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Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

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Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#2
I will start off with an uncommon one: Gambling addiction in kids is through the roof, sports betting, crypto betting, csgo skin betting. These are being openly advertised and we will start seeing the first major push towards stopping some of them.

Some of the owners of the most uncommon Counterstrike skin gambling sites are making about $50 million a month.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#4
It will be the year of the grift.

Musk has already indicated they want to neuter the regulators and implement a proper regulatory environment for crypto. But obviously in a laissez-faire way. So I would expect to see a lot of rug-pulling, insider trading etc.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#5
It will be the year of open source AI due to it being only slightly harder to scale up which gives Meta the chance to meet or beat OpenAI.

XR improves a bit more but headsets will still be expensive.

Large movies and video games that cost above $200 million to make will flop around 75% or more.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#6
Google will announce new products (will call them initiatives) and will not launch them to the general public.

ChatGPT Search will get significant (high 1 digit) share of the search market.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#7
Dopamine management medication will lead to a renaissance of human ingenuity and scientific discoveries and a big crash for social media and gambling sites (and in fact most online activities) but everyone will start becoming more robotic and even less social. Think GLP-1 inhibitors except for thinking more deeply and for longer periods. If not 2025 very soon.

Re: Ask HN: Predictions for 2025?

#8
post #7

Dopamine management medication will lead to a renaissance of human ingenuity and scientific discoveries and a big crash for social media and gambling sites (and in fact most online activities) but everyone will start becoming more robotic and even less social. Think GLP-1 inhibitors except for thinking more deeply and for longer periods. If not 2025 very soon.

These already exist, they’re called CNS stimulants.
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