Earlier quoted context omitted.
China historically has been ruled by committee and has been inward-looking. China is now a dictatorship. Dictatorships sooner or later, if they think they can get away with it, invade their neighbours. When you see a dictatorship which is under no threat engaging in a massive military build-up, invasion is on the way.
the demise of China’s rule by committee has been vastly overstated in the West imo. i wonder about this ‘dictatorship inevitably goes to war’ - a glance at WW2 and you could be forgiven for concluding the exact opposite re: the Iberian peninsula
But that's not what I wrote.
I may be completely wrong, but what I think is that a dictatorship will, sooner or later, go to war if it thinks it can win.
So if you have say Russia next door, but you're strong enough Russia think it can't win, you do not get invaded.