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Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

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Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#51

Post by OutOfHere »

lolinder wrote: post #35
OutOfHere wrote: post #22

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not just a bit out there; it's completely antithetical to what we're seeing in the data.

The data strongly suggests that AI is dealing with a bad case of a bubble, and it's not that far out there to suggest that the bubble will pop next year. That's not to say that some companies won't come out ahead—there were success stories that came out of the .com bubble too—but I'd give it no more then three years before the bubble bursts and the startup casualties stack up.

After 3+ years, the case for "AI startups" could then begin to weaken, but integration of AI in most startups should then remain central to their existence.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#52

Post by rvz »

Given the hype in AI and crypto, I unfortunately predict that there will be widespread layoffs in 2025.

Usually I had a habit of getting my predictions on point, now I hope this prediction is wrong since we all know most predictions in this thread will be wrong; just like last year.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#53

Post by rtfeldman »

Back in 2019 I gave a conference talk in which I made four predictions about Web development in 2020 and 2025:

https://youtu.be/okrB3aJtUaw

I feel confident at least two of the predictions (about TypeScript and npm) are going to be true at the end of 2025. I feel less confident about the predictions about WebAssembly and compile-to-JS languages.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#55

Post by pxne7e »

zitterbewegung wrote: post #5

It will be the year of open source AI due to it being only slightly harder to scale up which gives Meta the chance to meet or beat OpenAI. XR improves a bit more but headsets will still be expensive. Large movies and video games that cost above $200 million to make will flop around 75% or more.

Idk large corps are already getting comfy using OpenAI (Microsoft) I dont see them shifting cause they are all inept at doing things themselves. They need a lot of handholding which is why Microsoft is still alive.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#56

Post by threeseed »

redundantly wrote: post #44

A significant portion of the US population will lose nearly everything. Their investments will collapse, their benefits will be stripped away, and they will fall victim to countless scams, or be outright robbed. Much of this will happen through official channels, as restrictions and oversight on corporations and government organizations are reduced or eliminated entirely.

Or because of the ageing population they will have a life threatening incident. Which Medicare will fail to cover due to its budget being cut and private health insurance companies refusing to pay for procedures the Doctor orders.

And so I would expect to see medical bankruptcy being far more common.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#57

Post by Sloowms »

Many predictions here are about social media. My prediction is that the first amendment rights they've won themselves are going to bite them in 2025.

The first ruling has already happened: https://www.nbcconnecticut.com/news/national-international/t...

What this ruling means is that the algorithm is a expression of the first amendment from the platform itself. If the algorithm does harmful things it causes first party liability.

My prediction is that the administration will not do much to the social media giants but class action lawsuits will.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#58

Post by agomez314 »

* drone tech will heat up and find its "moment."

* Bitcoin will continue to increase in price and decrease in usability.

* Quantum will continue to improve and start to raise eyebrows in niche circles and paper headlines, leading to adoption in small parts of major tech companies.

* Markets will hit a record high by end of year.

* ADHD medications will also hit a record high.

* More people will opt out social media like they opt of out of "GMO" food and use it to virtue-signal.

* Tech hiring will continue to decrease and get tougher to find entry-level SWE jobs, leading to an uptick in other majors. Being an SWE will never be as cool again as it was in the 2010s.

* Is anyone still talking about climate change action goals?

* Starship will go orbital, Blue origin will go suborbital, Boeing will hit the ground.

* More laws regulating internet and social media use. Enforcement will be fuzzy and laughable at first but will become increasingly serious over time.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#60

Post by gmuslera »

La Niña have high odds to last very few months. Global climate will continue its accelerated destabilization trend, with not so low odds of something impacting badly some first world countries. But just breaking even more records will do enough damage.

And that will put extra pressure on an already unstable global politics scenario. What will follow may tell us in which flavor of dystopia we are in, either denialism and escapism keeping business as usual, or "emergency measures" with some sectors grabbing even more power.

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