Earlier quoted context omitted.
The mere existence of Tailscale should give a hint that NAT is only a speedbump and not any protection whatsoever. It protects you against nothing. Every method that Tailscale uses to traverse NAT can be in isolation used by any other piece of software. For more info about that you can read the following article. https://tailscale.com/blog/how-nat-traversal-works
What people really want is a firewall, and since NAT acts as a firewall, they confuse it with that. My university has a public IP for every computer, but you could still only connect to the servers, not random computers, from the outside. Because they had a firewall.
NAT/port forwarding, for all their faults make it rather difficult to write rules allowing traffic to a machine you didn't intend to expose to the world.