Live data from Hacker News

A few words about FiveThirtyEight

natesilver.net

1–10 of 140 posts

Re: A few words about FiveThirtyEight

#7
post #4

[flagged]

You mean polls like this that put Clinton 15% ahead? https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/blogs/wisconsin-voter/20...

I think there’s a stronger argument that those polls were intended to suppress Trump voters into thinking they were not the majority (when in fact they were).

Re: A few words about FiveThirtyEight

#8
post #4

[flagged]

538's final forecast was Kamala 50%, Trump 49%. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2024-election-forecast/

Nobody who thinks they can pin a probability on an event that only gets sampled once should ever be taken seriously.
Post reply on HN