These tests are meaningless until
You show them doing mundane tasks
OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
591–600 of 1001 posts
Re: OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
#592With only a 100x increase in cost, we improved performance by 0.1x and continued plotting this concave-down diminishing-returns type graph! Hurray for logarithmic x-axes! Joking aside, better than ever before at any cost is an achievement, it just doesn't exactly scream "breakthrough" to me.
I mean going from 10% to 85% doesn’t seem like a 0.1% improvement
Re: OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
#593I just graduated college, and this was a major blow. I studied Mechanical Engineering and went into Sales Engineering because cause I love technology and people, but articles like this do nothing but make me dread the future. I have no idea what to specialize in, what skills I should master, or where I should be spending my time to build a successful career. Seems like we’re headed toward a world where you automate s…
You are going through your studies just as a (potentially major) new class of tools is appearing. It's not the first time in history - although with more hype this time: computing, personal computing, globalisation, smart phones, chinese engineering... I'd suggest (1) you still need to understand your field, (2) you might as well try and figure out where this new class of tools is useful for your field. Otherwise...…
Yes but it’s different this time. LLMs are a general solution to the automation of anything that can be controlled by a computer. You can’t just move from drawing ICs to CAD, because the AI can do that too. AI can write code. It can do management. It can even do diplomacy. What it can’t do on its own are the things computers can’t control yet. It has also shown little interest so far in jockying for social status. The AI labs are trying their hardest to at least keep the politics around for humans to do, so you have that to look forward to.
Re: OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
#594I just graduated college, and this was a major blow. I studied Mechanical Engineering and went into Sales Engineering because cause I love technology and people, but articles like this do nothing but make me dread the future. I have no idea what to specialize in, what skills I should master, or where I should be spending my time to build a successful career. Seems like we’re headed toward a world where you automate s…
buy bitcoin. when the last job has been automated away, millions of AIs globally will do commerce with each other and they will use bitcoin to pay each other. as long as the human race (including AIs) produces new goods and services, the purchasing power of bitcoin will go up, indefinitely. even more so once we unlock new industries in space (settlements on the Moon and Mars, asteroid mining etc). The only thing that…
Bitcoin is a horrible currency. Its a fun proof of concept but not a scalable payment solution. Currency needs to be stable and cheap to transfer.
Re: OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
#595Human performance is 85% [1]. o3 high gets 87.5%. This means we have an algorithm to get to human level performance on this task. If you think this task is an eval of general reasoning ability, we have an algorithm for that now. There's a lot of work ahead to generalize o3 performance to all domains. I think this explains why many researchers feel AGI is within reach, now that we have an algorithm that works. Congrat…
What’s interesting is it might be very close to human intelligence than some “alien” intelligence, because after all it is a LLM and trained on human made text, which kind of represents human intelligence.
Agreed. I think what really makes them alien is everything else about them besides intelligence. Namely, no emotional/physiological grounding in empathy, shame, pride, and love (on the positive side) or hatred (negative side).
Re: OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
#596I just graduated college, and this was a major blow. I studied Mechanical Engineering and went into Sales Engineering because cause I love technology and people, but articles like this do nothing but make me dread the future. I have no idea what to specialize in, what skills I should master, or where I should be spending my time to build a successful career. Seems like we’re headed toward a world where you automate s…
Imagine graduating in architecture or mechanical engineering around the time PCs just came out. There were people who probably panicked.
But the arc of time intersects quite nicely with your skills if you steer it over time.
Predicting it or worrying about it does nothing.
Re: OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
#597I just graduated college, and this was a major blow. I studied Mechanical Engineering and went into Sales Engineering because cause I love technology and people, but articles like this do nothing but make me dread the future. I have no idea what to specialize in, what skills I should master, or where I should be spending my time to build a successful career. Seems like we’re headed toward a world where you automate s…
I suppose now that we have the technology to automatically solve coloured grid puzzles, mechanical engineering is obsolete.
Re: OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
#598Let me go against some skeptics and explain why I think full o3 is pretty much AGI or at least embodies most essential aspects of AGI. What has been lacking so far in frontier LLMs is the ability to reliably deal with the right level of abstraction for a given problem. Reasoning is useful but often comes out lacking if one cannot reason at the right level of abstraction. (Note that many humans can't either when they…
Please stop it calling AGI, we don’t even know or agree universally what that should actually mean. How far did we get with hype calling a lossy probabilistic compressor firing slowly at us words AGI? That’s a real bummer to me
Re: OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
#599> You'll know AGI is here when the exercise of creating tasks that are easy for regular humans but hard for AI becomes simply impossible. You'll know AGI is here when traditional captchas stop being a thing due to their lack of usefulness.
(Shrug) AI has been better than humans at solving CAPTCHAs for a LONG time. As the sibling points out, they're just a waste of time and electricity at this point.
Re: OpenAI O3 breakthrough high score on ARC-AGI-PUB
#600Guys, its already happening. I recently got laid off due to AI taking over my jobs.