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Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

news.ycombinator.com

71–80 of 620 posts

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#72
Previous years:

2024: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38777115 (the rest of this list is copied from https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=38779963)

2023: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=34125628

2022: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29746236

2021: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=25594068

2020: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=21802596

2019: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=18753859

2018: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=16007988

2017: none?

2016: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=10809767

2015: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8822723

2014: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6994370

2013: none?

2012: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=3395201

2011: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1970023

2010: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1025681

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#73

Auto makers will decide that putting 6 headlights on pickup trucks is no longer competitive. Consequently, they will innovate that the world needs pickup trucks with 8 headlights, starting in 2025. FML.

Honestly, I think the headlight "bars" like on the Rivian R1T or Cybertruck is going to be the standard going forward. It gives a better driving experience (to the driver, way worse for the other drivers...)

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#74
I predict that I will finally finish making that bird feeder camera that I've been wanting to make for my wife. I've got all the parts for it, I just need to figure out how to put them together and write some code to take a picture of a bird. Can't be too hard, right?

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#75

God, this thread is bleak. Not undeservedly, but...woof. Nobody's mentioned antibiotic resistant bacteria much that I saw, so that'll probably keep being more and more of an issue. Everyone predicted a second Great Depression during Covid that lined up with 1929... Well, Trump and his friends might drive us toward that in 2029, or earlier. AI peaks and we can't eke out much more real benefit from it, but there's too…

> God, this thread is bleak. [...] I have to replace my bike tires.

Your bike tires have contributed to the microplastic crisis. :-)

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#76
The number of programming jobs on earth doubles. The NASDAQ doubles. A cultural renaissance occurs that foundationally defines the next 2 decades. George RR Martin releases The Winds of Winter.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#77
A neighbor just got laid off from Adobe, ran huge AI projects there. PM.

Program/Project Manager roles go to zero.

Trad dev and design roles go to zero.

Those roles go to those who also code/design/sell/get viral/make videos/write tutorials/devrel/run communities/answer customer support.

It used to be "do designers learn to code" or "do coders learn to design?

now it's learn ALL those things, fast, with AI, or hang out in the tendie loin.

it's dog eat dog and no one's safe

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#78

1) Companies will develop many specialized LLMs linked via a router-like app that determines the best LLM to perform your request. This will yield better results without requiring an AGI. It might even be good enough to replace a specialized information tech job. 2) The cost of a line of code will continue to drop. A Moore's like law is coming/here for code. 3) Trade jobs will start to become what code jobs were in t…

When all knowledge workers and creatives in the US are out of jobs in 2 years because of AI, those trade jobs aren't going to pay well because no one's going to have any money to pay for any work. No new houses being built, no expensive kitchen remodels, etc.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#79
post #7

Dopamine management medication will lead to a renaissance of human ingenuity and scientific discoveries and a big crash for social media and gambling sites (and in fact most online activities) but everyone will start becoming more robotic and even less social. Think GLP-1 inhibitors except for thinking more deeply and for longer periods. If not 2025 very soon.

Do GLP-1 already do this, to some extent?

I've heard many reports of GLP-1 reducing addiction behavior, but more like alcohol and gambling. Never heard anyone reporting on social media reduction. IMHO it looks like it should, I just haven't seen any data / anecdotes.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#80
post #76

The number of programming jobs on earth doubles. The NASDAQ doubles. A cultural renaissance occurs that foundationally defines the next 2 decades. George RR Martin releases The Winds of Winter.

All this in 2025? Also GRRM is done releasing anything
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