thank god for the wayback machine
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US newspapers are deleting old crime stories, offering subjects a 'clean slate'
11–20 of 390 posts
Re: US newspapers are deleting old crime stories, offering subjects a 'clean slate'
#12> One in three U.S. adults has been arrested by age 23. Does that seem crazy to anyone else? I'm in Ireland and can't think of one person in my extended family and friends that has any interaction with the police beyond routine insurance/DUI checkpoints or reporting incidents like car accidents.
It's kind of my experience too, we all live in our (socioeconomic) bubbles. You are much more likely to get involved with the police if you were raised by poor parents. Or rather, you are much less likely to get involved with the police if you were raised by (comparatively) rich parents.
Re: US newspapers are deleting old crime stories, offering subjects a 'clean slate'
#13> One in three U.S. adults has been arrested by age 23. Does that seem crazy to anyone else? I'm in Ireland and can't think of one person in my extended family and friends that has any interaction with the police beyond routine insurance/DUI checkpoints or reporting incidents like car accidents.
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Re: US newspapers are deleting old crime stories, offering subjects a 'clean slate'
#14> One in three U.S. adults has been arrested by age 23. Does that seem crazy to anyone else? I'm in Ireland and can't think of one person in my extended family and friends that has any interaction with the police beyond routine insurance/DUI checkpoints or reporting incidents like car accidents.
Looking at the PDF they link to, it doesn't say "has been arrested" it says "has criminal record". Maybe those 2 things are the same, but I'm not so sure.
It says both. The 1 in 3 refers to those under 23.
> One in three U.S. adults has been arrested by age 23.
The has a criminal record refers to the population as a whole.
> [...] between 70 million and 100 million—or as many as one in three Americans—have some type of criminal record
Linked PDF: https://www.sentencingproject.org/app/uploads/2022/08/Americ...
Re: US newspapers are deleting old crime stories, offering subjects a 'clean slate'
#15https://www.judyrecords.com/ probably has it.
Re: US newspapers are deleting old crime stories, offering subjects a 'clean slate'
#16> One in three U.S. adults has been arrested by age 23. Does that seem crazy to anyone else? I'm in Ireland and can't think of one person in my extended family and friends that has any interaction with the police beyond routine insurance/DUI checkpoints or reporting incidents like car accidents.
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Re: US newspapers are deleting old crime stories, offering subjects a 'clean slate'
#17> One in three U.S. adults has been arrested by age 23. Does that seem crazy to anyone else? I'm in Ireland and can't think of one person in my extended family and friends that has any interaction with the police beyond routine insurance/DUI checkpoints or reporting incidents like car accidents.
You can figure this for anything, and prepare to be shocked. The variables are the number of incidents per period, the population during that period, and the expected duration an incident could occur. For example, in San Francisco, there are about 4700 car related injuries and deaths per year; about 800000 people; and the life expectancy is high at 83. This gives you 41 years for a cumulative 25% chance to have been involved in your first car injury.
It is crazy. Everyone should be pissed off. Do this for guns, diabetes, etc. Think about the people you know, and how the further you venture into acquaintances, you know someone who has been arrested, injured by a car, injured by a gun, has diabetes, etc.
Some will be looking for math flaws. It’s an exponential model for time until first event, “constant hazard.” It’s actuarial. Nothing unorthodox. If you couldn’t calculate the durations until events insurance couldn’t work. The biggest factors are numerator, denominator and eligible period (ie rate of incidence). The biggest factors are NOT other things…
The reason you doubt this stuff, that you think it’s crazy, isn’t because the math is wrong. You believe very strongly that people involved in crimes and car crashes and guns have personal agency. The discount for panopticon approved safe driving is a pathetic 5-10%! If agency is all it was, auto insurance would be way cheaper.
This is all about the myth about what kinds of agency matter. You cannot be much of a “better” driver. You can’t be a “safer” criminal. Even if you never drove, due to the rate of injuries, it takes 41 years. I didn’t give the figure for causing injuries, just being involved in one, on purpose: we’re primed to assume it’s all about agency. Consider if there were only ONE criminal who commits the same rate of crimes: they’re still going to arrest a ton of people! Or ONE driver who hits everybody: you’re still going to be involved.
The math is easy to understand but people absolutely refuse to question their beliefs about agency.
Re: US newspapers are deleting old crime stories, offering subjects a 'clean slate'
#18> One in three U.S. adults has been arrested by age 23. Does that seem crazy to anyone else? I'm in Ireland and can't think of one person in my extended family and friends that has any interaction with the police beyond routine insurance/DUI checkpoints or reporting incidents like car accidents.
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Re: US newspapers are deleting old crime stories, offering subjects a 'clean slate'
#19Earlier quoted context omitted.
Looking at the PDF they link to, it doesn't say "has been arrested" it says "has criminal record". Maybe those 2 things are the same, but I'm not so sure.
Criminal records would include all misdemeanors. You can get a misdemeanor without ever being arrested. In some cases trivial things like speeding can be a misdemeanor requiring a court appearance.
25 years ago I got a misdemeanor citation for rollerblading on the sidewalk in downtown Charlottesville, Virginia, which required me to make a court appearance and pay for a VERY expensive lawyer to get the charge thrown out. If instead I'd paid the $25 fine, I'd have had a permanent misdemeanor charge on my record.
Re: US newspapers are deleting old crime stories, offering subjects a 'clean slate'
#20> One in three U.S. adults has been arrested by age 23. Does that seem crazy to anyone else? I'm in Ireland and can't think of one person in my extended family and friends that has any interaction with the police beyond routine insurance/DUI checkpoints or reporting incidents like car accidents.
You can figure this for anything, and prepare to be shocked. The variables are the number of incidents per period, the population during that period, and the expected duration an incident could occur. For example, in San Francisco, there are about 4700 car related injuries and deaths per year; about 800000 people; and the life expectancy is high at 83. This gives you 41 years for a cumulative 25% chance to have been…
> For example, in San Francisco, there are about 4700 car related injuries and deaths per year; about 800000 people;
800k permanent residents.
> In 2019, prior to the COVID-19 pandemic more than 26 million visitors travelled to San Francisco.
That changes your statistics quite a bit.