damage and cost that will come from all the ill will being generated.

Words from a president are not just words, they carry weight, but now that tariffs are actually in effect we can see plain as day the first part of him carrying to execution his reckless and completely senseless ideas.

Re: The Authoritarian Regime Survival Guide

#50
post #31

Why not just leave? I mean for those who can afford. Especially when this is happening in a country with so many firearms. It could quickly be easier to resist from a safe place.

Because I have many loved ones that I don't want to be too far from. It's worth enduring a lot to be around them.
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