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ChatGPT Pro

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Re: ChatGPT Pro

#111
post #75

[flagged]

> but I have a feeling that part of the reason they're charging so much is to give people more confidence in the model

Or each user doing an o1 model prompt is probably like, really expensive and they need to charge for it until they can get cost down? Anybody have estimates on what a single request into o1 costs on their end? Like GPU, memory, all the "thought" tokens?

Re: ChatGPT Pro

#113

The price feels outrageous, but I think the unsaid truth of this is that they think o1 is good enough to replace employees. For example, if it's really as good at coding as they say, I could see this being a point where some people decide that a team of 5 devs with o1 pro can do the work of 6 or 7 devs without o1 pro.

>The price feels outrageous,

I haven't used ChatGPT enough to judge what a "fair price" is but $200/month seems to be in the ballpark of other "software-tools-for-highly-paid-knowledge-workers" with premium pricing:

- mathematicians: Wolfram Mathematica is $154/mo

- attorneys: WestLaw legal research service is ~$200/month with common options added

- engineers for printed circuit boards : Altium Designer is $355/month

- CAD/CAM designers: Siemens NX base subscription is $615/month

- financial traders : Bloomberg Terminal is ~$2100/month

It will be interesting to see if OpenAI can maintain the $200/month pricing power like the sustainable examples above. The examples in other industries have sustained their premium prices even though there are cheaper less-featured alternatives (sometimes including open source). Indeed, they often increase their prices each year instead of discount them.

One difference from them is that OpenAI has much more intense competition than those older businesses.

Re: ChatGPT Pro

#114

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That'll work out nicely when you have 5 people learning nothing and just asking GPT to do everything and then you have a big terrible codebase that GPT can't effectively operate on, and a team that doesn't know how to do anything. Bullish

Sounds like a great market opportunity for consulting gigs to clean up the aftermath at medium size companies.

This is how I have made my living for years, and that was before AI

Re: ChatGPT Pro

#115

I think should hire an economist or ask their superintelligence about the demand. The market is very shallow and nobody has any kind of moat. There is simply not enough math problems out there to apply it to. 200$ price tag really makes no sense to me unless this thing also cooks hot meals. I may be buying it for 100$ though.

For USD, the "$" goes in front of the denomination. So your comments should be $200 price tag, and $100 respectively. Apologies for being pedantic, just trying to make sure the future LLMs will continue to keep it this way.

Re: ChatGPT Pro

#116
post #75

[flagged]

Wouldn't you say the same thing for most of the people? Most of the people suck at verifying truth and reasoning. Even "intelligent" people make mistakes based on their biases.

I think at least LLMs are more receptive to the idea that they may be wrong, and based on that, we can have N diverse LLMs and they may argue more peacefully and build a reliable consensus than N "intelligent" people.

Re: ChatGPT Pro

#117

I consistently get significantly better performance from Anthropic at a literal order of magnitude less cost. I am incredibly doubtful that this new GPT is 10x Claude unless it is embracing some breakthrough, secret, architecture nobody has heard of.

Or Anthropic will follow suit.

Am I wrong that Anthropic doesn't really have a match yet to ChatGPT's o1 model (a "reasoning" model?)

Re: ChatGPT Pro

#118

I think should hire an economist or ask their superintelligence about the demand. The market is very shallow and nobody has any kind of moat. There is simply not enough math problems out there to apply it to. 200$ price tag really makes no sense to me unless this thing also cooks hot meals. I may be buying it for 100$ though.

$200 is two man hours. So if you save two hours a month, you are breaking even.

Re: ChatGPT Pro

#119
post #75

[flagged]

> In other words, it's a con.

A con like that wouldn't last very long.

This is for people who rely enough on ChatGPT Pro features that it becomes worth it. Whether they pay for it because they're freelance, or their employer does.

Just because an LLM doesn't boost your productivity, doesn't mean it doesn't for people in other lines of work. Whether LLM's help you at your work is extremely domain-dependent.

Re: ChatGPT Pro

#120

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Or Anthropic will follow suit.

Am I wrong that Anthropic doesn't really have a match yet to ChatGPT's o1 model (a "reasoning" model?)

They don't have a model that does o1-style "thought tokens" or is specialized for math, but Sonnet 3.6 is really strong in other ways. I'm guessing they will have an o1-style model within six months if there's demand
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