Anyone can mix chemicals in a test tube and claim it’s the cure for something. That’s the easy part. Proving it’s safe and effective, that’s what requires a lot of capital expenditure. This statement is a drastic characterization, but you could say “half a dozen PhDs can form reasons to believe they may have found a cure for something”, and the paragraph would end the same.
I’d argue that our current system is broken. There’s no reliable metric of drug effectiveness in any of our pre-clinical models, and thus we end up going into clinical trials quite blind indeed. And more often than not, what drug gets into trials has more to do with ego and politics than actual scientific merit. And the folks involved in these types of activities are (IMO) the most unoriginal types I’ve ever seen.
There’s a lot we can do to improve our drug development process. It really doesn’t need to cost billions to bring a drug to the market. But the odds are stacked against anyone with a contrarian hypothesis and I just figured I’d save my sweat and leave this field instead.