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Satellite powered estimation of global solar potential

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Re: Satellite powered estimation of global solar potential

#5
Nice to see, I hope it helps people get more cheap energy.

All I have are nits to pick:

> 10.7k TWh globally

This brings back memories of the time I almost shortened "thousand kilometres" to "kkm".

Also, and this is not a criticism of Google, the IEA link on that text looks suspiciously like the IEA is still forecasting linear deployment of PV between 2025 and 2035, despite at least a decade of people pointing at it being historically exponential and asking why they don't assume the exponent will continue — I'm expecting about double their number for PV by 2035, if trends continue.

Re: Satellite powered estimation of global solar potential

#6
The image processing described is very cool, but I have questions about the application. Google started doing these solar potential estimates about 10 years ago, so let's imagine that they have been developing the capability since about 2010 or so. In that time the cost of PV has fallen by an order of magnitude. Hasn't that settled the question of where PV should be installed? I thought the answer is now "yes" everywhere.

Re: Satellite powered estimation of global solar potential

#7
post #5

Nice to see, I hope it helps people get more cheap energy. All I have are nits to pick: > 10.7k TWh globally This brings back memories of the time I almost shortened "thousand kilometres" to "kkm". Also, and this is not a criticism of Google, the IEA link on that text looks suspiciously like the IEA is still forecasting linear deployment of PV between 2025 and 2035, despite at least a decade of people pointing at it…

> 10.7k TWh globally

Agree I hate this, but at the same time I don't know if I would have groked it correctly on first read if it had listed "10.7Pwh globally". We simply aren't exposed to numbers at that scale on a regular basis.

Not sure what the correct solution is here.

Re: Satellite powered estimation of global solar potential

#8
post #5

Nice to see, I hope it helps people get more cheap energy. All I have are nits to pick: > 10.7k TWh globally This brings back memories of the time I almost shortened "thousand kilometres" to "kkm". Also, and this is not a criticism of Google, the IEA link on that text looks suspiciously like the IEA is still forecasting linear deployment of PV between 2025 and 2035, despite at least a decade of people pointing at it…

>despite at least a decade of people pointing at it being historically exponential and asking they don't assume the exponent will continue.

So crazy and true. Sources:

https://www.economist.com/interactive/essay/2024/06/20/solar...

https://www.exponentialview.co/p/the-forecasters-gap

7 years ago (!): https://xwpxpfefwalgifkr.quora.com/A-modest-proposal-to-the-...

Re: Satellite powered estimation of global solar potential

#9
post #7
post #5

Nice to see, I hope it helps people get more cheap energy. All I have are nits to pick: > 10.7k TWh globally This brings back memories of the time I almost shortened "thousand kilometres" to "kkm". Also, and this is not a criticism of Google, the IEA link on that text looks suspiciously like the IEA is still forecasting linear deployment of PV between 2025 and 2035, despite at least a decade of people pointing at it…

> 10.7k TWh globally Agree I hate this, but at the same time I don't know if I would have groked it correctly on first read if it had listed "10.7Pwh globally". We simply aren't exposed to numbers at that scale on a regular basis. Not sure what the correct solution is here.

The correct solution is 10.7Pwh. We are often exposed to 'Peta' when dealing with data.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Metric_prefix

Re: Satellite powered estimation of global solar potential

#10
post #7
post #5

Nice to see, I hope it helps people get more cheap energy. All I have are nits to pick: > 10.7k TWh globally This brings back memories of the time I almost shortened "thousand kilometres" to "kkm". Also, and this is not a criticism of Google, the IEA link on that text looks suspiciously like the IEA is still forecasting linear deployment of PV between 2025 and 2035, despite at least a decade of people pointing at it…

> 10.7k TWh globally Agree I hate this, but at the same time I don't know if I would have groked it correctly on first read if it had listed "10.7Pwh globally". We simply aren't exposed to numbers at that scale on a regular basis. Not sure what the correct solution is here.

EIA Electricity Monthly gives data in certain tables in terms of either million kWh or "thousand megawatthours" which isn't even English. Let's just use J.
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